Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Asean (Thailand) Focused Independent Research

M Corp Review

M Corp is led by Athaporn Arayasantiparb who served as Head of Research for UOB and ANZ in Thailand and was an award-winning telecoms analyst at UBS in 2010 (AsiaMoney Thailand category) and Regional Strategist for DMG in Singapore. Prior to that, he also served as Kasikornbank credit analyst and scholar. He has a total work experience of 17 years, of which 14 were in research and 4 in research management roles. He started his career as an engineer for PTT and currently manages family investments. He holds an MBA from Stern (NYU) and CFA Charter since 2006. Apart from IPO Radar, which focuses on future listings, MCorp Review also provides six on-going thematic series ranked by frequency in descending order, namely: 1) Silicon Stories (technology) 2) Sathorn Series (financial services) 3) Thai-Coons (billionaire origin stories) 4) Reality Check (data-driven, investigative) 5) Thai Media Spotlight; and 6) Thai Macro Watch (global market drivers).

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In the wake of the news about Barclay's potential acquisition of Standard Chartered, we had a chat with a friend who works for the potential target company. In Thailand, this deal itself is probably not a big issue as it is globally or in London. Barclays only has limited investment banking presence here, though Standard Chartered, even after selling off its retail business to TISCO, still has a large corporate loans portfolio, legacy of long years of operations as well as its long-ago…

In the wake of the news about Barclay's potential acquisition of Standard Chartered, we had a chat with a friend who works for the potential target company. In Thailand, this deal itself is probably not a big issue as it is globally or in London. Barclays only has limited investment banking presence here, though Standard Chartered, even after selling off its retail business to TISCO, still has a large corporate loans portfolio, legacy of long years of operations as well as its long-ago…

Sathorn Series E: New Wave of Bank Mergers?

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

Emerging markets continue to outperform developed international equities, and within EM, the BRIC country grouping remains leadership.  In addition to sector and regional market comments, today’s report includes a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

Emerging markets continue to outperform developed international equities, and within EM, the BRIC country grouping remains leadership.  In addition to sector and regional market comments, today’s report includes a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Where understanding, forecasting credit metrics is more of an art than a science, we believe looking at a wide array of variables, including those that are less mainstream, can offer even greater insights. Newly released data on Thailand’s cheque clearing may be a positive indicator of the economy, or at least on spending. September data shows some of the lowest levels recorded in years on the value of returned cheques compared with total cleared cheques in Thailand’s provinces.  For Bangkok the…

Where understanding, forecasting credit metrics is more of an art than a science, we believe looking at a wide array of variables, including those that are less mainstream, can offer even greater insights. Newly released data on Thailand’s cheque clearing may be a positive indicator of the economy, or at least on spending. September data shows some of the lowest levels recorded in years on the value of returned cheques compared with total cleared cheques in Thailand’s provinces.  For Bangkok the…

There are four or five mainstream, listed banks in Thailand. When including small banks, government specialized banks and foreign banks with reasonably populated financial data, there are 25 banks. We examine credit quality metrics ahead of upcoming results on 21 October, taking into account all Thai banks. Specifically, we look at some meaningful divergence in trends of bad loan growth, as well as bad loan ratios. The Islamic Bank of Thailand (IBT) stands out with the highest non-performing…

There are four or five mainstream, listed banks in Thailand. When including small banks, government specialized banks and foreign banks with reasonably populated financial data, there are 25 banks. We examine credit quality metrics ahead of upcoming results on 21 October, taking into account all Thai banks. Specifically, we look at some meaningful divergence in trends of bad loan growth, as well as bad loan ratios. The Islamic Bank of Thailand (IBT) stands out with the highest non-performing…

A Broader View of Thai Bank Credit Quality

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of May 1st. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD3.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Thai Oil, Bangkok Bank, SCB X, CP Foods, TISCO Financial, Scb X, Thai Oil, Tisco Financial, Bangkok Bank, Cp Foods.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of May 1st. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD3.2bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Thai Oil, Bangkok Bank, SCB X, CP Foods, TISCO Financial, Scb X, Thai Oil, Tisco Financial, Bangkok Bank, Cp Foods.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (May 1st): Thai Oil, Bangkok Bank, SCB X, CP Foods, TISCO Financial

Thailand

TISCO Financial Group Public Co. Ltd. is a Thai financial services company operating through commercial banking, securities, asset management, and support businesses. It offers a wide range of products including retail and corporate loans, deposit products, investment services, and insurance. The company also provides investment banking, private banking, and wealth management services. Headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand, TISCO was established in 1969 as Thailand's first investment bank.

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TISCO Financial Group (TISCO TB)

Sathorn Series E: New Wave of Bank Mergers?

In the wake of the news about Barclay's potential acquisition of Standard Chartered, we had a chat with a friend who works for the potential target...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

EM Equity Strategy: Overweight BRIC

Emerging markets continue to outperform developed international equities, and within EM, the BRIC country grouping remains leadership. In addition...

Vermilion Research

Thailand's Returned Cheques

Where understanding, forecasting credit metrics is more of an art than a science, we believe looking at a wide array of variables, including those...

Daniel Tabbush

A Broader View of Thai Bank Credit Quality

There are four or five mainstream, listed banks in Thailand. When including small banks, government specialized banks and foreign banks with...

Daniel Tabbush

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (May 1st): Thai Oil, Bangkok Bank, SCB X, CP Foods, TISCO Financial

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Thai Oil (TOP TB), Bangkok Bank (BBL TB), SCB X...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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Market Cap (USDm)

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