Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Listed in March 2025 via Japan’s largest IPO since SoftBank 2018, JX Advanced Metals has since accelerated recycling, governance restructuring, and potential Toho Titanium consolidation.</li>
<li>A global leader in high-purity sputtering targets (35–40% share) and thin film materials, it is scaling capacity and deepening foundry partnerships (TSMC, Samsung) to capture long-term semiconductor growth.</li>
<li>Despite strong positioning, it trades at just ~7x EV/EBITDA FY25E—below peers—offering structural growth at value multiples amid recovering earnings and strategic asset backing.</li>
</ul>


Listed in March 2025 via Japan’s largest IPO since SoftBank 2018, JX Advanced Metals has since accelerated recycling, governance restructuring, and potential Toho Titanium consolidation.
A global leader in high-purity sputtering targets (35–40% share) and thin film materials, it is scaling capacity and deepening foundry partnerships (TSMC, Samsung) to capture long-term semiconductor growth.
Despite strong positioning, it trades at just ~7x EV/EBITDA FY25E—below peers—offering structural growth at value multiples amid recovering earnings and strategic asset backing.


JX Advanced Metals (5714 JP) – Dominant in Sputtering, Recycling Pivot, Valuations Lag Peers

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Close to the 85% inclusion threshold, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/core-lithium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14712:1" rel="noopener">Core Lithium Ltd</a> could be added to the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index in June. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lake-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14597:1" rel="noopener">Lake Resources Nl (LKE AU)</a> is also close.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-strategic-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30815:1" rel="noopener">Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU)</a> is very close to the 98% deletion threshold. Even if it is not deleted, there will be passive selling due to capping changes.</li>
<li>Yesterday was the cutoff date for the June review, so today's steep fall in prices will not affect the ranking of the potential changes.</li>
</ul>


Close to the 85% inclusion threshold, Core Lithium Ltd could be added to the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index in June. Lake Resources Nl (LKE AU) is also close.

Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU) is very close to the 98% deletion threshold. Even if it is not deleted, there will be passive selling due to capping changes.
Yesterday was the cutoff date for the June review, so today's steep fall in prices will not affect the ranking of the potential changes.


MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Stocks Plunge as Cutoff Passes

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/Ioneer-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10264:1" rel="noopener">ioneer (INR AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6148:1" rel="noopener">AVZ Minerals (AVZ AU)</a> will be included in the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index at the close of trading on 17 December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinduicheng-molybdenum-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2121:1" rel="noopener">Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co, Ltd. (601958 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toho-titanium-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12709:1" rel="noopener">Toho Titanium (5727 JP)</a> will be deleted from the index at the same time. There will be capping and funding changes too.</li>
<li>There is a large impact on the adds, deletes and some other stocks. There was a recent stock placement on AVZ, while LTR is an inclusion in the ASX200.</li>
</ul>



ioneer (INR AU) and AVZ Minerals (AVZ AU) will be included in the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index at the close of trading on 17 December.

Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co, Ltd. (601958 CH) and Toho Titanium (5727 JP) will be deleted from the index at the same time. There will be capping and funding changes too.
There is a large impact on the adds, deletes and some other stocks. There was a recent stock placement on AVZ, while LTR is an inclusion in the ASX200.


MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Some Big Impact Changes

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul><li>Global mining stocks offer an attractive, mid-cycle pullback opportunity. From steel to copper and aluminum stocks, retracements over the past three months have stabilized at support, which we view as timely entry points that will lead to upside resumptions.  This report highlights actionable charts, sorted by market capitalization.</li></ul>

Global mining stocks offer an attractive, mid-cycle pullback opportunity. From steel to copper and aluminum stocks, retracements over the past three months have stabilized at support, which we view as timely entry points that will lead to upside resumptions.  This report highlights actionable charts, sorted by market capitalization.

Pullback Opportunities in Global Metals & Mining Stocks

Doing bespoke work since 2002....., Custom Products Group

Patrick Hansen

Doing bespoke work since 2002.....

Custom Products Group

Custom Products was started 14 years ago at Lehman Brothers by current co-founder Patrick Hansen, CFA. After 3 years at Lehman, Patrick moved the team to Macquarie Securities where Simon Rigney (co-founder) joined. 3 years ago we took Custom Products independent. 

Our core strength can be summed up three words. 1- Customization - we have very little off the shelf products and most work is done on a one on one bespoke basis. 2- Speed - We pride ourselves in our ability to get requests back to the client very quickly. 3- Confidentiality - We do not redistribute. There is no grace period where we wait a week and then mass blast. Any request stops with that client.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>With a good portion of Japanese companies having already announced 1H results, we looked at the names that are well positioned for the second half. Names that could potentially beat full-year estimates. We basically screened for names that have already achieved greater than 60% of full-year consensus OP estimates and have also increased full-year Company OP guidance in the last month. </p><h2>Screen Criteria</h2><ol>
<li>Mkt-cap above ¥50bn</li>
<li>Fiscal year ending on March 31</li>
<li>Greater than 60% of full-year OP consensus is…</li>
</ol>

With a good portion of Japanese companies having already announced 1H results, we looked at the names that are well positioned for the second half. Names that could potentially beat full-year estimates. We basically screened for names that have already achieved greater than 60% of full-year consensus OP estimates and have also increased full-year Company OP guidance in the last month. Screen Criteria
Mkt-cap above ¥50bn
Fiscal year ending on March 31
Greater than 60% of full-year OP consensus is…


Names Potentially Well Positioned to Beat Year-End Estimates

Japan

Toho Titanium Co Ltd is a titanium smelter.  The Company produces metallic titanium, high purity titanium oxide, and trichloride titanium for industrial use.  Toho Titanium also produces cutter diamonds.

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Toho Titanium (5727 JP)

JX Advanced Metals (5714 JP) – Dominant in Sputtering, Recycling Pivot, Valuations Lag Peers

JX Advanced Metals, a global leader in high-purity sputtering targets, is accelerating recycling efforts and potential consolidation, while...

Rahul Jain

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Stocks Plunge as Cutoff Passes

Core Lithium could be added to the REMX in June. Lake Resources could miss out on index inclusion. ASM will be sold due to funding flows but is...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Some Big Impact Changes

AVZ Minerals and ioneer have been added to the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index while Jinduicheng Molybdenum and Toho Titanium have...

Brian Freitas

Pullback Opportunities in Global Metals & Mining Stocks

Global mining stocks offer an attractive, mid-cycle pullback opportunity. From steel to copper and aluminum stocks, retracements over the past...

Vermilion Research

Names Potentially Well Positioned to Beat Year-End Estimates

With a good portion of Japanese companies having already announced 1H results, we looked at the names that are well positioned for the second half....

Custom Products Group

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

JX Advanced Metals (5714 JP) – Dominant in Sputtering, Recycling Pivot, Valuations Lag Peers

​JX Advanced Metals, a global leader in high-purity sputtering targets, is accelerating recycling efforts and potential consolidation, while...

Rahul Jain

MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Stocks Plunge as Cutoff Passes

Core Lithium could be added to the REMX in June. Lake Resources could miss out on index inclusion. ASM will be sold due to funding flows but is...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Some Big Impact Changes

AVZ Minerals and ioneer have been added to the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index while Jinduicheng Molybdenum and Toho Titanium have...

Brian Freitas

Pullback Opportunities in Global Metals & Mining Stocks

Global mining stocks offer an attractive, mid-cycle pullback opportunity. From steel to copper and aluminum stocks, retracements over the past...

Vermilion Research

Names Potentially Well Positioned to Beat Year-End Estimates

With a good portion of Japanese companies having already announced 1H results, we looked at the names that are well positioned for the second half....

Custom Products Group

JX Advanced Metals, a global leader in high-purity sputtering targets, is accelerating recycling efforts and potential consolidation, while...

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Stocks Plunge as Cutoff Passes