Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> is a leading beneficiary of the recovery in global Smartphone demand, and strength in Memory prices, driven by the proliferation of Gen AI demand.</li>
<li>Global Memory prices have recovered by up to +80%y/y driven by demand from hyperscaler customers for leading-technology DDR5, HBM, and other high-value-added memory products.</li>
<li>Samsung Electronics trades more than one standard deviation below its 5-year historic average trading range, a historically proved to be an excellent buying point.</li>
</ul>



Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) is a leading beneficiary of the recovery in global Smartphone demand, and strength in Memory prices, driven by the proliferation of Gen AI demand.
Global Memory prices have recovered by up to +80%y/y driven by demand from hyperscaler customers for leading-technology DDR5, HBM, and other high-value-added memory products.
Samsung Electronics trades more than one standard deviation below its 5-year historic average trading range, a historically proved to be an excellent buying point.


Samsung Electronics (005930-KR): Quality Generative AI Play, Trading at a Discount

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/roland-dg-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10653:1" rel="noopener">Roland DG Corp (6789 JP)</a> has re-recommended Taiyo’s revised offer of JPY5,370, which is 6.7% higher than its previous JPY5,035 offer and 3.3% higher than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brother-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6114:1" rel="noopener">Brother Industries (6448 JP)</a>’s JPY5,200 offer.</li>
<li>The Board articulates a compelling case on Brother's offer dis-synergies, which will help swing some shareholder opinion towards Taiyo (irrespective of the price). </li>
<li>Brother could bump, but it would not address the issue of satisfying the condition precedent (non-completion of Taiyo offer) and securing the Board's recommendation.  </li>
</ul>



Roland DG Corp (6789 JP) has re-recommended Taiyo’s revised offer of JPY5,370, which is 6.7% higher than its previous JPY5,035 offer and 3.3% higher than Brother Industries (6448 JP)’s JPY5,200 offer.
The Board articulates a compelling case on Brother's offer dis-synergies, which will help swing some shareholder opinion towards Taiyo (irrespective of the price). 
Brother could bump, but it would not address the issue of satisfying the condition precedent (non-completion of Taiyo offer) and securing the Board's recommendation.  


Roland DG (6789 JP): Taiyo Bumps as Brother (6448 JP) Now Faces a Dilemma

<ul>
<li>On 19 April, Taiyo Co-CEO Brian Heywood told <a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bidding-war-prompts-taiyo-consider-030026276.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bloomberg</a> and <a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/us-fund-taiyo-says-it-may-buy-into-brother-bid-niche-japanese-printer-2024-04-19/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Reuters</a> they were considering three options to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brother-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6114:1" rel="noopener">Brother Industries (6448 JP)</a>’s tender for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/roland-dg-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10653:1" rel="noopener">Roland DG Corp (6789 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Taiyo’s options are bumping its offer, walking away or tendering into the Brother’s offer if it bumps and alleviates dis-synergies concerns.</li>
<li>All three options are likely a ruse. Taiyo’s primary play is to frustrate and pressure Brother to withdraw its bid if it cannot get the Board’s recommendation.</li>
</ul>


On 19 April, Taiyo Co-CEO Brian Heywood told Bloomberg and Reuters they were considering three options to Brother Industries (6448 JP)’s tender for Roland DG Corp (6789 JP). 
Taiyo’s options are bumping its offer, walking away or tendering into the Brother’s offer if it bumps and alleviates dis-synergies concerns.
All three options are likely a ruse. Taiyo’s primary play is to frustrate and pressure Brother to withdraw its bid if it cannot get the Board’s recommendation.


Roland DG (6789 JP): Taiyo Mulling Three Options or Is It?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Capital Markets

Shibaura Mechatronics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Five plus years ago, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> sold down a 26% stake in small cap <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shibaura-mechatronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8763:1" rel="noopener">Shibaura Mechatronics (6590 JP)</a> to get to a consolidated 13%-ish stake. </li>
<li>This was discussed in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/toshiba-selldown-of-shibaura-mechatronics-6590" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:15870" rel="noopener">Toshiba Selldown of Shibaura Mechatronics (6590)</a> back then. Yesterday, we got news Toshiba would sell out its remaining stake. And there's a buyback. Maybe.</li>
<li>The stock has reacted badly on Day 1, despite a lack of dilution. Shareholder structure matters. </li>
</ul>


Five plus years ago, Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) sold down a 26% stake in small cap Shibaura Mechatronics (6590 JP) to get to a consolidated 13%-ish stake. 
This was discussed in Toshiba Selldown of Shibaura Mechatronics (6590) back then. Yesterday, we got news Toshiba would sell out its remaining stake. And there's a buyback. Maybe.
The stock has reacted badly on Day 1, despite a lack of dilution. Shareholder structure matters. 


Shibaura Mechatronics (6590) Secondary Offering & Buyback

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten (4755 JP)</a> aims to raise up to US$2.4bn (JPY323bn) via a global offering.</li>
<li>The deal was undoubtedly accelerated by Reuters breaking the news of a possible equity raising on 15th May 2023.</li>
<li>We have covered most aspects of the deal in our previous note, in this note we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Rakuten (4755 JP) aims to raise up to US$2.4bn (JPY323bn) via a global offering.
The deal was undoubtedly accelerated by Reuters breaking the news of a possible equity raising on 15th May 2023.
We have covered most aspects of the deal in our previous note, in this note we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Rakuten US$2.4bn Placement - Larger than Rumored, Some Indications of Finality

Japan

TOSHIBA TEC CORPORATION manufactures electronic equipment for distribution system, document processing, and household use.  The Company's products include Point of Sale (POS) systems, bar code scanners, copy machines, printers, and vacuum cleaners.

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Toshiba Tec (6588 JP)

Samsung Electronics (005930-KR): Quality Generative AI Play, Trading at a Discount

In this insight, we analyse Samsung Electronics with a particular focus on the global Memory and Smartphone markets, company financials and growth...

Wium Malan, CFA

Roland DG (6789 JP): Taiyo Bumps as Brother (6448 JP) Now Faces a Dilemma

The shares are trading above Taiyo’s revised offer. Brother could bump but faces a dilemma as its tender offer (irrespective of price) now has a...

Arun George

Roland DG (6789 JP): Taiyo Mulling Three Options or Is It?

Taiyo’s press interviews are a smokescreen for its primary tactic of frustrating and pressing Brother to withdraw its bid if it cannot get the...

Arun George

Shibaura Mechatronics (6590) Secondary Offering & Buyback

Shibaura Mechatronics (one of the coolest company names out there) sees a Secondary Offer where original uncle Toshiba sells out. Supply/demand...

Travis Lundy

Rakuten US$2.4bn Placement - Larger than Rumored, Some Indications of Finality

Rakuten (4755 JP) aims to raise up to US$2.4bn (JPY323bn) via a global offering. In this note, we talk about the deal structure and the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

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