HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Tongcheng Travel Holdings  / Equity Bottom-Up

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK)</a> has a solid FY23 and 4Q23 with massive net profit recovery. Earnings momentum for FY24 and FY25 look to stay impressive.</li>
<li>FY23 is a record year of profit, demonstrating its ability to gain market share after COVID-19 disruption. Further volume growth will lead to better operating leverage.</li>
<li>Net cash reached Rmb2.3bn, up 90.4% YoY, showcasing its cash-generating ability. The first-time dividend payout also reflected management's confidence on the outlook.</li>
</ul>



Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK) has a solid FY23 and 4Q23 with massive net profit recovery. Earnings momentum for FY24 and FY25 look to stay impressive.
FY23 is a record year of profit, demonstrating its ability to gain market share after COVID-19 disruption. Further volume growth will lead to better operating leverage.
Net cash reached Rmb2.3bn, up 90.4% YoY, showcasing its cash-generating ability. The first-time dividend payout also reflected management's confidence on the outlook.


Tongcheng Travel (780 HK): Riding the High Tide

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>The three-day Qingming Festival holiday embraced booming demand, with domestic tourist trips +11.5% and tourism revenue +12.7% (both vs. the 2019 level), according to the Ministry of Culture and Tourism.</li><li>Tongcheng Travel (TC) kept its strong momentum during the Qingming Festival, with above-industry growth and solid ASP &amp; take rate trends.</li><li>Its domestic hotel room nights surged 70% YoY, and transportation ticketing volume was resilient at &gt;20% YoY.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The three-day Qingming Festival holiday embraced booming demand, with domestic tourist trips +11.5% and tourism revenue +12.7% (both vs. the 2019 level), according to the Ministry of Culture and Tourism.Tongcheng Travel (TC) kept its strong momentum during the Qingming Festival, with above-industry growth and solid ASP &amp; take rate trends.Its domestic hotel room nights surged 70% YoY, and transportation ticketing volume was resilient at &gt;20% YoY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) - Continued Outperformance During Qingming

<ul><li>We reiterate Tongcheng Travel (TC) as one of our top picks, for its resilient organic growth, M&amp;A synergies, outbound expansion and capital return.</li><li>After another upbeat quarter, we think TC has continuously demonstrated its share gain and solid travel consumption.</li><li>Looking ahead, we keep positive on its core OTA performance (forecasting revenue +25% YoY in FY24E), driven by multichannel strategy and overseas expansion. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We reiterate Tongcheng Travel (TC) as one of our top picks, for its resilient organic growth, M&amp;A synergies, outbound expansion and capital return.After another upbeat quarter, we think TC has continuously demonstrated its share gain and solid travel consumption.Looking ahead, we keep positive on its core OTA performance (forecasting revenue +25% YoY in FY24E), driven by multichannel strategy and overseas expansion. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) - More Synergies from Consolidation of Tourism

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Tongcheng Travel Holdings  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Index, HSCEI, and HS Tech rebals were announced on 16 Feb. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/janaghan-jeyakumar-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:3173" rel="noopener">Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA</a> had expected GDS out, Tongcheng Travel in on HSTECH, along with the...</li>
<li>...deletion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)</a> in HSCEI, with a low conviction replacement of Zijin Mining, which turned out to be an add of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-unicom-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1016:1" rel="noopener">China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>No changes to the main HSI Index, which means evolution is further delayed. Today was the day to recap the caps. Mar1 Flow estimates are included below for all three.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Index, HSCEI, and HS Tech rebals were announced on 16 Feb. Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA had expected GDS out, Tongcheng Travel in on HSTECH, along with the...
...deletion of Zhongsheng Group (881 HK) in HSCEI, with a low conviction replacement of Zijin Mining, which turned out to be an add of China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK). 
No changes to the main HSI Index, which means evolution is further delayed. Today was the day to recap the caps. Mar1 Flow estimates are included below for all three.


Final Flows for Hang Seng, HSCEI, HS Tech on 1 March Rebal

<ul><li>As one of our top picks, Tongcheng Travel (TC) continued to perform well in the CNY holiday, with resilient transportation (domestic air ticket/train ticket volume +30%/15% YoY) and strong hotel growth (domestic room nights +30% YoY).</li><li>Given a longer holiday period, more travellers took short-haul multi-city tours.</li><li>Despite macro uncertainty, air ticket ADR and accommodation ADR achieved positive growth. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

As one of our top picks, Tongcheng Travel (TC) continued to perform well in the CNY holiday, with resilient transportation (domestic air ticket/train ticket volume +30%/15% YoY) and strong hotel growth (domestic room nights +30% YoY).Given a longer holiday period, more travellers took short-haul multi-city tours.Despite macro uncertainty, air ticket ADR and accommodation ADR achieved positive growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) - Solid Momentum Continued During CNY Holiday

China

Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited operates as an online travel agency. The Company provides transportation ticketing, accommodation reservation, value added travel products sales, and other services. Tongcheng Travel Holdings provides its services throughout China.

Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK)

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK): Riding the High Tide

According to www.fliggy.com, outbound travel bookings during the 5-day Labour Day holiday have doubled this year. This was achieved on a high base...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) - Continued Outperformance During Qingming

Tongcheng Travel (TC) kept its strong momentum during the Qingming Festival, with above-industry growth and solid ASP & take rate trends.

CMB International

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) - More Synergies from Consolidation of Tourism

We reiterate Tongcheng Travel (TC) as one of our top picks, for its resilient organic growth, M&A synergies, outbound expansion and capital return.

CMB International

Final Flows for Hang Seng, HSCEI, HS Tech on 1 March Rebal

The Final flows for the Hang Seng March 2024 index rebalances are set based off the close of 27 February. One large change (Li Auto was expected to...

Travis Lundy

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) - Solid Momentum Continued During CNY Holiday

As one of our top picks, Tongcheng Travel (TC) continued to perform well in the CNY holiday, with resilient transportation (domestic air ticket...

CMB International