Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Votes at Toshiba’s EGM ended up being cast in the most likely fashion with both management’s and 3D’s proposals being voted down. </li>
<li>There was nevertheless considerable uncertainty and it will be interesting to see what the voting breakdowns were. </li>
<li>For now, however, this just pushes out the prospect of any true resolution and we view that as negative.</li>
</ul>


Votes at Toshiba’s EGM ended up being cast in the most likely fashion with both management’s and 3D’s proposals being voted down. 
There was nevertheless considerable uncertainty and it will be interesting to see what the voting breakdowns were. 
For now, however, this just pushes out the prospect of any true resolution and we view that as negative.


Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The power outage warning in Japan on March 22 highlights the precarious nature of energy security in Japan.  </li>
<li>The electricity supply issues come at a time when Japan grapples with high oil prices, Russian imports and still idled nuclear capacity. </li>
<li>The public attitude towards nuclear restarts is turning more positive. The primary beneficiaries will be <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-heavy-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13613:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitachi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7797:1" rel="noopener">Hitachi Ltd (6501 JP)</a> , and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> </li>
</ul>


The power outage warning in Japan on March 22 highlights the precarious nature of energy security in Japan.  
The electricity supply issues come at a time when Japan grapples with high oil prices, Russian imports and still idled nuclear capacity. 
The public attitude towards nuclear restarts is turning more positive. The primary beneficiaries will be Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) , Hitachi Ltd (6501 JP) , and Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) 


Is Japan Falling Back in Love with Nuclear Energy?

<ul>
<li>The Nikkei had an interesting article today on Toshiba’s new CEO and the company’s underlying culture. </li>
<li>It addresses some inconsistencies we have seen in terms of demonstrated competence at lower levels vs. a certain lack thereof at the top. </li>
<li>Ultimately though we suspect that what it reveals points to a lower chance of a privatisation</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei had an interesting article today on Toshiba’s new CEO and the company’s underlying culture. 
It addresses some inconsistencies we have seen in terms of demonstrated competence at lower levels vs. a certain lack thereof at the top. 
Ultimately though we suspect that what it reveals points to a lower chance of a privatisation


Toshiba – The New CEO And The Company Culture

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a>'s comments and answers about the SPH REIT Chain Offer may be misleading. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu (2319 HK)</a> is in discussions regarding its holdings in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili (1230 HK)</a> which may result in a number of "Potential Transactions", and may include a pre-conditional privatisation offer.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group (288 HK)</a> is two businesses - a US pork processor and a Chinese one - and both businesses are suffering lower margins than they'd like.</li>
</ul>



Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)'s comments and answers about the SPH REIT Chain Offer may be misleading. 

China Mengniu (2319 HK) is in discussions regarding its holdings in Yashili (1230 HK) which may result in a number of "Potential Transactions", and may include a pre-conditional privatisation offer.

WH Group (288 HK) is two businesses - a US pork processor and a Chinese one - and both businesses are suffering lower margins than they'd like.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Singapore Press, Yashili, WH Group, Uniti Group, Toshiba, China Conch

<ul>
<li>The announcement from Raymond Zage that he would vote for 3D’s proposal at next week’s EGM is a curious development.</li>
<li>It suggests that pressure on Toshiba’s directors could be ramping up significantly. </li>
<li>Whether that is a good thing or not is a serious question though.</li>
</ul>


The announcement from Raymond Zage that he would vote for 3D’s proposal at next week’s EGM is a curious development.
It suggests that pressure on Toshiba’s directors could be ramping up significantly. 
Whether that is a good thing or not is a serious question though.


Japan

Toshiba Corporation manufactures and markets electrical and electronic products. The Company's products include digital products such as PCs and televisions, NAND flash memories, and system LSIs (large-scale integrated), as well as social infrastructures such as power generators, medical equipment, and home appliances.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)

Toshiba – Both Proposals Voted Down

Votes at Toshiba’s EGM ended up being cast in the most likely fashion with both management’s and 3D’s proposals being voted down, pushing out any...

Mio Kato

Is Japan Falling Back in Love with Nuclear Energy?

Japan has a love/hate relationship with Nuclear Energy. We think that relationship will turn more positive again and highlight 3 key stocks to Buy

Mark Chadwick

Toshiba – The New CEO And The Company Culture

The Nikkei had an interesting article today on Toshiba that sheds more light on the deep divide between activist desires and what is best for the...

Mio Kato

Last Week in Event SPACE: Singapore Press, Yashili, WH Group, Uniti Group, Toshiba, China Conch

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Toshiba – Zage News

The announcement from Raymond Zage that he would vote for 3D’s proposal at next week’s EGM is a curious development whether that is a good thing or...

Mio Kato

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)