Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<p>In this insight, we take a look at the monthly performance of the trading opportunities surrounding TOPIX Index Rebalance events. After a dry spell in March and April, two new Section Transfers were announced in May 2021: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anshin-guarantor-service-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33234:1" rel="noopener">Anshin Guarantor Service (7183 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nomura-micro-science-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11317:1" rel="noopener">Nomura Micro Science (6254 JP)</a>. On the other hand, we also witnessed some Inclusion Events resulting from TSE1 Direct Listings: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tess-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32979:1" rel="noopener">Tess Holdings Co Ltd (5074 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kibun-foods-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33019:1" rel="noopener">Kibun Foods Inc (2933 JP)</a>. </p><p>Below is a discussion of the situations covered by Quiddity in the Pre-event, Live-event, and Post-event categories during the month of May 2021.   </p>

In this insight, we take a look at the monthly performance of the trading opportunities surrounding TOPIX Index Rebalance events. After a dry spell in March and April, two new Section Transfers were announced in May 2021: Anshin Guarantor Service (7183 JP) and Nomura Micro Science (6254 JP). On the other hand, we also witnessed some Inclusion Events resulting from TSE1 Direct Listings: Tess Holdings Co Ltd (5074 JP) and Kibun Foods Inc (2933 JP). Below is a discussion of the situations covered by Quiddity in the Pre-event, Live-event, and Post-event categories during the month of May 2021.   

Event-Driven

<p>Japanese small-cap renewable energy player <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tess-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32979:1" rel="noopener">Tess Holdings Co Ltd (5074 JP)</a> was listed in the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) on 27th April 2021.</p><div><p>When a company gets listed in the First Section of TSE, it subsequently gets included in the TOPIX Index and as a result, TOPIX-tracking funds will have to purchase the stock during an Inclusion Event which presents interesting trading opportunities for active investors to generate sharp market-neutral returns in the space of few trading days. Alternatively, this can also be considered as a key point in time where short-term IPO investors could decide if they wanted to exit their positions by utilizing this liquidity event.</p></div><div><p>Below is a look at the timeline and the parameters of the Inclusion Event and the potential trading opportunities surrounding it. </p></div>

Japanese small-cap renewable energy player Tess Holdings Co Ltd (5074 JP) was listed in the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) on 27th April 2021.When a company gets listed in the First Section of TSE, it subsequently gets included in the TOPIX Index and as a result, TOPIX-tracking funds will have to purchase the stock during an Inclusion Event which presents interesting trading opportunities for active investors to generate sharp market-neutral returns in the space of few trading days. Alternatively, this can also be considered as a key point in time where short-term IPO investors could decide if they wanted to exit their positions by utilizing this liquidity event.Below is a look at the timeline and the parameters of the Inclusion Event and the potential trading opportunities surrounding it. 

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

Tess Holdings Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<p>Tess Holdings opened at ¥2,010, 18.2% above its ¥1,700 IPO price answering our question regarding whether the market would price it on PE or EV/OP with the former. Risk-reward looks relatively balanced here but there should be an index inclusion event soon.</p>

Tess Holdings opened at ¥2,010, 18.2% above its ¥1,700 IPO price answering our question regarding whether the market would price it on PE or EV/OP with the former. Risk-reward looks relatively balanced here but there should be an index inclusion event soon.

<p>Tess Holdings offers an interesting play on the developing solar and renewables theme in Japan which has done very well over the last twelve months. Prospects appear positive and the stock looks reasonable on a PE basis, so the question is how to interpret the high levels of leverage.</p>

Tess Holdings offers an interesting play on the developing solar and renewables theme in Japan which has done very well over the last twelve months. Prospects appear positive and the stock looks reasonable on a PE basis, so the question is how to interpret the high levels of leverage.

<p>Tess Holdings offers relatively pure play leverage into Japan’s developing cogeneration and especially solar energy markets at a time when there is increasing news flow in the area. With a business model covering the full chain from land procurement, regulatory approvals, construction, operation and maintenance and asset management, the company offers a one-stop-shop in the area. There are thus many positives, though the debt levels are a slight concern.</p>

Tess Holdings offers relatively pure play leverage into Japan’s developing cogeneration and especially solar energy markets at a time when there is increasing news flow in the area. With a business model covering the full chain from land procurement, regulatory approvals, construction, operation and maintenance and asset management, the company offers a one-stop-shop in the area. There are thus many positives, though the debt levels are a slight concern.

Tess Holdings IPO – A Timely Renewables Play

Japan

TESS Holdings Co.,Ltd. offers environmental engineering services. The Company provides environmental protection, energy saving systems management, environmental engineering maintenance, and other services. TESS Holdings also offers energy supply, renewable energy generation, and other services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Tess Holdings Co Ltd (5074 JP)

TOPIX Inclusion Trade Summary: May 2021

TOPIX Index Changes Review for May 2021. There are a couple of new names, a list of ongoing pre-event trades, a couple of post-event trades. Things...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TOPIX Inclusion: Tess Holdings (5074 JP)

The recent Tess Holdings IPO creates a TOPIX inclusion event at the end of May. Overheating looks minimal. Index demand as a % of ADV looks low but...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Tess Holdings IPO – First Day Trading

Risk-reward for Tess Holdings looks relatively balanced here after its strong open but there should be an index inclusion event soon.

Mio Kato

Tess Holdings IPO - Valuation

Tess Holdings' prospects appear positive and the stock looks reasonable on a PE basis, so the question is how to interpret the high levels of...

Mio Kato

Tess Holdings IPO – A Timely Renewables Play

Tess Holdings exposure to Japan's cogeneration and solar energy markets is attractive and its IPO is timely given news flow within the sector.

Mio Kato

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)