IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rigaku-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43950:1" rel="noopener">Rigaku Holdings (268A JP)</a> is Japan’s leading manufacturer of X-ray analysis, measurement and testing instruments. It is seeking to raise up to US$760 million.</li>
<li>In <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rigaku-holdings-268a-jp-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:161041" rel="noopener">Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bull Case</a></strong></em>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on weakening forward growth indicators, China revenue risk, rising cash conversion cycles, mid-tier FCF margin and large post-IPO share overhang. </li>
</ul>



Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) is Japan’s leading manufacturer of X-ray analysis, measurement and testing instruments. It is seeking to raise up to US$760 million.
In Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on weakening forward growth indicators, China revenue risk, rising cash conversion cycles, mid-tier FCF margin and large post-IPO share overhang. 


Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bear Case

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rigaku-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43950:1" rel="noopener">Rigaku Holdings (268A JP)</a> is Japan’s leading manufacturer of X-ray analysis, measurement and testing instruments. It is seeking to raise up to US$760 million. </li>
<li>In Japan, Rigaku’s XRD (X-ray diffraction) has a high market share of 75%. Around 70% of its revenue is derived from customers outside Japan.   </li>
<li>The bull case rests on high customer switching costs, peer-leading revenue growth, top-quartile profitability, FCF generation, and low leverage.</li>
</ul>



Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) is Japan’s leading manufacturer of X-ray analysis, measurement and testing instruments. It is seeking to raise up to US$760 million. 
In Japan, Rigaku’s XRD (X-ray diffraction) has a high market share of 75%. Around 70% of its revenue is derived from customers outside Japan.   
The bull case rests on high customer switching costs, peer-leading revenue growth, top-quartile profitability, FCF generation, and low leverage.


Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bull Case

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rigaku-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43950:1" rel="noopener">Rigaku Holdings (268A JP)</a> provides cutting-edge analytical solutions centered on X-ray technology globally. The company is one of the largest players globally in X-ray diffraction instrument market.</li>
<li>The company has filed for an IPO on the Tokyo Stock Exchange and plans to raise proceeds of around US$900m from the IPO at a potential valuation of US$2bn.</li>
<li>In this insight, we discuss Rigaku’s business model, key drivers, financials and outlook for the company.</li>
</ul>



Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) provides cutting-edge analytical solutions centered on X-ray technology globally. The company is one of the largest players globally in X-ray diffraction instrument market.
The company has filed for an IPO on the Tokyo Stock Exchange and plans to raise proceeds of around US$900m from the IPO at a potential valuation of US$2bn.
In this insight, we discuss Rigaku’s business model, key drivers, financials and outlook for the company.


Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. recently disclosed their financial results for the second quarter of 2024, which provide a mixed picture, illustrating both strengths and weaknesses in their performance.</li><li>Starting with the positives, Thermo Fisher experienced a solid revenue posting of $10.54 billion for the quarter, alongside an adjusted operating income of $2.35 billion.</li><li>The adjusted operating margin also saw a notable increase to 22.3%, reflecting a refined operational efficiency.</li></ul>

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. recently disclosed their financial results for the second quarter of 2024, which provide a mixed picture, illustrating both strengths and weaknesses in their performance.Starting with the positives, Thermo Fisher experienced a solid revenue posting of $10.54 billion for the quarter, alongside an adjusted operating income of $2.35 billion.The adjusted operating margin also saw a notable increase to 22.3%, reflecting a refined operational efficiency.

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.: What Is The Framework Behind Their Market Positioning and Competitive Differentiation? - Major Drivers

<ul><li>Thermo Fisher Scientific posted a strong start to the year, with the first-quarter revenue reaching $10.34 billion and an increase of 2% year-over-year in adjusted EPS, to $5.11 per share.</li><li>The robust financial performance was primarily driven by strong operational discipline, superior commercial execution, and its effective growth strategy.</li><li>The company managed to beat their expectations which is reflected in the raised guidance, setting the stage for strong performance in 2024.</li></ul>

Thermo Fisher Scientific posted a strong start to the year, with the first-quarter revenue reaching $10.34 billion and an increase of 2% year-over-year in adjusted EPS, to $5.11 per share.The robust financial performance was primarily driven by strong operational discipline, superior commercial execution, and its effective growth strategy.The company managed to beat their expectations which is reflected in the raised guidance, setting the stage for strong performance in 2024.

Thermo Fisher Scientific: What Is Their Long-Term Growth Strategy Towards Market Share Expansion? - Major Drivers

United States

Thermo Fisher Scientific, Inc. manufactures scientific instruments, consumables, and chemicals.  The Company offers analytical instruments, laboratory equipment, software, services, consumables, reagents, chemicals, and supplies to pharmaceutical and biotech companies, hospitals and clinical diagnostic labs, universities, research institutions, and government agencies.

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Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc (TMO US)

Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on weakening forward growth indicators, China revenue risk, rising cash conversion cycles, mid-tier FCF margin and large post...

Arun George

Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on high customer switching costs, peer-leading revenue growth, top-quartile profitability, FCF generation, and low leverage.

Arun George

Rigaku Holdings IPO: Initial Thoughts

Rigaku, a global leader in scientific instruments based on X-ray technology, has filed for an IPO in Japan with plans to raise $900m at a...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.: What Is The Framework Behind Their Market Positioning and Competitive Differentiation? - Major Drivers

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. recently disclosed their financial results for the second quarter of 2024, which provide a mixed picture,...

Baptista Research

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Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on weakening forward growth indicators, China revenue risk, rising cash conversion cycles, mid-tier FCF margin and large post...

Arun George

Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on high customer switching costs, peer-leading revenue growth, top-quartile profitability, FCF generation, and low leverage.

Arun George

Rigaku Holdings IPO: Initial Thoughts

​Rigaku, a global leader in scientific instruments based on X-ray technology, has filed for an IPO in Japan with plans to raise $900m at a...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.: What Is The Framework Behind Their Market Positioning and Competitive Differentiation? - Major Drivers

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. recently disclosed their financial results for the second quarter of 2024, which provide a mixed picture,...

Baptista Research

Thermo Fisher Scientific: What Is Their Long-Term Growth Strategy Towards Market Share Expansion? - Major Drivers

Thermo Fisher Scientific posted a strong start to the year, with the first-quarter revenue reaching $10.34 billion and an increase of 2%...

Baptista Research

Rigaku, a global leader in scientific instruments based on X-ray technology, has filed for an IPO in Japan with plans to raise $900m at a...