Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Event-Driven

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND had a huge week on a net basis on smallest gross in weeks. Last week I said I expected High-div SOEs to continue being sold. They were sold again.</li>
<li>Consumer Discretionary, Healthcare, Utilities saw big buying as a percentage of volume traded. Only China Mobile and CNOOC were net sold. Even <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a> was bought.</li>
<li>There is clearly a HK Risk On angle to the flows this week and last.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND had a huge week on a net basis on smallest gross in weeks. Last week I said I expected High-div SOEs to continue being sold. They were sold again.
Consumer Discretionary, Healthcare, Utilities saw big buying as a percentage of volume traded. Only China Mobile and CNOOC were net sold. Even China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK) was bought.
There is clearly a HK Risk On angle to the flows this week and last.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 25 Oct 2024); Everything Bought in BIG Week

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We expect Tencent to report C3Q24 revenue, IFRS operating profit and IFRS net income in line, 5.7% and 7.1% vs. consensus. </li>
<li>Reason to own Tencent include: (1) company on an up game product cycle, (2) ample advertising inventory to benefit from GAI, (3) investor-friendly corporate culture. </li>
<li>With consumption uptick in C4Q24 and beyond, we see improvement in Tencent’s FinTech business. Temporary content shortage hurt Long Form Video this quarter. </li>
</ul>


We expect Tencent to report C3Q24 revenue, IFRS operating profit and IFRS net income in line, 5.7% and 7.1% vs. consensus. 
Reason to own Tencent include: (1) company on an up game product cycle, (2) ample advertising inventory to benefit from GAI, (3) investor-friendly corporate culture. 
With consumption uptick in C4Q24 and beyond, we see improvement in Tencent’s FinTech business. Temporary content shortage hurt Long Form Video this quarter. 


[Tencent (700 HK, BUY, TP HK$508) TP Change]: Upswing Performance & Cornerstone of the Sector

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 25th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK), Swire Properties (1972 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Meituan (3690 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 25th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK), Swire Properties (1972 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Meituan (3690 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 25th): AIA, Swire Pacific, Swire Properties

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>700 HK: Tencent Timi L1 Studio General Manager Huang Lanxiao Steps Down, Will Fully Oversee &lt;Honor of Kings&gt; Global Esports Development (/)</li>
<li>700 HK/300027 CH: &lt;Black Myth: Wukong&gt; DLC Development May Have Started (+/+)</li>
<li>700 HK: Tencent Extends Partnership with NBA Until 2027 as “NBA China’s Exclusive Digital Media Partner” (+)</li>
</ul>


700 HK: Tencent Timi L1 Studio General Manager Huang Lanxiao Steps Down, Will Fully Oversee &lt;Honor of Kings&gt; Global Esports Development (/)
700 HK/300027 CH: &lt;Black Myth: Wukong&gt; DLC Development May Have Started (+/+)
700 HK: Tencent Extends Partnership with NBA Until 2027 as “NBA China’s Exclusive Digital Media Partner” (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/300027 CH/NTES US/TCOM US

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pony-ai-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44035:1" rel="noopener">Pony AI (PONY US)</a>, an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$300m in its US IPO.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, Pony AI was among the first companies in China to obtain licenses to operate fully driverless robotaxis in all four Tier-1 cities in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Pony AI (PONY US), an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$300m in its US IPO.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, Pony AI was among the first companies in China to obtain licenses to operate fully driverless robotaxis in all four Tier-1 cities in China.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Pony AI Pre-IPO - The Negatives - No Signs of Growth, Valuation Has Already Been Cut by 50%+

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 25 Oct 2024); Everything Bought in BIG Week

SOUTHBOUND investors go big this week buying everything but China Mobile and CNOOC. Every sector was positive. This is a risk-on move in large net...

Travis Lundy

[Tencent (700 HK, BUY, TP HK$508) TP Change]: Upswing Performance & Cornerstone of the Sector

Tencent expected to report strong Q3 results, reasons to own include up game cycle and advertising inventory, potential growth in FinTech...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 25th): AIA, Swire Pacific, Swire Properties

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were AIA (1299 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/300027 CH/NTES US/TCOM US

Tencent makes strategic moves in esports and digital media partnerships, with leadership changes and new developments in gaming.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Pony AI Pre-IPO - The Negatives - No Signs of Growth, Valuation Has Already Been Cut by 50%+

Pony AI (PONY US), an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$300m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the not...

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

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HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 25 Oct 2024); Everything Bought in BIG Week

SOUTHBOUND investors go big this week buying everything but China Mobile and CNOOC. Every sector was positive. This is a risk-on move in large net...

Travis Lundy

[Tencent (700 HK, BUY, TP HK$508) TP Change]: Upswing Performance & Cornerstone of the Sector

​Tencent expected to report strong Q3 results, reasons to own include up game cycle and advertising inventory, potential growth in FinTech...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 25th): AIA, Swire Pacific, Swire Properties

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were AIA (1299 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/300027 CH/NTES US/TCOM US

​Tencent makes strategic moves in esports and digital media partnerships, with leadership changes and new developments in gaming.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Pony AI Pre-IPO - The Negatives - No Signs of Growth, Valuation Has Already Been Cut by 50%+

Pony AI (PONY US), an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$300m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the not...

Sumeet Singh

Tencent expected to report strong Q3 results, reasons to own include up game cycle and advertising inventory, potential growth in FinTech...

Tencent makes strategic moves in esports and digital media partnerships, with leadership changes and new developments in gaming.