Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Zydus Lifesciences Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-lifesciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12914:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN)</a> reported 16% YoY and 7% QoQ growth in India formulation business revenue in Q3FY24 on the back of healthy volume growth and new product launches.</li>
<li>Profitability improvement continued, with Q3FY24 improving 200 basis points YoY to 24.5%. Net profit surged 27% YoY.</li>
<li>The Board approved INR6 billion buyback, representing 0.59% of total outstanding equity shares at a price of INR1005 per share (25% premium to last closing price) via tender offer route.</li>
</ul>



Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN) reported 16% YoY and 7% QoQ growth in India formulation business revenue in Q3FY24 on the back of healthy volume growth and new product launches.
Profitability improvement continued, with Q3FY24 improving 200 basis points YoY to 24.5%. Net profit surged 27% YoY.
The Board approved INR6 billion buyback, representing 0.59% of total outstanding equity shares at a price of INR1005 per share (25% premium to last closing price) via tender offer route.


Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Strong India Momentum; Q3 Net Profit Jumps 27%; Buyback Approved

<ul>
<li>In Q3FY24, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cipla-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3918:1" rel="noopener">Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN)</a> recorded revenue of INR66B, up 14% YoY, and EBITDA margin of 24.2%, driven by double-digit growth across India, North America, and South Africa.</li>
<li>North America business reported highest ever revenue of $230M. India revenue is up 12% YoY, supported by growth across branded prescription, trade generics, and consumer health.</li>
<li>EBITDA margin for the full year is trending at a higher end of earlier guidance range of 23–24%. Peptide product launches in the U.S. should strengthen near-term growth prospect.</li>
</ul>


In Q3FY24, Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN) recorded revenue of INR66B, up 14% YoY, and EBITDA margin of 24.2%, driven by double-digit growth across India, North America, and South Africa.
North America business reported highest ever revenue of $230M. India revenue is up 12% YoY, supported by growth across branded prescription, trade generics, and consumer health.
EBITDA margin for the full year is trending at a higher end of earlier guidance range of 23–24%. Peptide product launches in the U.S. should strengthen near-term growth prospect.


Cipla (CIPLA IN): Q3FY24 Result- Continued Growth Trajectory Across Key Markets; Positive Outlook

Equity Capital Markets

Emcure Pharmaceuticals / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Emcure Pharmaceuticals has re-submitted DRHP to the SEBI for the second time. The IPO consists of a fresh issue of INR8 billion and an offer-for-sale of up to ~14M shares.</li>
<li>In the re-submitted DRHP, the company has trimmed the sizes of both the fresh issue and OFS. Emcure originally planned to launch IPO its in 2022.</li>
<li>Emcure has added latest financial performances in re-filed DRHP.  During H1FY24, revenue from India increased only 3% YoY to INR16.4M, due to lower sales of anti-viral HIV products.</li>
</ul>


Emcure Pharmaceuticals has re-submitted DRHP to the SEBI for the second time. The IPO consists of a fresh issue of INR8 billion and an offer-for-sale of up to ~14M shares.
In the re-submitted DRHP, the company has trimmed the sizes of both the fresh issue and OFS. Emcure originally planned to launch IPO its in 2022.
Emcure has added latest financial performances in re-filed DRHP.  During H1FY24, revenue from India increased only 3% YoY to INR16.4M, due to lower sales of anti-viral HIV products.


Emcure Pharmaceuticals Pre-IPO: IPO Size Trimmed; Domestic Revenue Growth Decelerated

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 December. We had forecast all the index changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 57.7% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 21.75bn (US$261m). 8 stocks have over 1x ADV to trade; 21 stocks have atleast 0.5x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The adds have continued to outperform the deletes and the index and there could be further outperformance heading into year-end and buying from passive trackers.</li>
</ul>


There are 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 December. We had forecast all the index changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 57.7% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 21.75bn (US$261m). 8 stocks have over 1x ADV to trade; 21 stocks have atleast 0.5x ADV to trade.
The adds have continued to outperform the deletes and the index and there could be further outperformance heading into year-end and buying from passive trackers.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 18 Changes a Side, 58% Turnover, Momentum Intact

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Indian pharmaceutical companies started FY24 on a strong note. Due to better pricing environment, drug shortages, and new launches, sector heavyweights reported double-digit revenue growth from U.S. business.</li>
<li>Price erosion has come down to high single-digit from their peak of mid-teens. Despite the rise in number of ANDA approvals from the US FDA, Indian companies continued their dominance.</li>
<li>Indian pharmaceutical companies have accelerated the filing pace. With shorter timeline of approval, the companies are witnessing a spike in number of approvals. Regulatory risk remains the main downside risk.</li>
</ul>


Indian pharmaceutical companies started FY24 on a strong note. Due to better pricing environment, drug shortages, and new launches, sector heavyweights reported double-digit revenue growth from U.S. business.
Price erosion has come down to high single-digit from their peak of mid-teens. Despite the rise in number of ANDA approvals from the US FDA, Indian companies continued their dominance.
Indian pharmaceutical companies have accelerated the filing pace. With shorter timeline of approval, the companies are witnessing a spike in number of approvals. Regulatory risk remains the main downside risk.


Indian Generic Pharmaceutical Companies: US Momentum to Continue Amid Favorable Sector Tailwinds

India

Torrent Pharmaceuticals Ltd. manufactures bulk drugs and pharmaceutical formulations. The Company's formulations include cardio-vascular, psychotropic and anti-biotic drugs while its bulk drugs include atenolol, ciprofloxacin and norfloxacin. Torrent Pharmaceuticals has wholly owned subsidiaries in several regulated and less regulated international markets.

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Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN)

Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Strong India Momentum; Q3 Net Profit Jumps 27%; Buyback Approved

Zydus Lifesciences reported strong revenue growth and improved profitability in Q3FY24, leading to a 27% increase in net profit. The company also...

Tina Banerjee

Cipla (CIPLA IN): Q3FY24 Result- Continued Growth Trajectory Across Key Markets; Positive Outlook

Cipla reports strong Q3FY24 result with 14% YoY sales growth and 24.2% EBITDA margin. US business achieves record high sales. Full-year EBITDA...

Tina Banerjee

Emcure Pharmaceuticals Pre-IPO: IPO Size Trimmed; Domestic Revenue Growth Decelerated

Emcure has re-flied DRHP for the second time and is looking to raise $400–500M through fresh issue and an OFS of ~14M shares. IPO proceeds will be...

Tina Banerjee

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 18 Changes a Side, 58% Turnover, Momentum Intact

The adds and deletes have performed in line since announcement of the changes a little over a week ago. With 10 trading days to implementation,...

Brian Freitas

Indian Generic Pharmaceutical Companies: US Momentum to Continue Amid Favorable Sector Tailwinds

Indian pharma companies saw strong U.S. revenue growth in H1FY24 due to better pricing, drug shortages, and new launches. With robust pipeline and...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Strong India Momentum; Q3 Net Profit Jumps 27%; Buyback Approved

​Zydus Lifesciences reported strong revenue growth and improved profitability in Q3FY24, leading to a 27% increase in net profit. The company also...

Tina Banerjee

Cipla (CIPLA IN): Q3FY24 Result- Continued Growth Trajectory Across Key Markets; Positive Outlook

​Cipla reports strong Q3FY24 result with 14% YoY sales growth and 24.2% EBITDA margin. US business achieves record high sales. Full-year EBITDA...

Tina Banerjee

Emcure Pharmaceuticals Pre-IPO: IPO Size Trimmed; Domestic Revenue Growth Decelerated

Emcure has re-flied DRHP for the second time and is looking to raise $400–500M through fresh issue and an OFS of ~14M shares. IPO proceeds will be...

Tina Banerjee

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 18 Changes a Side, 58% Turnover, Momentum Intact

The adds and deletes have performed in line since announcement of the changes a little over a week ago. With 10 trading days to implementation,...

Brian Freitas

Indian Generic Pharmaceutical Companies: US Momentum to Continue Amid Favorable Sector Tailwinds

​Indian pharma companies saw strong U.S. revenue growth in H1FY24 due to better pricing, drug shortages, and new launches. With robust pipeline and...

Tina Banerjee

Zydus Lifesciences reported strong revenue growth and improved profitability in Q3FY24, leading to a 27% increase in net profit. The company also...

Cipla reports strong Q3FY24 result with 14% YoY sales growth and 24.2% EBITDA margin. US business achieves record high sales. Full-year EBITDA...

Indian pharma companies saw strong U.S. revenue growth in H1FY24 due to better pricing, drug shortages, and new launches. With robust pipeline and...