Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>US Group II base oils prices edge up versus vacuum gasoil (VGO) as crude prices correct lower.</li><li>Firm, rangebound base oils margins sustain incentive for refiners to maintain high output.</li><li>High output in Oct 2025 would help to cushion impact of scheduled plant-maintenance.</li></ul>

US Group II base oils prices edge up versus vacuum gasoil (VGO) as crude prices correct lower.Firm, rangebound base oils margins sustain incentive for refiners to maintain high output.High output in Oct 2025 would help to cushion impact of scheduled plant-maintenance.

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 6 October

<ul><li>US base oils demand likely to stay muted.</li><li>Buyers could cover more of any seasonal pick-up in demand at start of Q4 with unused stocks.</li><li>Lack of weather-related supply disruptions in recent months likely leaves those stocks at higher-than-expected levels.</li></ul>

US base oils demand likely to stay muted.Buyers could cover more of any seasonal pick-up in demand at start of Q4 with unused stocks.Lack of weather-related supply disruptions in recent months likely leaves those stocks at higher-than-expected levels.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 6 October

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.40 per share: Dry hole at Mateguafa Oeste but three more prospects to drill – The Mateguafa Oeste was water wet.</li>
<li>Our ReNAV for the well was £0.09 per share. We did not carry any production from this prospect in our cash flow forecast.</li>
<li>The rig will now move to Mateguafa Attic where the Mateguafa 5 vertical well will be drilled in November. </li>
</ul>


Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.40 per share: Dry hole at Mateguafa Oeste but three more prospects to drill – The Mateguafa Oeste was water wet.
Our ReNAV for the well was £0.09 per share. We did not carry any production from this prospect in our cash flow forecast.
The rig will now move to Mateguafa Attic where the Mateguafa 5 vertical well will be drilled in November. 


<ul><li>Global base oils prices mostly extend fall vs feedstock/competing fuel prices amid sustained rise in crude oil prices.</li><li>Any extension of crude oil prices holding at current levels or rising further would add to squeeze on base oils margins, especially for light grades.</li><li>Balanced-to-tight base oils supply would give refiners more leverage to respond to any sustained squeeze on margins.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices mostly extend fall vs feedstock/competing fuel prices amid sustained rise in crude oil prices.Any extension of crude oil prices holding at current levels or rising further would add to squeeze on base oils margins, especially for light grades.Balanced-to-tight base oils supply would give refiners more leverage to respond to any sustained squeeze on margins.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 29 September

<ul><li>Asia’s Group II base oils prices stay unusually firm vs US export prices so far this year.</li><li>Strength of Asia Group II prices curbs arbitrage flows from Asia to Americas so far this year.</li><li>Strength of Asia prices facilitates flows of base oils shipments from US to markets like UAE and India so far this year.</li></ul>

Asia’s Group II base oils prices stay unusually firm vs US export prices so far this year.Strength of Asia Group II prices curbs arbitrage flows from Asia to Americas so far this year.Strength of Asia prices facilitates flows of base oils shipments from US to markets like UAE and India so far this year.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 29 September

France

TotalEnergies SE operates as an energy company. The Company produces, transports, and supplies crude oil, natural gas, and low carbon electricity, as well as refines petrochemical products. TotalEnergies owns and manages gasoline filling stations worldwide.

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TotalEnergies (TTE US)

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 6 October

US Group II base oils prices edge up versus vacuum gasoil (VGO) as crude prices correct lower. Firm, rangebound base oils margins sustain...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 6 October

US base oils demand likely to stay muted. Buyers could cover more of any seasonal pick-up in demand at start of Q4 with unused stocks. Lack of...

Base Oil News

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 03/10/2025

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.40 per share: Dry hole at Mateguafa Oeste but three more prospects to drill – The Mateguafa...

Auctus Advisors

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 29 September

Global base oils prices mostly extend fall vs feedstock/competing fuel prices amid sustained rise in crude oil prices. Any extension of crude oil...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 29 September

Asia’s Group II base oils prices stay unusually firm vs US export prices so far this year. Strength of Asia Group II prices curbs arbitrage flows...

Base Oil News

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