External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club (VIC)

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Value Investors Club

Equity Bottom-Up

Key points (machine generated)<ul><li>Thungela operates in the declining thermal coal sector but maintains a strong balance sheet with 90% net cash relative to market cap.</li><li>The company offers a 15% dividend yield and 4% from share buybacks, projecting a 20% free cash flow yield under moderate coal prices.</li><li>The report will analyze the thermal coal industry's outlook, Thungela's production capabilities, and the risks associated with the transition to lower-emission energy sources.</li></ul>This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Key points (machine generated)Thungela operates in the declining thermal coal sector but maintains a strong balance sheet with 90% net cash relative to market cap.The company offers a 15% dividend yield and 4% from share buybacks, projecting a 20% free cash flow yield under moderate coal prices.The report will analyze the thermal coal industry's outlook, Thungela's production capabilities, and the risks associated with the transition to lower-emission energy sources.This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Thungela Resources Limited (TGA:JSE) - Wednesday, May 21, 2025

Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this short insight, we include our flow estimates for all additions and deletions taking place in the range of WisdomTree EM Funds at the rebalance this Wednesday (16 October).</li>
<li>We show the top 40 buys and sells across DEM, XSOE and DGS.</li>
<li>The top buys include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chc-resources-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13423:1" rel="noopener">Chc Resources (9930 TT)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uchi-technologies-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10723:1" rel="noopener">Uchi Technologies (UCHI MK)</a>. The top sells include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/impack-pratama-industri-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3927:1" rel="noopener">Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hap-seng-consolidated-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13036:1" rel="noopener">Hap Seng Consolidated (HAP MK).</a>
</li>
</ul>


In this short insight, we include our flow estimates for all additions and deletions taking place in the range of WisdomTree EM Funds at the rebalance this Wednesday (16 October).
We show the top 40 buys and sells across DEM, XSOE and DGS.
The top buys include Chc Resources (9930 TT) &amp; Uchi Technologies (UCHI MK). The top sells include Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC IJ) and Hap Seng Consolidated (HAP MK).



WisdomTree Oct 24 Emerging Market Rebalance: Top Net Buys and Sells Across DGS, SOE & DEM

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Sinopec Engineering Group H / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index is a fundamentally weighted index that measures the performance of small cap stocks within Emerging Markets.</li>
<li>The changes at the October rebalance were announced after market close on 4 October with implementation scheduled at the close on 16 October.</li>
<li>There are 8 trading days to implementation and there are a bunch of stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


The WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index is a fundamentally weighted index that measures the performance of small cap stocks within Emerging Markets.
The changes at the October rebalance were announced after market close on 4 October with implementation scheduled at the close on 16 October.
There are 8 trading days to implementation and there are a bunch of stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.


WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index Rebalance: US$1bn to Trade

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

<ul>
<li>On 22 May, Anglo American rejected the last offer (0.8860) from BHP on execution risks, potential negative value impacts and additional approvals needed in South Africa. PUSU extended 29 May.</li>
<li>I update my SOTP to 2938p. Copper Fair Value, in my opinion, is £17.70 per share. This contrasts with BHP's current offer of £21.32/share for the entirety of Anglo's rump.</li>
<li>There is now a ~20.1% difference between the implied value of BHP's offer and the share price of Anglo. The market assumes a lower likelihood of an agreed deal</li>
</ul>


On 22 May, Anglo American rejected the last offer (0.8860) from BHP on execution risks, potential negative value impacts and additional approvals needed in South Africa. PUSU extended 29 May.
I update my SOTP to 2938p. Copper Fair Value, in my opinion, is £17.70 per share. This contrasts with BHP's current offer of £21.32/share for the entirety of Anglo's rump.
There is now a ~20.1% difference between the implied value of BHP's offer and the share price of Anglo. The market assumes a lower likelihood of an agreed deal


Anglo American Rejects BHP's Increased and Final Offer

Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay, Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay

Quantitative fund & research firm with a qualitative overlay. 

Our coverage: General U.S. with a skew towards the primary sector. 

Methods: Smart Beta/Factor Pricing, Neural Networks, Street Gossip, and Common Sense.

<ul>
<li>Thungela Resources Limited's six-month trading report suggests that an earnings slump is en route.</li>
<li>The firm's broad-based output is suffering from troubled railways and softer-than-anticipated demand from abroad.</li>
<li>A lower dividend is highly probable, according to the report.</li>
</ul>


Thungela Resources Limited's six-month trading report suggests that an earnings slump is en route.
The firm's broad-based output is suffering from troubled railways and softer-than-anticipated demand from abroad.
A lower dividend is highly probable, according to the report.


Thungela: Cyclical Downturn Should Resume

South Africa

Thungela Resources Limited is a mining company. The Company produces and exports thermal coal. Thungela Resources operates mines in South Africa.

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Thungela Resources (TNGRF US)

Thungela Resources Limited (TGA:JSE) - Wednesday, May 21, 2025

Thungela, a thermal coal company facing industry decline, maintains a strong balance sheet, offers high shareholder returns, and ensures production...

Value Investors Club (VIC)

WisdomTree Oct 24 Emerging Market Rebalance: Top Net Buys and Sells Across DGS, SOE & DEM

WisdomTree EM Funds are due for rebalancing on Wednesday. In this insight, we show the top net buys and sells by volume multiple. We aggregate our...

DMA

WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index Rebalance: US$1bn to Trade

There are 370 adds/257 deletes for the WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index. Round-trip trade is around US$1bn. There is big impact...

Brian Freitas

Anglo American Rejects BHP's Increased and Final Offer

On 22 May, Anglo American rejected the last offer (0.8860) from BHP on execution risks, potential negative value impacts and additional approvals...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Thungela: Cyclical Downturn Should Resume

The firm's broad-based output is suffering from troubled railways and softer-than-anticipated demand from abroad. A lower dividend is highly...

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

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