IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven

On Friday after market close, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a>/CTCM announced that Sinopharm Hongkong, the controlling shareholder with a 32.46% stake, is currently exploring a proposal to privatise CTCM. The announcement was in response to <a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-sinopharm-m-a-china-tcm-exclusive-idUSKBN29W0J5" target="_blank" rel="noopener">a Reuters article</a> on 27 January that Sinopharm is leading a consortium to privatise CTCM. The rumoured privatisation price of HK$5.10 per share is a 26.6% premium to the unaffected price of HK$4.03 per share (26 January) and an 18.6% premium to the last close of HK$4.30 per share (27 January prior to the trading halt). <div class="content-highlight">We believe that the privatisation will be likely done through a scheme of arrangement. As a Hong Kong incorporated company, the key condition precedent is the scheme approved by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% disinterested shareholders rejection). Overall, we think that at the last close price, the downside risk is low (trading close to break price) with a good probability of upside (announcement of a formal proposal).  </div>

On Friday after market close, China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)/CTCM announced that Sinopharm Hongkong, the controlling shareholder with a 32.46% stake, is currently exploring a proposal to privatise CTCM. The announcement was in response to a Reuters article on 27 January that Sinopharm is leading a consortium to privatise CTCM. The rumoured privatisation price of HK$5.10 per share is a 26.6% premium to the unaffected price of HK$4.03 per share (26 January) and an 18.6% premium to the last close of HK$4.30 per share (27 January prior to the trading halt). We believe that the privatisation will be likely done through a scheme of arrangement. As a Hong Kong incorporated company, the key condition precedent is the scheme approved by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% disinterested shareholders rejection). Overall, we think that at the last close price, the downside risk is low (trading close to break price) with a good probability of upside (announcement of a formal proposal).  

China Traditional Chinese Medicine Possible Privatisation

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy, Urbem (HK) Limited

Steven Chen

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy

Equity Bottom-Up

Beijing Tong Ren Tang Chinese Medicine / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We tend to avoid turnarounds as they seldom turn;</li>
<li>But Beijing Tong Ren Tang Chinese Medicine can be a rare case in our opinion;</li>
<li>We see the company as being a wide-moat compounding machine, highly hopeful of delivering superior returns on capital when its business condition normalizes (sooner or later);</li>
<li>Simultaneously, the valuation of the share makes sense for alpha-seeking investors with a double-digit hurdle rate.</li>
</ul>


We tend to avoid turnarounds as they seldom turn;
But Beijing Tong Ren Tang Chinese Medicine can be a rare case in our opinion;
We see the company as being a wide-moat compounding machine, highly hopeful of delivering superior returns on capital when its business condition normalizes (sooner or later);
Simultaneously, the valuation of the share makes sense for alpha-seeking investors with a double-digit hurdle rate.


Beijing Tong Ren Tang Chinese Medicine: A Turnaround Worth A Look

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions, Bixmoor

Bixmoor

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions

Bixmoor specialises in providing bespoke research to business, governments and the financial community on China and neighbouring regions. We seek to build long-term relationships with our clients, based on our expertise, our reliability and our determination to find the right solution.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

By allowing couples to have up to two children China hopes to reverse its likely population decline. But falling fertility and the pressures of urban living mean that existing policies are unlikely to deliver a baby boom.

By allowing couples to have up to two children China hopes to reverse its likely population decline. But falling fertility and the pressures of urban living mean that existing policies are unlikely to deliver a baby boom.

Falling Fertility Adds to China's Population Woes

Faced with dramatically falling birth rates, Iran has introduced a wide range of pro-natalist policies. In contrast, China has been half-hearted in the policies it has introduced and continues to boast about its family planning services.

Faced with dramatically falling birth rates, Iran has introduced a wide range of pro-natalist policies. In contrast, China has been half-hearted in the policies it has introduced and continues to boast about its family planning services.

Iran Shows China the Way on Population Expansion

Air quality in China appears to have improved slightly in recent months. However, it is still well above World Health Organisation recommended levels and could lead to an estimated 4-5 million premature deaths by 2030

Air quality in China appears to have improved slightly in recent months. However, it is still well above World Health Organisation recommended levels and could lead to an estimated 4-5 million premature deaths by 2030

China

Tong Ren Tang Technologies Company Limited manufactures, distributes, and researches, and develops Chinese patent medicine.

Tong Ren Tang Technologies Co, Ltd. (1666 HK)

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Tong Ren Tang Technologies Co, Ltd. (1666 HK)

China Traditional Chinese Medicine Possible Privatisation

Sinopharm Hongkong, the controlling shareholder, is currently exploring a privatisation proposal. At the last close price, the downside risk is low...

Arun George

Beijing Tong Ren Tang Chinese Medicine: A Turnaround Worth A Look

Beijing Tong Ren Tang Chinese Medicine can be a rare turnaround case in our opinion, thanks to its wide moat and compounding capability.

Steven Chen

Falling Fertility Adds to China's Population Woes

By allowing couples to have up to two children China hopes to reverse its likely population decline. But falling fertility and the pressures of...

Bixmoor

Iran Shows China the Way on Population Expansion

Faced with dramatically falling birth rates, Iran has introduced a wide range of pro-natalist policies. In contrast, China has been half-hearted in...

Bixmoor

Small Improvement in China Air Quality

Air quality in China appears to have improved slightly in recent months. However, it is still well above World Health Organisation recommended...

Bixmoor

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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