IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The IE considers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianqi-lithium-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27789:1" rel="noopener">Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/igo-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:462:1" rel="noopener">IGO Ltd (IGO AU)</a> JV’s A$0.50 offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/essential-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9645:1" rel="noopener">Essential Metals (ESS AU)</a> to be fair and reasonable as it is higher than its A$0.283-0.468 valuation. </li>
<li>Odey, the recent substantial shareholder, hoped for a competing proposal which has not materialised. On 10 March, Odey sold down 21% of its holding at A$0.48 per share.</li>
<li>Barring an unlikely competing proposal, this is done. At the last close price and for the 5 May payment, the gross and annualised spread is 3.1% and 28.4%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The IE considers Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK)/IGO Ltd (IGO AU) JV’s A$0.50 offer for Essential Metals (ESS AU) to be fair and reasonable as it is higher than its A$0.283-0.468 valuation. 
Odey, the recent substantial shareholder, hoped for a competing proposal which has not materialised. On 10 March, Odey sold down 21% of its holding at A$0.48 per share.
Barring an unlikely competing proposal, this is done. At the last close price and for the 5 May payment, the gross and annualised spread is 3.1% and 28.4%, respectively.


Essential Metals (ESS AU): Tianqi/​IGO JV Scheme Meeting on 20 April

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 17th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$2,260.0 million, led by information technology, industrials, materials sectors, and offset by financials, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Yangtze Power, Tcl Zhonghuan, Ping An Insurance, CATL, Moutai, CMB .</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 17th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$2,260.0 million, led by information technology, industrials, materials sectors, and offset by financials, energy.
We highlight flows for Yangtze Power, Tcl Zhonghuan, Ping An Insurance, CATL, Moutai, CMB .


Northbound Flows (Mar 17th): Yangtze Power, Tcl Zhonghuan, Ping An Insurance, CATL, Moutai, CMB

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into China Mobile, GWM, Sensetime, and outflows from Tencent, HKEx, CCB, Meituan, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into China Mobile, GWM, Sensetime, and outflows from Tencent, HKEx, CCB, Meituan, BYD.


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: First Monthly Outflows in 12 Months

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 1st.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$560.9 million, led by information technology, financials, communication services sectors, and offset by materials, energy.</li>
<li>We estimate that the inflows was USD 561m and highlight flows for Longi Green Energy Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 1st.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$560.9 million, led by information technology, financials, communication services sectors, and offset by materials, energy.
We estimate that the inflows was USD 561m and highlight flows for Longi Green Energy Technology.


Northbound Flows (Mar 1st): Longi Green Energy Technology

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alliance-aviation-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20401:1" rel="noopener">Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>.    </li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ihara-science-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9870:1" rel="noopener">Ihara Science (5999 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boustead-projects-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26785:1" rel="noopener">Boustead Projects (BOCJ SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissin-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18567:1" rel="noopener">Nissin Electric (6641 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techno-associe-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3893:1" rel="noopener">Techno Associe (8249 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - 21Vianet Group (VNET US), Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU), 111 Inc (YI US), Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP), Origin Energy (ORG AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP).    
Lowest spreads - Ihara Science (5999 JP), Tyro Payments (TYR AU), Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU), Boustead Projects (BOCJ SP), Nissin Electric (6641 JP), Techno Associe (8249 JP). 


Merger Arb Mondays (27 Feb) - Jiangnan, Origin Energy, Pushpay, Nitro, Norwest, Halcyon, Boustead

China

Tianqi Lithium Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells lithium products. The Company produces lithium carbonate, lithium chloride, lithium hydroxide, and other related products. Tianqi Lithium markets its products worldwide.

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Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK)

Essential Metals (ESS AU): Tianqi/IGO JV Scheme Meeting on 20 April

Barring an unlikely competing proposal, this is done. At the last close price and for the 5 May payment, the gross and annualised spread is 3.1%...

Arun George

Northbound Flows (Mar 17th): Yangtze Power, Tcl Zhonghuan, Ping An Insurance, CATL, Moutai, CMB

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Yangtze Power, Tcl Zhonghuan, Ping An Insurance, CATL,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: First Monthly Outflows in 12 Months

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for February and highlight flows for China Mobile, GWM, Sensetime, Tencent, HKEx, CCB, Meituan, BYD.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Mar 1st): Longi Green Energy Technology

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Longi Green Energy Technology.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Merger Arb Mondays (27 Feb) - Jiangnan, Origin Energy, Pushpay, Nitro, Norwest, Halcyon, Boustead

This week, the highest gross spreads are VNET (98.5%), Alliance Aviation (36.1%), 111 (30.7%), Golden Energy (13.0%), Origin Energy (10.1%), Toyo...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Essential Metals (ESS AU): Tianqi/​IGO JV Scheme Meeting on 20 April

Barring an unlikely competing proposal, this is done. At the last close price and for the 5 May payment, the gross and annualised spread is 3.1%...

Arun George

Northbound Flows (Mar 17th): Yangtze Power, Tcl Zhonghuan, Ping An Insurance, CATL, Moutai, CMB

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Yangtze Power, Tcl Zhonghuan, Ping An Insurance, CATL,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: First Monthly Outflows in 12 Months

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for February and highlight flows for China Mobile, GWM, Sensetime, Tencent, HKEx, CCB, Meituan, BYD.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Mar 1st): Longi Green Energy Technology

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Longi Green Energy Technology.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Merger Arb Mondays (27 Feb) - Jiangnan, Origin Energy, Pushpay, Nitro, Norwest, Halcyon, Boustead

This week, the highest gross spreads are VNET (98.5%), Alliance Aviation (36.1%), 111 (30.7%), Golden Energy (13.0%), Origin Energy (10.1%), Toyo...

Arun George

Essential Metals (ESS AU): Tianqi/IGO JV Scheme Meeting on 20 April