IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesserent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30716:1" rel="noopener">Tesserent Ltd (TNT AU)</a>'s IE considers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thales-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21483:1" rel="noopener">Thales SA (HO FP)</a>’s A$0.13 offer fair and reasonable as it is above its valuation range of A$0.098 to A$0.109 per share. </li>
<li>The offer is subject to FIRB and shareholder approval. New Zealand’s OIO approval suggests that Australia’s FIRB approval should be forthcoming. Pearson’s recent selldown lowers the vote risk.</li>
<li>At the last close price and for the 4 October payment, the gross and annualised spread is 4.0% and 32.0%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Tesserent Ltd (TNT AU)'s IE considers Thales SA (HO FP)’s A$0.13 offer fair and reasonable as it is above its valuation range of A$0.098 to A$0.109 per share. 
The offer is subject to FIRB and shareholder approval. New Zealand’s OIO approval suggests that Australia’s FIRB approval should be forthcoming. Pearson’s recent selldown lowers the vote risk.
At the last close price and for the 4 October payment, the gross and annualised spread is 4.0% and 32.0%, respectively.


Tesserent (TNT AU): Scheme Meeting on 18 September

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)</a> has entered a SID with TPG at A$12.70 per share, a modest -2.3% discount to the previous non-binding offer of A$13.00 per share.</li>
<li>The price cut was justified by a trading update which noted a challenging near-term macro-environment and softening in market volumes. The median peers’ share prices have also derated.</li>
<li>The offer requires shareholder, FIRB and OIO approval. At the last close and for the end of November payment, the gross and annualised spread is 1.8% and 5.7%, respectively. </li>
</ul>



Invocare Ltd (IVC AU) has entered a SID with TPG at A$12.70 per share, a modest -2.3% discount to the previous non-binding offer of A$13.00 per share.
The price cut was justified by a trading update which noted a challenging near-term macro-environment and softening in market volumes. The median peers’ share prices have also derated.
The offer requires shareholder, FIRB and OIO approval. At the last close and for the end of November payment, the gross and annualised spread is 1.8% and 5.7%, respectively. 


InvoCare (IVC AU): TPG’s Binding Proposal at A$12.70

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orecorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8120:1" rel="noopener">Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU)</a> has entered a SID with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silvercorp-metals-inc-139c2b2c-b1be-4cd9-92d7-257aca9924c9" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:38823:1" rel="noopener">Silvercorp Metals (SVM US)</a> at A$0.15 cash and 0.0967 SVM shares per ORR share, a 31.5% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The offer is attractive compared to the adjusted exchange ratios and historical prices. However, the offer is light in comparison to peer multiples. </li>
<li>The bid could spur <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perseus-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15306:1" rel="noopener">Perseus Mining (PRU AU)</a>, a rumoured suitor, to show its hand. At the last close, the gross spread of the offer is 19.1%.</li>
</ul>



Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU) has entered a SID with Silvercorp Metals (SVM US) at A$0.15 cash and 0.0967 SVM shares per ORR share, a 31.5% premium to the undisturbed price.
The offer is attractive compared to the adjusted exchange ratios and historical prices. However, the offer is light in comparison to peer multiples. 
The bid could spur Perseus Mining (PRU AU), a rumoured suitor, to show its hand. At the last close, the gross spread of the offer is 19.1%.


OreCorp (ORR AU): Silvercorp’s Binding Proposal

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a> has entered a SID with Bain Capital at A$3.20 per share, a 49.5% premium to the undisturbed price (21 March).</li>
<li>The offer is attractive in comparison to historical share prices and multiples. The offer is also attractive in comparison to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japara-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14760:1" rel="noopener">Japara Healthcare (JHC AU)</a> precedent transaction. </li>
<li>The MAC clause, particularly around material regulatory events, could be risky. At the last close and for an end-of-December payment, the gross and annualised spread is 3.7% and 9.5%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Estia Health (EHE AU) has entered a SID with Bain Capital at A$3.20 per share, a 49.5% premium to the undisturbed price (21 March).
The offer is attractive in comparison to historical share prices and multiples. The offer is also attractive in comparison to the Japara Healthcare (JHC AU) precedent transaction. 
The MAC clause, particularly around material regulatory events, could be risky. At the last close and for an end-of-December payment, the gross and annualised spread is 3.7% and 9.5%, respectively.


Estia Health (EHE AU): Bain Capital’s Binding Proposal

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16267:1" rel="noopener">ENM Holdings (128 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/penguin-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10190:1" rel="noopener">Penguin International (PBS SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-techno-solutions-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2431:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Techno Solutions (4739 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oishi-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17370:1" rel="noopener">Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-retail-reit-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:188:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - 111 Inc (YI US), Chindata Group (CD US), Estia Health (EHE AU), Invocare Ltd (IVC AU), ENM Holdings (128 HK), Eoflow (294090 KS), JSR Corp (4185 JP). 
Lowest spreads - Healius (HLS AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Penguin International (PBS SP), Itochu Techno Solutions (4739 JP), Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB), Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP). 


Merger Arb Mondays (07 Aug) - JSR, ITOCHU, Allkem, Origin, Symbio, Pacific Current, United Malt, MPI

Australia

Tesserent Limited provides internet security services. The Company offers security infrastructure platforms, which enables delivery of security-as-a-service to small and large organizations to protect their computer networks.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Tesserent Ltd (TNT AU)

Tesserent (TNT AU): Scheme Meeting on 18 September

FIRB and shareholder approval should be forthcoming, At the last close price and for the 4 October payment, the gross and annualised spread is 4.0%...

Arun George

InvoCare (IVC AU): TPG’s Binding Proposal at A$12.70

Despite the price cut, the offer is attractive in the context of challenging trading and derating of peers. At the last close and for the end of...

Arun George

OreCorp (ORR AU): Silvercorp’s Binding Proposal

The offer is attractive compared to the adjusted exchange ratios and historical prices but light compared to peer multiples. The bid could spur...

Arun George

Estia Health (EHE AU): Bain Capital’s Binding Proposal

The A$3.20 offer is attractive compared to historical share prices and multiples. At the last close and for an end-of-December payment, the gross...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (07 Aug) - JSR, ITOCHU, Allkem, Origin, Symbio, Pacific Current, United Malt, MPI

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (19.6%), Chindata (15.3%), Estia (12.7%), InvoCare (10.4%), ENM (9.4%), Eoflow (7.7%), JSR (7.2%),...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)