Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Most companies have announced their final dividends for 2021 and most of those have announced ex-dates. Banks and oil companies have announced higher dividends than last year.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)</a> has not declared a dividend yet due to its IPO, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunac-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:240:1" rel="noopener">Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK)</a>'s suspension could lead to index deletion in June or July. </li>
<li>Using current/proforma index compositions and conservative estimates for interim dividends, we estimate fair value at 240.73 DIPS for 2022. This is a sell at the last close or higher.</li>
</ul>


Most companies have announced their final dividends for 2021 and most of those have announced ex-dates. Banks and oil companies have announced higher dividends than last year.

CNOOC Ltd (883 HK) has not declared a dividend yet due to its IPO, while Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK)'s suspension could lead to index deletion in June or July. 
Using current/proforma index compositions and conservative estimates for interim dividends, we estimate fair value at 240.73 DIPS for 2022. This is a sell at the last close or higher.


HSCEI Dividend Futures: 2022 Fair Value Update & CNOOC/Sunac/JD.com Adjustments

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Belle International Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Belle Fashion (BF) aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong listing, which would mark its return to the stock market after five years.</li>
<li>Belle Fashion is the largest China-based fashion footwear and apparel group based on 2020 retail sales value, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S). </li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Belle Fashion (BF) aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong listing, which would mark its return to the stock market after five years.
Belle Fashion is the largest China-based fashion footwear and apparel group based on 2020 retail sales value, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S). 
In this note, we'll talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


Belle Fashion Pre-IPO - The Negatives - You'll Stumble in My Footsteps

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Both monthly active users and time on site grew strongly in 4Q21.</li>
<li>Live streaming revenue recovered quarter over quarter in 3Q21 and 4Q21.</li>
<li>Operating loss decreased in 4Q21, compared to the first three quarters in 2021.</li>
</ul>


Both monthly active users and time on site grew strongly in 4Q21.
Live streaming revenue recovered quarter over quarter in 3Q21 and 4Q21.
Operating loss decreased in 4Q21, compared to the first three quarters in 2021.


Kuaishou (1024 HK): 4Q21, Strong Data, Both Financial and Operating

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd's (SE US)</a> decision to exit India came as a surprise but looks like a prudent move given the heightened risk for Shopee there post the <em>FreeFire</em> ban.</li>
<li>The move will allow <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a> to focus its attention and resources on a more profitable markets such as Brazil, which is already seen as a core market.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd's</a> growth model is intact with losses in its core e-commerce markets declining fast on a per order basis. Valuations are less challenging on 3.4x FY2023E EV/Sales.</li>
</ul>



Sea Ltd's (SE US) decision to exit India came as a surprise but looks like a prudent move given the heightened risk for Shopee there post the FreeFire ban.
The move will allow Sea Ltd (SE US) to focus its attention and resources on a more profitable markets such as Brazil, which is already seen as a core market.

Sea Ltd's growth model is intact with losses in its core e-commerce markets declining fast on a per order basis. Valuations are less challenging on 3.4x FY2023E EV/Sales.


Sea Ltd (SE US) - An Indian Odyssey Brings Experience

<ul>
<li>Belle Fashion (BF) aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong listing, which would mark its return to the stock market after five years.</li>
<li>Belle Fashion is the largest China-based fashion footwear and apparel group based on 2020 retail sales value, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S). </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Belle Fashion (BF) aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong listing, which would mark its return to the stock market after five years.
Belle Fashion is the largest China-based fashion footwear and apparel group based on 2020 retail sales value, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S). 
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Belle Fashion Pre-IPO - The Positives - Try Walking in My Shoes

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

HSCEI Dividend Futures: 2022 Fair Value Update & CNOOC/Sunac/JD.com Adjustments

We estimate a fair value of 240.73 DIPS for the HSCEI 2022 dividend futures after adjusting for CNOOC/Sunac/JD.com. We would be sellers of the...

Brian Freitas

Belle Fashion Pre-IPO - The Negatives - You'll Stumble in My Footsteps

Belle Fashion aims to raise around US$1bn in its HK listing, which would mark its return to the stock market after five years. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Kuaishou (1024 HK): 4Q21, Strong Data, Both Financial and Operating

In 4Q21, both monthly active users and time on site grew strongly. Live streaming revenue recovered for the second quarter. Operating loss decreased.

Ming Lu

Sea Ltd (SE US) - An Indian Odyssey Brings Experience

Sea Ltd's growth model is intact with losses in its core e-commerce markets declining fast on a per order basis. Valuations are less challenging on...

Angus Mackintosh

Belle Fashion Pre-IPO - The Positives - Try Walking in My Shoes

Belle Fashion (BF) aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong listing, which would mark its return to the stock market after five years.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)