Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>As we progress in earnings season in line with our previous Playbook, this one focuses on select consumer names. </li>
<li>Names discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/titan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12630:1" rel="noopener">Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedant-fashions-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34260:1" rel="noopener">Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/go-fashion-india-private-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36625:1" rel="noopener">Go Fashion India (GOCOLORS IN)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shoppers-stop-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12804:1" rel="noopener">Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN)</a>.  </li>
<li>Most names expect a soft Q1, and SHOP is targeting the most aggressive expansion.</li>
</ul>


As we progress in earnings season in line with our previous Playbook, this one focuses on select consumer names. 
Names discussed include Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN), Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN) , Go Fashion India (GOCOLORS IN) &amp; Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN).  
Most names expect a soft Q1, and SHOP is targeting the most aggressive expansion.


Earnings Playbook | Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) | Target of Quadrupling Network

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bundl-technologies-private-limited-swiggy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy</a> aims to raise US$1.25bn in its upcoming India IPO. The company has filed confidentially for its IPO, which is likely to be launched towards the end of the year.</li>
<li>Swiggy, along with Zomato, operates a duopoly that has come to dominate the food delivery market in India. In 1H24, Swiggy serviced over 274,000 restaurants via its 370,000 delivery partners.</li>
<li>In this note, we will take an early look at the company based on the publicly available financials. </li>
</ul>



Swiggy aims to raise US$1.25bn in its upcoming India IPO. The company has filed confidentially for its IPO, which is likely to be launched towards the end of the year.
Swiggy, along with Zomato, operates a duopoly that has come to dominate the food delivery market in India. In 1H24, Swiggy serviced over 274,000 restaurants via its 370,000 delivery partners.
In this note, we will take an early look at the company based on the publicly available financials. 


Swiggy Pre-IPO Early Look - Innovation Leader, Profitability Laggard

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Motilal Oswal's research report onTitan Company Titan Company (TTAN) posted consolidated sales growth of 21% YoY in 4QFY24, marginally better than our estimate.</li><li>However, EBIT margins across segments were weak, leading to an overall 8% miss on EBITDA in 4QFY24. Jewelry sales (ex-bullion) grew 22% YoY, with double-digit growth in the number of buyers.</li><li>The studded ratio expanded to 33% (same YoY).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Motilal Oswal's research report onTitan Company Titan Company (TTAN) posted consolidated sales growth of 21% YoY in 4QFY24, marginally better than our estimate.However, EBIT margins across segments were weak, leading to an overall 8% miss on EBITDA in 4QFY24. Jewelry sales (ex-bullion) grew 22% YoY, with double-digit growth in the number of buyers.The studded ratio expanded to 33% (same YoY).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Titan Company - Miss on Profitability; Sustaining Focus on Growth

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Titan: Jewellery (ex-bullion) sales grew 21.8% YoY to INR98.24bn (HSIE: 105.62bn)</li><li>Domestic standalone jewellery sales (ex-bullion) grew 20%</li><li>Profitability took a back seat as elevated gold prices, softened demand and high competitive intensity arm-twisted Titan to increase promotional expenses to defend market share</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Titan: Jewellery (ex-bullion) sales grew 21.8% YoY to INR98.24bn (HSIE: 105.62bn)Domestic standalone jewellery sales (ex-bullion) grew 20%Profitability took a back seat as elevated gold prices, softened demand and high competitive intensity arm-twisted Titan to increase promotional expenses to defend market shareContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Titan, Avenue Supermarts

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honasa-consumer-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36117:1" rel="noopener">Honasa Consumer (HONASA IN)</a> raised about US$200m in its India IPO. Its pre-IPO investors will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.</li>
<li>HC’s product portfolio includes products in the baby care, face care, body care, hair care, color cosmetics and fragrances segments.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Honasa Consumer (HONASA IN) raised about US$200m in its India IPO. Its pre-IPO investors will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.
HC’s product portfolio includes products in the baby care, face care, body care, hair care, color cosmetics and fragrances segments.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.


Honasa Consumer IPO Lock-Up Expiry - US$500m+ Lockup Expiry with Everyone Well in the Money

India

Titan Co. Ltd. manufactures and retails jewelry and watches. The Company also produces perfume for men and women.

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Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN)

Earnings Playbook | Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) | Target of Quadrupling Network

We focus on select consumer names in the earnings season. Most names expect a soft Q1, with Shoppers Stop targeting aggressive expansion.

Pranav Bhavsar

Swiggy Pre-IPO Early Look - Innovation Leader, Profitability Laggard

Swiggy aims to raise US$1.25bn in its upcoming India IPO. The company has filed confidentially for its IPO, which is likely to be launched towards...

Sumeet Singh

Titan Company - Miss on Profitability; Sustaining Focus on Growth

Motilal Oswal's research report onTitan Company Titan Company (TTAN) posted consolidated sales growth of 21% YoY in 4QFY24, marginally better than...

Motilal Oswal

HSIE Results Daily: Titan, Avenue Supermarts

Profitability took a back seat as elevated gold prices, softened demand and high competitive intensity arm-twisted Titan to increase promotional...

HDFC Securities

Honasa Consumer IPO Lock-Up Expiry - US$500m+ Lockup Expiry with Everyone Well in the Money

Honasa Consumer (HONASA IN) raised about US$200m in its India IPO. Its pre-IPO investors will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.

Sumeet Singh

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