Healthcare Equity Analyst - Emerging & Dev Markets, daaimon

Avien Pillay

Healthcare Equity Analyst - Emerging & Dev Markets

daaimon

daaimon is an independent research company focusing on healthcare and consumer sectors across developed and emerging markets. We produce insightful research which challenges conventional thinking. In particular, we look for new ideas by testing consensus forecasts and markets expectations.

Equity Bottom-Up

The United Laboratories International Holdings Limited / Equity Bottom-Up

The United Laboratories International Holdings Limited

<ul>
<li>Despite its 96% price appreciation since our initiation, United Laboratories is still trading on a 8.7 FPE, and a 5.5 EV/EVITDA.</li>
<li>A US FDA GLP-1 approval and a potential $ 1.8bn deal with Novo Nordisk demonstrates its successful diabetes and obesity strategy.</li>
<li>With over 80 drugs in the pipeline to be delivered over the next five years, we believe that TUL is about to experience a very material increase in topline growth.</li>
</ul>


Despite its 96% price appreciation since our initiation, United Laboratories is still trading on a 8.7 FPE, and a 5.5 EV/EVITDA.
A US FDA GLP-1 approval and a potential $ 1.8bn deal with Novo Nordisk demonstrates its successful diabetes and obesity strategy.
With over 80 drugs in the pipeline to be delivered over the next five years, we believe that TUL is about to experience a very material increase in topline growth.


The United Laboratories International Holdings (TUL) Ltd (3933 HK) - Retain Buy

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

The United Laboratories International Holdings Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>WuXi AppTec’s 25H1 Profit Alert indicates the whole year performance may beat expectations. However, “valuation discount” reflects geopolitical risks. The intensive share repurchases is insignificant compared with previous share reductions.</li>
<li>Sino Biopharm will pay US$500.9 million to acquire LaNova. Based on pipeline/licensing cooperation, this is a deal with very high cost performance. However, valuation contribution may remain to be seen.</li>
<li>United Lab plans to raise HK$2.17 billion in net proceeds from Placement. Valuation logic will shift from a traditional bulk medicine company to innovative drug company. 15x P/E is expected.</li>
</ul>


WuXi AppTec’s 25H1 Profit Alert indicates the whole year performance may beat expectations. However, “valuation discount” reflects geopolitical risks. The intensive share repurchases is insignificant compared with previous share reductions.
Sino Biopharm will pay US$500.9 million to acquire LaNova. Based on pipeline/licensing cooperation, this is a deal with very high cost performance. However, valuation contribution may remain to be seen.
United Lab plans to raise HK$2.17 billion in net proceeds from Placement. Valuation logic will shift from a traditional bulk medicine company to innovative drug company. 15x P/E is expected.


China Healthcare Weekly(July20)-WuXi AppTec 25H1, Sino Biopharm Acquire LaNova, United Lab Placement

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-united-laboratories-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16074:1" rel="noopener">The United Laboratories International Holdings Limited (3933 HK)</a> is looking to raise up to US$262m from a primary placement. </li>
<li>The company intends to use about 60% of the proceeds to build production capacity and expand its international business, with the rest to be used for R&amp;D purposes.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



The United Laboratories International Holdings Limited (3933 HK) is looking to raise up to US$262m from a primary placement. 
The company intends to use about 60% of the proceeds to build production capacity and expand its international business, with the rest to be used for R&amp;D purposes.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


United Lab Placement - Industry Momentum Strong, Although Stock Has Run-Up Quite a Bit

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We have screened for APAC (ex-China) healthcare companies using their respective Smart Score, a compound score for a company indicating its overall outlook based on key factors.</li>
<li>Smart Score screens the stock based on five major components including value, dividends, growth, resilience, and momentum. It also provides a cumulative score, which puts equal weightage on each parameter.  </li>
<li>Parameters used to screen the stocks: market cap≥ $800M and smart score≥ 3.5. We have seen stocks having high smart score has strong growth prospects and qualify for investment proposition.</li>
</ul>


We have screened for APAC (ex-China) healthcare companies using their respective Smart Score, a compound score for a company indicating its overall outlook based on key factors.
Smart Score screens the stock based on five major components including value, dividends, growth, resilience, and momentum. It also provides a cumulative score, which puts equal weightage on each parameter.  
Parameters used to screen the stocks: market cap≥ $800M and smart score≥ 3.5. We have seen stocks having high smart score has strong growth prospects and qualify for investment proposition.


Top APAC (Ex-China) Investment Worthy Healthcare Companies Using Smartkarma’s Smart Score Screener

<ul>
<li>Mandi’s business is quite focused. In the short-term, Minoxidil will continue to be the main performance driver for Mandi. The performance contribution of Winlevi and Mandi’s semaglutide would be uncertain. </li>
<li>The concern here is the declining growth rate due to VBP and increasing competition. Based on our forecast, growth of the next three years would be maintained at 15-20% YoY.</li>
<li>An aggressive valuation range for Mandi is RMB34-43 billion. However, due to VBP/increasing competition, a relatively conservative P/S range is 10-20x. If based on 2025 forecast, valuation is RMB17.2-34.3 billion.</li>
</ul>


Mandi’s business is quite focused. In the short-term, Minoxidil will continue to be the main performance driver for Mandi. The performance contribution of Winlevi and Mandi’s semaglutide would be uncertain. 
The concern here is the declining growth rate due to VBP and increasing competition. Based on our forecast, growth of the next three years would be maintained at 15-20% YoY.
An aggressive valuation range for Mandi is RMB34-43 billion. However, due to VBP/increasing competition, a relatively conservative P/S range is 10-20x. If based on 2025 forecast, valuation is RMB17.2-34.3 billion.


Pre-IPO Mandi Inc. - The Business Model, the Concerns and the Valuation

Hong Kong

The United Laboratories International Holdings Limited produces and distributes pharmaceutical products. The Company's products include finished products, APIs, intermediates, and capsules.

The United Laboratories International Holdings Limited (3933 HK)

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The United Laboratories International Holdings Limited (3933 HK)

The United Laboratories International Holdings (TUL) Ltd (3933 HK) - Retain Buy

United Laboratories has seen significant price appreciation and success in diabetes and obesity strategy, with a promising pipeline for future...

daaimon

China Healthcare Weekly(July20)-WuXi AppTec 25H1, Sino Biopharm Acquire LaNova, United Lab Placement

WuXi AppTec’s 25H1 Profit Alert indicates 2025 result may beat expectation. Sino Biopharm's acquisition of LaNova show high cost...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

United Lab Placement - Industry Momentum Strong, Although Stock Has Run-Up Quite a Bit

United Laboratories International Holdings is looking to raise up to US$262m from a primary placement. In this note, we will talk about the...

Akshat Shah

Top APAC (Ex-China) Investment Worthy Healthcare Companies Using Smartkarma’s Smart Score Screener

We have screened APAC (ex-China) healthcare companies with market cap≥$800M using Smartkarma’s Smart Score and picked up 2 investable ideas by...

Tina Banerjee

Pre-IPO Mandi Inc. - The Business Model, the Concerns and the Valuation

Mandi's short-term success hinges on Minoxidil, but uncertainty looms with Winlevi and semaglutide. Growth may slow due to VBP and competition. A...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

The United Laboratories International Holdings (TUL) Ltd (3933 HK) - Retain Buy

​United Laboratories has seen significant price appreciation and success in diabetes and obesity strategy, with a promising pipeline for future...

daaimon

China Healthcare Weekly(July20)-WuXi AppTec 25H1, Sino Biopharm Acquire LaNova, United Lab Placement

WuXi AppTec’s 25H1 Profit Alert indicates 2025 result may beat expectation. Sino Biopharm's acquisition of LaNova show high cost...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

United Lab Placement - Industry Momentum Strong, Although Stock Has Run-Up Quite a Bit

United Laboratories International Holdings is looking to raise up to US$262m from a primary placement. In this note, we will talk about the...

Akshat Shah

Top APAC (Ex-China) Investment Worthy Healthcare Companies Using Smartkarma’s Smart Score Screener

We have screened APAC (ex-China) healthcare companies with market cap≥$800M using Smartkarma’s Smart Score and picked up 2 investable ideas by...

Tina Banerjee

Pre-IPO Mandi Inc. - The Business Model, the Concerns and the Valuation

​Mandi's short-term success hinges on Minoxidil, but uncertainty looms with Winlevi and semaglutide. Growth may slow due to VBP and competition. A...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

United Laboratories has seen significant price appreciation and success in diabetes and obesity strategy, with a promising pipeline for future...

Mandi's short-term success hinges on Minoxidil, but uncertainty looms with Winlevi and semaglutide. Growth may slow due to VBP and competition. A...