Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass when we discussed SPX 5110-5120 as a bounce spot and a level to trade [long] against.</li>
<li>Possible that major lows are in at 4800-4820 SPX and $402-$412 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), as discussed in 4/10/25 Int'l Compass. For now we want to remain near-term bullish</li>
<li>200-Day MAs on ACWI-US and SPX are spots where they <em>could</em> roll over. This is just a lean; if we see no reason to sell at those levels, we won't.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass when we discussed SPX 5110-5120 as a bounce spot and a level to trade [long] against.
Possible that major lows are in at 4800-4820 SPX and $402-$412 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), as discussed in 4/10/25 Int'l Compass. For now we want to remain near-term bullish
200-Day MAs on ACWI-US and SPX are spots where they could roll over. This is just a lean; if we see no reason to sell at those levels, we won't.


Invest As If the Lows Are In; EURO STOXX 50 and TOPIX Reclaim Key Levels

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,208/1,220 points (75-day EMA) and the support at 1,190 points (50-day EMA)/1,180 points.</li><li>In the short term, the index remains in a bullish flag rally phase, aiming to retest the previous resistance levels at 1,200/1,220 points after setting a new low for the year at 1,056.41 points on April 8.</li><li>This upward movement signals a medium-term trend reversal to an uptrend (bottoming out). Next, the index is expected to enter a consolidation phase to confirm a higher low in the long term (the major buying zone lies at 1,145/1,128 points). </li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,208/1,220 points (75-day EMA) and the support at 1,190 points (50-day EMA)/1,180 points.In the short term, the index remains in a bullish flag rally phase, aiming to retest the previous resistance levels at 1,200/1,220 points after setting a new low for the year at 1,056.41 points on April 8.This upward movement signals a medium-term trend reversal to an uptrend (bottoming out). Next, the index is expected to enter a consolidation phase to confirm a higher low in the long term (the major buying zone lies at 1,145/1,128 points). 

KTX Zoom: US Non-Farm Payrolls - May 2, 2025

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,166/1,176 points and the support at 1,150/1,148 points (10-day EMA).</li><li>The short-term outlook remains within a bullish flag rally range of 1,134-1,166 points, aiming to retest the previous resistance at 1,176 points after setting a new low for the year at 1,056.41 points on April 8.</li><li>This upward movement is expected to help confirm a medium-term trend reversal from a downtrend to a new uptrend (with higher lows). </li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,166/1,176 points and the support at 1,150/1,148 points (10-day EMA).The short-term outlook remains within a bullish flag rally range of 1,134-1,166 points, aiming to retest the previous resistance at 1,176 points after setting a new low for the year at 1,056.41 points on April 8.This upward movement is expected to help confirm a medium-term trend reversal from a downtrend to a new uptrend (with higher lows). 

KTX Zoom: US: JOLTS Job Report -  APRIL 29, 2025

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Apr 11th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in WHA Corporation PCL , Siam Cement PLC.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Apr 11th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.7bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in WHA Corporation PCL , Siam Cement PLC.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Apr 11th): WHA, SCC

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Apr 4th.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Airports of Thailand, PTT E&amp;P, Bangkok Bank, Kasikornbank, CP ALL, CP AXTRA NVDR, Thai Oil, Supalai, Siri Prime Office Property Fd.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Apr 4th.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Airports of Thailand, PTT E&amp;P, Bangkok Bank, Kasikornbank, CP ALL, CP AXTRA NVDR, Thai Oil, Supalai, Siri Prime Office Property Fd.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Apr 4th): Airports of Thailand, PTT E&P, Bangkok Bank, Kasikornbank

Thailand

Thai Life Insurance Public Company Limited operates as an insurance company. The Company offers life, investment, health, accident, elderly, critical illness, and retail insurance services. Thai Life Insurance serves customers in Thailand.

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Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB)

Invest As If the Lows Are In; EURO STOXX 50 and TOPIX Reclaim Key Levels

Invest As If the Lows Are In; EURO $STOXX 50 and $TOPIX Reclaim Key Levels; Still near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass report. Possible...

Vermilion Research

KTX Zoom: US Non-Farm Payrolls - May 2, 2025

We maintain our recommendation to take profit on rallies for short-term investors, while long-term investors are advised to selectively buy on dips.

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Zoom: US: JOLTS Job Report - APRIL 29, 2025

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,166/1,176 points and the support at 1,150/1,148 points (10-day EMA).

Krungthai XSpring

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Apr 11th): WHA, SCC

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in WHA Corporation PLC, SCC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Apr 4th): Airports of Thailand, PTT E&P, Bangkok Bank, Kasikornbank

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Airports of Thailand, PTT E&P, Bangkok Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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