Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Stan Zhao

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Tencent's <em>&lt;LoLM&gt;</em> shows strong performance after anniversary event, reaching as high as No. 2 on the iOS Grossing Chart with strong player spending sentiment</li>
<li>NetEase's &lt;Justice Mobile&gt; grossing rank continues to decline due to the game's lifecycle, slightly lowering expectations. &lt;Naraka: Bladepoint Mobile&gt; revenue performance is stabilizing, with annual grossing expected around RMB 10bn</li>
<li>Bilibili's <em>&lt;FGO&gt;</em> shows a strong revenue trend, currently in the top 20 on the iOS Grossing Chart, slightly raising expectations</li>
</ul>


Tencent's &lt;LoLM&gt; shows strong performance after anniversary event, reaching as high as No. 2 on the iOS Grossing Chart with strong player spending sentiment
NetEase's &lt;Justice Mobile&gt; grossing rank continues to decline due to the game's lifecycle, slightly lowering expectations. &lt;Naraka: Bladepoint Mobile&gt; revenue performance is stabilizing, with annual grossing expected around RMB 10bn
Bilibili's &lt;FGO&gt; shows a strong revenue trend, currently in the top 20 on the iOS Grossing Chart, slightly raising expectations


Online Game Monitor: July 29-August 13, 2024

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> and HSIII Index will be announced after market close on Friday.</li>
<li>We forecast 2 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a>, 1 change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> and 3 changes for the HSIII Index.</li>
<li>With same-way and opposing flow on stocks from different passive trackers, the one-way trade is currently estimated at HK$5.2bn (US$672m). That will change with final capping done on 3 September.</li>
</ul>


The constituent changes for the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX), Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) and HSIII Index will be announced after market close on Friday.
We forecast 2 changes for the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX), 1 change for the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) and 3 changes for the HSIII Index.
With same-way and opposing flow on stocks from different passive trackers, the one-way trade is currently estimated at HK$5.2bn (US$672m). That will change with final capping done on 3 September.


HSCEI/HSTECH/HSIII Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes, Flow & Positioning

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

<ul>
<li>PDD US/CPNG US/4385 JP/4689 JP/4755 JP: Temu to launch semi-consignment in Japan and South Korea in October (+/-/-/-/-)</li>
<li>BABA US: Alibaba upgrades it AI generated fashion model tool (+)</li>
<li>BABA US: Alibaba’s C2C platform Idle Fish to charge commissions in September (+)</li>
</ul>


PDD US/CPNG US/4385 JP/4689 JP/4755 JP: Temu to launch semi-consignment in Japan and South Korea in October (+/-/-/-/-)
BABA US: Alibaba upgrades it AI generated fashion model tool (+)
BABA US: Alibaba’s C2C platform Idle Fish to charge commissions in September (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:PDD US/CPNGUS/4385JP/4689JP/4755JP/BABA US/1024HK/JD US/3690HK/700HK

Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

<ul>
<li>Last night, MSC published index changes due at the August rebalance. There will be no changes to SA constituents.</li>
<li>The rebalance is set to take place at the end of the month on Friday the 30th.</li>
<li>Tomorrow after the HK close, Tencent is expected to report results for 2Q FY24.</li>
</ul>


Last night, MSC published index changes due at the August rebalance. There will be no changes to SA constituents.
The rebalance is set to take place at the end of the month on Friday the 30th.
Tomorrow after the HK close, Tencent is expected to report results for 2Q FY24.


Tencent to Report 2Q FY24 Results (What Is Priced?), MSC Index Changes for Aug Rebalance Published

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Post market close on Friday, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> that will be implemented at the close on 6 September.</li>
<li>With no constituent changes in March and 1 add/1 delete in June, there could be more changes in September with Health Care stocks among the potential inclusions.</li>
<li>Changes to the Hang Seng Industry Classification System (HSICS) will be implemented from the September rebalance and that will alter industry coverage.</li>
</ul>


Post market close on Friday, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) that will be implemented at the close on 6 September.
With no constituent changes in March and 1 add/1 delete in June, there could be more changes in September with Health Care stocks among the potential inclusions.
Changes to the Hang Seng Industry Classification System (HSICS) will be implemented from the September rebalance and that will alter industry coverage.


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for September

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

Online Game Monitor: July 29-August 13, 2024

Tencent's <lolm> excels in post-anniversary events, NetEase's <justice mobile> declines and Bilibili's <fgo> sees strong revenue growth.</fgo><...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HSCEI/HSTECH/HSIII Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes, Flow & Positioning

We expect 2 changes for the HSCEI, 1 for the HSTECH, 2 for the HSIII. Tne-way trade is estimated at HK$5.2bn (US$672m). There is same-way and...

Brian Freitas

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:PDD US/CPNGUS/4385JP/4689JP/4755JP/BABA US/1024HK/JD US/3690HK/700HK

Temu to launch semi-consignment in Japan and South Korea; Alibaba upgrades AI fashion model tool and Idle Fish to charge commissions.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Tencent to Report 2Q FY24 Results (What Is Priced?), MSC Index Changes for Aug Rebalance Published

Tencent is due to report 2Q FY24 results tomorrow. In this insight we explore what is priced and how Tencent has performed relative to peers since...

DMA

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for September

Announcement on Friday post market close. Health Care industry still underweight. Index committee has a lot of discretion in stock selection. We...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Online Game Monitor: July 29-August 13, 2024

​Tencent's <lolm> excels in post-anniversary events, NetEase's <justice mobile> declines and Bilibili's <fgo> sees strong revenue growth.</fgo><...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HSCEI/HSTECH/HSIII Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes, Flow & Positioning

We expect 2 changes for the HSCEI, 1 for the HSTECH, 2 for the HSIII. Tne-way trade is estimated at HK$5.2bn (US$672m). There is same-way and...

Brian Freitas

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:PDD US/CPNGUS/4385JP/4689JP/4755JP/BABA US/1024HK/JD US/3690HK/700HK

​Temu to launch semi-consignment in Japan and South Korea; Alibaba upgrades AI fashion model tool and Idle Fish to charge commissions.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Tencent to Report 2Q FY24 Results (What Is Priced?), MSC Index Changes for Aug Rebalance Published

Tencent is due to report 2Q FY24 results tomorrow. In this insight we explore what is priced and how Tencent has performed relative to peers since...

DMA

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for September

Announcement on Friday post market close. Health Care industry still underweight. Index committee has a lot of discretion in stock selection. We...

Brian Freitas

Tencent's <lolm> excels in post-anniversary events, NetEase's <justice mobile> declines and Bilibili's <fgo> sees strong revenue growth.</fgo><...

Temu to launch semi-consignment in Japan and South Korea; Alibaba upgrades AI fashion model tool and Idle Fish to charge commissions.