Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Hamamatsu Photonics Kk / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> aims to raise around US$190m via selling over a 4% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hamamatsu-photonics-kk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14074:1" rel="noopener">Hamamatsu Photonics Kk (6965 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>This is another cross-shareholding unwind and hence, won’t be a huge surprise. Although given the recent share price weakness, the timing appears peculiar.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Toyota Motor (7203 JP) aims to raise around US$190m via selling over a 4% stake in Hamamatsu Photonics Kk (6965 JP).
This is another cross-shareholding unwind and hence, won’t be a huge surprise. Although given the recent share price weakness, the timing appears peculiar.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Hamamatsu Photonics Placement - Peculiar Timing

<ul>
<li>A group of shareholders aims to raise around US$330m via selling around 3.6% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamaha-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7411:1" rel="noopener">Yamaha Motor (7272 JP).</a>
</li>
<li>This will be another cross-shareholding unwind and hence, won’t be a huge surprise, although the stock hasn’t been doing particularly well lately.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


A group of shareholders aims to raise around US$330m via selling around 3.6% of Yamaha Motor (7272 JP).

This will be another cross-shareholding unwind and hence, won’t be a huge surprise, although the stock hasn’t been doing particularly well lately.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Yamaha Motors Placement - A Relatively Small Cross-Shareholding Unwind

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Giant Japan insurer reports staggering June 2024 quarter YoY growth, not only from securities gains, but also strong delta in core premiums written</li>
<li>Weak life insurance premiums is more than offset with well controlled costs, non-life premium income, investment income</li>
<li>Acceleration of cross-shareholding disposals can keep income high, with AFS totaling JPY13.8 trillion with unrealized gains of JPY2.8 trillion</li>
</ul>


Giant Japan insurer reports staggering June 2024 quarter YoY growth, not only from securities gains, but also strong delta in core premiums written
Weak life insurance premiums is more than offset with well controlled costs, non-life premium income, investment income
Acceleration of cross-shareholding disposals can keep income high, with AFS totaling JPY13.8 trillion with unrealized gains of JPY2.8 trillion


Tokio Marine Holdings - Net Profit +54% YoY, Non Life Premiums & Investment Income Are Drivers

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 44 adds/41 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.</li>
<li>Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 7.9% and a round-trip trade of JPY 880bn (US$6bn).</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last year though that has been faded over the last couple of months. Breaking with history, there could be outperformance near-term.</li>
</ul>


There are 44 adds/41 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.
Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 7.9% and a round-trip trade of JPY 880bn (US$6bn).
The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last year though that has been faded over the last couple of months. Breaking with history, there could be outperformance near-term.


JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: A Bunch of Chunky Adds & US$6bn Trade

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>July saw 825 new Corporate Governance Reports filed and 8 new "Mgmt Conscious of Capital Cost/Stock Price" policies filed. June saw 1,673 and 5, respectively. That's 2500 cos.</li>
<li>We created a tool show every report, provide links to every document, and now a new diff file tool. Put in a name, see the difference between the Old/New Reports.</li>
<li>We hope this tool will help. It is designed to be a shelf reference. We update the tool once a month, a couple of weeks ahead of the TSE.</li>
</ul>


July saw 825 new Corporate Governance Reports filed and 8 new "Mgmt Conscious of Capital Cost/Stock Price" policies filed. June saw 1,673 and 5, respectively. That's 2500 cos.
We created a tool show every report, provide links to every document, and now a new diff file tool. Put in a name, see the difference between the Old/New Reports.
We hope this tool will help. It is designed to be a shelf reference. We update the tool once a month, a couple of weeks ahead of the TSE.


Japan CorpGovReport Details: TSE "Mgmt Conscious of Capital Cost/Stock Price" Details (Aug24)

Japan

Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc., through subsidiaries, offers property, casualty and life insurance, and asset management services.

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Tokio Marine Holdings (8766 JP)

Hamamatsu Photonics Placement - Peculiar Timing

Toyota Motor (7203 JP) aims to raise around US$190m via selling over a 4% stake in Hamamatsu Photonics Kk (6965 JP). The timing of the selldown...

Sumeet Singh

Yamaha Motors Placement - A Relatively Small Cross-Shareholding Unwind

A group of shareholders aims to raise around US$330m via selling around 3.6% of Yamaha Motor (7272 JP). In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Tokio Marine Holdings - Net Profit +54% YoY, Non Life Premiums & Investment Income Are Drivers

Strong 1Q25 net profit, despite natural catastrophes & weak life premiums, with strong non-life, investment income and cost controls, supporting...

Daniel Tabbush

JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: A Bunch of Chunky Adds & US$6bn Trade

There are 44 adds/41 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index resulting in a one-way turnover of 7.9% and a round-trip trade of JPY 880bn (US$6bn)....

Brian Freitas

Japan CorpGovReport Details: TSE "Mgmt Conscious of Capital Cost/Stock Price" Details (Aug24)

The August 2024 version of the TSE Tool with all the details in Corp Governance Reports and Action to Implement Management Awareness of Stock Price...

Travis Lundy

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