Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 19th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD16,218m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing, Sanrio, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Fujikura, Koei Tecmo, Lifedrink, Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 19th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD16,218m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing, Sanrio, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Fujikura, Koei Tecmo, Lifedrink, Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 19th): Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 5th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,638m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Nidec, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Furukawa Electric, Fast Retailing, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Hitachi, Kioxia, Lasertec, Nidec, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Furukawa Electric.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 5th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,638m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Nidec, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Furukawa Electric, Fast Retailing, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Hitachi, Kioxia, Lasertec, Nidec, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Furukawa Electric.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 5th): Nidec, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Furukawa Electric

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 24 July, 3D Investment Partners proposed to privatise <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tohokushinsha-film-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15129:1" rel="noopener">Tohokushinsha Film (2329 JP)</a> through a tender at JPY600-650. 3D has extended the offer validity period from 23 to 30 August.  </li>
<li>The controlling shareholder, Mr Hisako, claims he is not a seller regardless of price. The Board goes through the motions, knowing that Mr Hisako will decide the offer's fate. </li>
<li>3D’s persistence suggests that Mr Hisako's resolve might be checked by bumping the offer. As this outcome is likely, the shares will continue to trade through terms.  </li>
</ul>


On 24 July, 3D Investment Partners proposed to privatise Tohokushinsha Film (2329 JP) through a tender at JPY600-650. 3D has extended the offer validity period from 23 to 30 August.  
The controlling shareholder, Mr Hisako, claims he is not a seller regardless of price. The Board goes through the motions, knowing that Mr Hisako will decide the offer's fate. 
3D’s persistence suggests that Mr Hisako's resolve might be checked by bumping the offer. As this outcome is likely, the shares will continue to trade through terms.  


Tohokushinsha Film (2329 JP): 3D Persists Despite Strong Pushback

<ul>
<li>On 24 July, 3D Investment Partners proposed to privatise <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tohokushinsha-film-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15129:1" rel="noopener">Tohokushinsha Film (2329 JP)</a> through a tender offer at JPY600-650 per share. A special committee will evaluate the proposal. </li>
<li>3D’s privatisation plan, in its current terms, is a non-starter as the price is low, and its activism campaign has so far been met with the Board’s scepticism.</li>
<li>The possible scenarios are that a white knight emerges to buy 3D’s stake/launch a counteroffer, 3D bumps the offer price, or the Board introduces a more ambitious MTM plan.</li>
</ul>


On 24 July, 3D Investment Partners proposed to privatise Tohokushinsha Film (2329 JP) through a tender offer at JPY600-650 per share. A special committee will evaluate the proposal. 
3D’s privatisation plan, in its current terms, is a non-starter as the price is low, and its activism campaign has so far been met with the Board’s scepticism.
The possible scenarios are that a white knight emerges to buy 3D’s stake/launch a counteroffer, 3D bumps the offer price, or the Board introduces a more ambitious MTM plan.


Tohokushinsha Film (2329 JP): Potential Scenarios as 3D Lobs a Privatisation Proposal

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices ends on Friday. There will be a lot of changes across the family.</li>
<li>Hang Seng Indices will announce the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a> and the HSCI after market close on Friday.</li>
<li>There were HUGE inflows to onshore China focused ETFs during the week with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index</a> ETFs taking in the largest amounts.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices ends on Friday. There will be a lot of changes across the family.
Hang Seng Indices will announce the changes to the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, Hang Seng TECH Index and the HSCI after market close on Friday.
There were HUGE inflows to onshore China focused ETFs during the week with CSI 300 Index, CSI 500 Index and SSE50 Index ETFs taking in the largest amounts.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: JPXNK400, Kenedix, Positioning - India, Japan, Korea

Japan

TOKAI Holdings Corporation is a holding company established through reorganization of TOKAI CORPORATION and VIC TOKAI CORPORATION.  The Group mainly provides energy business and information-communication business.  TOKAI Holdings Corporation also provides construction and real estate, bridal and insurance and security businesses.

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Tokai Holdings (3167 JP)

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 19th): Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Lasertec (6920 JP), Disco (6146 JP), Tokyo Electron (8035 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 5th): Nidec, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Furukawa Electric

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Nidec (6594 JP), Disco (6146 JP), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tohokushinsha Film (2329 JP): 3D Persists Despite Strong Pushback

3D’s persistence suggests a strategy to test the controlling shareholder's resolve by bumping the offer. As this outcome is likely, the shares will...

Arun George

Tohokushinsha Film (2329 JP): Potential Scenarios as 3D Lobs a Privatisation Proposal

The possible scenarios are that a white knight emerges to buy 3D’s stake/launch a counteroffer, 3D bumps the offer price, or the Board introduces a...

Arun George

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: JPXNK400, Kenedix, Positioning - India, Japan, Korea

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

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