Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Implied vols were lower across all sectors on the week with option volumes peaking on Friday.</li>
<li>Post-Earnings vol crush helped push vols lower for key names.</li>
<li>Tencent stands out with low implied vols over the past year, high liquidity and is trading almost 17% below its 52 week high.</li>
</ul>


Implied vols were lower across all sectors on the week with option volumes peaking on Friday.
Post-Earnings vol crush helped push vols lower for key names.
Tencent stands out with low implied vols over the past year, high liquidity and is trading almost 17% below its 52 week high.


EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Nicholas Tan

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jst-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39885:1" rel="noopener">JST Group (1703609D CH)</a> is looking to raise up to US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>It is China’s largest and most popular e-commerce SaaS ERP provider to facilitate the connection of merchants with over 400 e-commerce platforms in China and across the world.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the firm's past performance.</li>
</ul>



JST Group (1703609D CH) is looking to raise up to US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
It is China’s largest and most popular e-commerce SaaS ERP provider to facilitate the connection of merchants with over 400 e-commerce platforms in China and across the world.
In this note, we look at the firm's past performance.


JST Group Pre-IPO: Growing Rapidly but with Some Accounting Red Flags

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The stock has risen 84% in one year, but we still believe there is an upside of 49%.</li>
<li>We believe the operating margin will continue to improve significantly in 3Q24.</li>
<li>We also believe the growth rates of all main businesses should be healthy in 3Q24.</li>
</ul>


The stock has risen 84% in one year, but we still believe there is an upside of 49%.
We believe the operating margin will continue to improve significantly in 3Q24.
We also believe the growth rates of all main businesses should be healthy in 3Q24.


MT/Meituan (3690 HK) 3Q24 Earnings Preview: Upside Narrowed to 50%

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In a surprise, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43993:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (300 HK)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weibo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35280:1" rel="noopener">Weibo (9898 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> after the close of trading on 6 December.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 4.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$11.72bn (US$1.51bn). Passives need to buy 9x ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43993:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (300 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43993:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (300 HK)</a> premium could drop due to the index inclusion providing an entry point into an AH expansion trade.</li>
</ul>


In a surprise, Midea Group (300 HK) will replace Weibo (9898 HK) in the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) after the close of trading on 6 December.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 4.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$11.72bn (US$1.51bn). Passives need to buy 9x ADV in Midea Group (300 HK).
The Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) / Midea Group (300 HK) premium could drop due to the index inclusion providing an entry point into an AH expansion trade.


HSTECH Index Rebalance: Midea (300 HK) Replaces Weibo (9898 HK); US$1.5bn Round-Trip Trade

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuaishou-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-oriental-education-techn" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32210:1" rel="noopener">New Oriental Education (9901 HK)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a> in December while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7037:1" rel="noopener">New World Development (17 HK)</a> will be deleted.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.7% and the estimated round-trip trade is HK$10.89bn (US$1.4bn) with over 1 day of ADV to trade in the adds and the delete.</li>
<li>The index committee has net added 1 stock to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a> this year to go from 82 to 83 constituents. Reaching the 100-member target will drag into 2026.</li>
</ul>



Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK) and New Oriental Education (9901 HK) will be added to the Hang Seng Index in December while New World Development (17 HK) will be deleted.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.7% and the estimated round-trip trade is HK$10.89bn (US$1.4bn) with over 1 day of ADV to trade in the adds and the delete.
The index committee has net added 1 stock to the Hang Seng Index this year to go from 82 to 83 constituents. Reaching the 100-member target will drag into 2026.


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Still Baby Steps to Get to 100 Members

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly

Post-earnings vol crush the main contributor to decreased vols for key names. Tencent stands out for low implied vols, high liquidity while trading...

John Ley

JST Group Pre-IPO: Growing Rapidly but with Some Accounting Red Flags

JST Group (JST) is looking to raise up to US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. It is China’s largest and most popular e-commerce SaaS ERP provider.

Nicholas Tan

MT/Meituan (3690 HK) 3Q24 Earnings Preview: Upside Narrowed to 50%

We still believe the stock has an upside of 49% after rising 84%. We believe the operating margin will improve significantly and the growth rates...

Ming Lu

HSTECH Index Rebalance: Midea (300 HK) Replaces Weibo (9898 HK); US$1.5bn Round-Trip Trade

Midea Group replaces Weibo in the HSTECH in Dec. Passives need to buy ~9% of the real float in Midea and that could lead to a drop in the AH...

Brian Freitas

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Still Baby Steps to Get to 100 Members

Kuaishou and New Oriental Ed are adds and NWD is a delete. Positioning is generally low and the stocks could move in the short-term before relative...

Brian Freitas

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