Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>On 5th May 2022, Thai Beverage announced that BeerCo will resume its Proposed Spin-off Listing. This time the company is aiming to raise less than US$1bn, as per media reports.</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal earlier, as the company had tried to spin-off BeerCo in 2021 as well before finally calling it off in April 2021.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the recent updates for BeerCo.</li>
</ul>


On 5th May 2022, Thai Beverage announced that BeerCo will resume its Proposed Spin-off Listing. This time the company is aiming to raise less than US$1bn, as per media reports.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal earlier, as the company had tried to spin-off BeerCo in 2021 as well before finally calling it off in April 2021.
In this note, we talk about the recent updates for BeerCo.


ThaiBev BeerCo Pre-IPO - Back for Another Round

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In a regulatory filing last Thursday, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)</a> said that it had restarted its Beer Unit IPO at a much lower valuation than before.</li>
<li>Based on the current NAV discount of 13%, we think this is already priced-in Thai Bev’s share price.</li>
<li>Nonetheless, a 13% NAV discount could be too light in our opinion and there could be downside potential to the NAV discount following the completion of the Beer Unit IPO.</li>
</ul>


In a regulatory filing last Thursday, Thai Beverage (THBEV SP) said that it had restarted its Beer Unit IPO at a much lower valuation than before.
Based on the current NAV discount of 13%, we think this is already priced-in Thai Bev’s share price.
Nonetheless, a 13% NAV discount could be too light in our opinion and there could be downside potential to the NAV discount following the completion of the Beer Unit IPO.


Thai Bev: Holdco Discount Narrows as Thai Bev Prepares to Restart the Beer Unit IPO

<ul>
<li>Ngern Tid Lor (NTL), a financial service provider based in Thailand, raised around US$1bn in its Thailand IPO in May 2021.</li>
<li>NTL provides hire purchase loans for motorcycles and cars, along with new and used trucks. It also provides insurance brokerage services through its branches for non-life and life insurance. </li>
<li>The lock-up on its two main shareholders will expire today.</li>
</ul>


Ngern Tid Lor (NTL), a financial service provider based in Thailand, raised around US$1bn in its Thailand IPO in May 2021.
NTL provides hire purchase loans for motorcycles and cars, along with new and used trucks. It also provides insurance brokerage services through its branches for non-life and life insurance. 
The lock-up on its two main shareholders will expire today.


Ngern Tid Lor IPO Lock-Up - A US$660m Overhang. Selldown Is a Question of When, Not If.

Life Insurance Corporation of India / Equity Capital Markets

Life Insurance Corporation of India (LICI IN)

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPOs front, LIC's anchor book wasn't great while Delhivery finally launched its IPO and Hong Kong market saw its first launch in a while.</li>
<li>Placements remained few and far between with only <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/air-new-zealand-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:815:1" rel="noopener">Air New Zealand (AIR NZ)</a> launching its shortfall bookbuild.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPOs front, LIC's anchor book wasn't great while Delhivery finally launched its IPO and Hong Kong market saw its first launch in a while.
Placements remained few and far between with only Air New Zealand (AIR NZ) launching its shortfall bookbuild.


ECM Weekly (9th May 22) - LIC, Campus, Rainbow, Delhivery, Shieldus, Yunkang, PAG, Keep, Air NZ

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berli-jucker-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3685:1" rel="noopener">Berli Jucker (BJC TB)</a> 4Q2021 results marked a turnaround in both its packaging business in glass and cans plus better performance from Big C as mobility improved during the quarter.</li>
<li>The outlook for packaging looks positive and the Big C will open more outlets in 2022 plus renovating around 20 hypermarkets plus opening new formats this year.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berli-jucker-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3685:1" rel="noopener">Berli Jucker (BJC TB)</a> remains an interesting recovery play for Thailand and Vietnam, with the potential for more retail exposure there in the future. Valuations stack up versus peers.</li>
</ul>



Berli Jucker (BJC TB) 4Q2021 results marked a turnaround in both its packaging business in glass and cans plus better performance from Big C as mobility improved during the quarter.
The outlook for packaging looks positive and the Big C will open more outlets in 2022 plus renovating around 20 hypermarkets plus opening new formats this year.

Berli Jucker (BJC TB) remains an interesting recovery play for Thailand and Vietnam, with the potential for more retail exposure there in the future. Valuations stack up versus peers.


Berli Jucker (BJC IJ) - Ride the Retail and Packaging Recovery

Thailand

Thai Beverage is a leading beverage company in Southeast Asia, manufacturing, marketing, and distributing alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, as well as food products. Its diverse portfolio includes spirits, beer (such as Chang Beer), non-alcoholic beverages like Oishi green tea, and various food offerings. The company is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand, and was founded on October 29, 2003.

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Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)

ThaiBev BeerCo Pre-IPO - Back for Another Round

Thai Beverage plans to resume BeerCo's proposed spin-off listing. This time the company is aiming to raise less than US$1bn, as per media reports.

Sumeet Singh

Thai Bev: Holdco Discount Narrows as Thai Bev Prepares to Restart the Beer Unit IPO

A 13% NAV discount could be too light in our opinion and there could be downside potential to the NAV discount following the completion of the Beer...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Ngern Tid Lor IPO Lock-Up - A US$660m Overhang. Selldown Is a Question of When, Not If.

Ngern Tid Lor (NTL), a financial service provider based in Thailand, raised around US$1bn in its Thailand IPO in May 2021. The lock-up on its two...

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (9th May 22) - LIC, Campus, Rainbow, Delhivery, Shieldus, Yunkang, PAG, Keep, Air NZ

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Berli Jucker (BJC IJ) - Ride the Retail and Packaging Recovery

Berli Jucker remains an interesting recovery play for Thailand and Vietnam, with the potential for more retail exposure in Vietnam in the future....

Angus Mackintosh

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