Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand could get support as buyers focus on locking in supply to cover requirements during final weeks of Q3 2025.</li><li>Dynamic would highlight disconnect between typical seasonal slowdown in lube demand in month of August and need to secure base oils supplies to meet pick-up in demand at end of third quarter.</li><li>Expectations of sufficient supply could prompt buyers to maintain balanced inventories rather than to seek larger stocks.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand could get support as buyers focus on locking in supply to cover requirements during final weeks of Q3 2025.Dynamic would highlight disconnect between typical seasonal slowdown in lube demand in month of August and need to secure base oils supplies to meet pick-up in demand at end of third quarter.Expectations of sufficient supply could prompt buyers to maintain balanced inventories rather than to seek larger stocks.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 28 July

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to move sideways today, with support at 1,206/1,202 points and resistance at 1,222/1,227 points.</li><li>Key factors to watch include: the clash between Thailand and Cambodia (whether it de-escalates or intensifies), corporate earnings reports (DELTA), and the outcome of tariff negotiations with the US (how much the rate will be reduced from 36%).</li><li>External factors remain slightly positive following continued progress in trade negotiations. </li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to move sideways today, with support at 1,206/1,202 points and resistance at 1,222/1,227 points.Key factors to watch include: the clash between Thailand and Cambodia (whether it de-escalates or intensifies), corporate earnings reports (DELTA), and the outcome of tariff negotiations with the US (how much the rate will be reduced from 36%).External factors remain slightly positive following continued progress in trade negotiations. 

<ul><li>Global base oils prices face more pressure versus feedstock/competing fuel prices, especially for light grades, and especially in Asia.</li><li>Heavy-grade price-premium to feedstock/competing fuel prices also faces more pressure in Asia than in other markets.</li><li>Dynamic increases prospect of any adjustments in output taking place in Asia ahead of other markets.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices face more pressure versus feedstock/competing fuel prices, especially for light grades, and especially in Asia.Heavy-grade price-premium to feedstock/competing fuel prices also faces more pressure in Asia than in other markets.Dynamic increases prospect of any adjustments in output taking place in Asia ahead of other markets.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 21 July

<ul><li>Asia’s Group II heavy-grade base oils cargo price-premium to US export prices widens in H1 July, further complicating arbitrage to Americas.</li><li>Asia's Group II light-grade price-discount to US export prices narrows, complicating arbitrage to Americas.</li><li>Asia’s firm Group II base oils prices contrast with steep price-discount to US export prices in Q2-Q3 2024.</li></ul>

Asia’s Group II heavy-grade base oils cargo price-premium to US export prices widens in H1 July, further complicating arbitrage to Americas.Asia's Group II light-grade price-discount to US export prices narrows, complicating arbitrage to Americas.Asia’s firm Group II base oils prices contrast with steep price-discount to US export prices in Q2-Q3 2024.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 21 July

<ul><li>Asia’s heavy-grade base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil stays elevated even as it edges lower.</li><li>Firm margins incentivize refiners to maintain high output of heavy-grade base oils.</li><li>Firm margins and high output could trigger rise in surplus supplies.</li></ul>

Asia’s heavy-grade base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil stays elevated even as it edges lower.Firm margins incentivize refiners to maintain high output of heavy-grade base oils.Firm margins and high output could trigger rise in surplus supplies.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 21 July

Thailand

Thai Oil Public Company Limited is an oil refinery company. The Company imports crude oil and refines it into gasoline.  It also produces oil related products including liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), kerosene, fuel oil and chemicals. Thai oil supplies its products to domestic market where its major customers include Shell, Caltex Oil and the Petroleum Authority of Thailand.

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Thai Oil Pcl (TOP TB)

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 28 July

Asia’s base oils demand could get support as buyers focus on locking in supply to cover requirements during final weeks of Q3 2025. Dynamic would...

Base Oil News

KTX Zoom - JULY 25, 2025

The SET Index is expected to move sideways today, with support at 1,206/1,202 points and resistance at 1,222/1,227 points.

Krungthai XSpring

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 21 July

Global base oils prices face more pressure versus feedstock/competing fuel prices, especially for light grades, and especially in...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 21 July

Asia’s Group II heavy-grade base oils cargo price-premium to US export prices widens in H1 July, further complicating arbitrage to...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 21 July

Asia’s heavy-grade base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil stays elevated even as it edges lower. Firm margins incentivize refiners to...

Base Oil News

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