Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Early in the summer, we had downgraded the tanker shipping sector and asked investors to brace for lower earnings and lower asset values and stock prices, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tanker-shipping-cycle-counter-cyclical-investment-strategy-to-run-its-course-downgrade-to-neutral," target="_blank">https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tanker-shipping-cycle-counter-cyclical-investment-strategy-to-run-its-course-downgrade-to-neutral,</a> all of which has materialized and honestly much faster than we had anticipated. We were early and do see the trend of lower earnings continuing on looming supply growth in 2017 and muted demand growth. The…

Early in the summer, we had downgraded the tanker shipping sector and asked investors to brace for lower earnings and lower asset values and stock prices, https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tanker-shipping-cycle-counter-cyclical-investment-strategy-to-run-its-course-downgrade-to-neutral, all of which has materialized and honestly much faster than we had anticipated. We were early and do see the trend of lower earnings continuing on looming supply growth in 2017 and muted demand growth. The…

Tanker Shipping - Recent Quarterly Results and Dividend Cuts Confirm Our Thesis, Not Just Seasonal

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

It is no easy task generating decent relatively low-risk long-term returns portfolio. Over the last decade I have put a lot of thinking into building such a portfolio. It did involve risk taking and periods of relative volatility. I have found several golden rules, also based on failures of up close experiences from myself and others. My hands down worse investment was not cutting losses in certain names into the 2008 crash – most notably Citigroup shares, some of which I was forcibly locked into owing to management options with false information from HR. GE was another counter I took a beating on in 2008+.But some 2009-09 investment lessons I found mirrored some of my 1987-88 market crash lessons. Over time I have reduced volatility in my portfolio.  My main lesson for my conservative investment style was that buying into the heart of a crash takes quite a bit of time and patience to claw back to break even on average picks.  But in the end I stuck to this value style for increasing positions a number of times over the years. What follows is a no-holds barred account of my rules based investments, and losses and gains which have led to decent long-term performance despite a few scary gaps.The second half of this piece is a dialogue with a global investor friend of 15-20 years.

It is no easy task generating decent relatively low-risk long-term returns portfolio. Over the last decade I have put a lot of thinking into building such a portfolio. It did involve risk taking and periods of relative volatility. I have found several golden rules, also based on failures of up close experiences from myself and others. My hands down worse investment was not cutting losses in certain names into the 2008 crash – most notably Citigroup shares, some of which I was forcibly locked into owing to management options with false information from HR. GE was another counter I took a beating on in 2008+.But some 2009-09 investment lessons I found mirrored some of my 1987-88 market crash lessons. Over time I have reduced volatility in my portfolio.  My main lesson for my conservative investment style was that buying into the heart of a crash takes quite a bit of time and patience to claw back to break even on average picks.  But in the end I stuck to this value style for increasing positions a number of times over the years. What follows is a no-holds barred account of my rules based investments, and losses and gains which have led to decent long-term performance despite a few scary gaps.The second half of this piece is a dialogue with a global investor friend of 15-20 years.

Building a Rules Based Perpetual Portfolio(Incl Global Investor Q & A)

Dry bulk normalisation continues; Tankers trend down in line with our expectations, Introduce Offshore sector<ul><li>Dry bulk stocks impacted by market malaise and company-specific events</li><li>Tide is turning for tanker operators; port sector transitioning to value play</li><li>Rally in offshore stocks could be a dead cat bounce; retracement in oil prices affect gas shipping</li></ul>

Dry bulk normalisation continues; Tankers trend down in line with our expectations, Introduce Offshore sectorDry bulk stocks impacted by market malaise and company-specific eventsTide is turning for tanker operators; port sector transitioning to value playRally in offshore stocks could be a dead cat bounce; retracement in oil prices affect gas shipping

DMER - Maritime Financial Insights -  July 2016

<h2>Container Shipping - 2016 Another Record Likely, This Time on Scrapping</h2>More containership capacity is being demolished than ever before, including old-design ships made redundant by the new Panama Canal.Drewry believes that, for the first time, 450,000teu of containership capacity is expected to be scrapped in just one year, as the containership sector recognises that there are far too many ships chasing too little cargo. Based on an average size of 3,000teu for ships which are being scrapped,…

Container Shipping - 2016 Another Record Likely, This Time on ScrappingMore containership capacity is being demolished than ever before, including old-design ships made redundant by the new Panama Canal.Drewry believes that, for the first time, 450,000teu of containership capacity is expected to be scrapped in just one year, as the containership sector recognises that there are far too many ships chasing too little cargo. Based on an average size of 3,000teu for ships which are being scrapped,…

Container Shipping - 2016 Another Record Likely, This Time on Scrapping

Adding risk with upgrade on Dry bulk and downgrade on Tanker shipping<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/009/352/original/mp2.JPG?1466125882" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="9352"></figure><ul><li>
The main change in our stance from the one shared at the start of this year is that we have increased allocation to the dry bulk sector (from 6% to 30%), while pruned exposure to the tankers (from 35% to 20%) in view of the changing market landscape, even though we would favour both the sectors for 2016. We recommend investors to take incremental exposure in the Dry bulk segment, which could be the outperformer in 2016.…</li></ul>

Adding risk with upgrade on Dry bulk and downgrade on Tanker shipping
The main change in our stance from the one shared at the start of this year is that we have increased allocation to the dry bulk sector (from 6% to 30%), while pruned exposure to the tankers (from 35% to 20%) in view of the changing market landscape, even though we would favour both the sectors for 2016. We recommend investors to take incremental exposure in the Dry bulk segment, which could be the outperformer in 2016.…

Maritime Model Portfolio - Adding Risk with Upgrade on Dry Bulk and Downgrade on Tanker Shipping

United States

TransDigm Group, Inc., through subsidiaries, manufactures aircraft components. The Company produces ignition systems and components, gear pumps, mechanical/electromechanical actuators and controls, NiCad batteries/chargers, power conditioning devices, hold-open rods and locking devices, engineered connectors and latches, cockpit security devices, and AC/DC electric motors.

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Transdigm Group (TDG US)

Tanker Shipping - Recent Quarterly Results and Dividend Cuts Confirm Our Thesis, Not Just Seasonal

Early in the summer, we had downgraded the tanker shipping sector and asked investors to brace for lower earnings and lower asset values and stock...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Building a Rules Based Perpetual Portfolio(Incl Global Investor Q & A)

It is no easy task generating decent relatively low-risk long-term returns portfolio. Over the last decade I have put a lot of thinking into...

Charles De Trenck

DMER - Maritime Financial Insights - July 2016

Dry bulk normalisation continues; Tankers trend down in line with our expectations, Introduce Offshore sector Dry bulk stocks impacted by market...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Container Shipping - 2016 Another Record Likely, This Time on Scrapping

Container Shipping - 2016 Another Record Likely, This Time on ScrappingMore containership capacity is being demolished than ever before, including...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Maritime Model Portfolio - Adding Risk with Upgrade on Dry Bulk and Downgrade on Tanker Shipping

Adding risk with upgrade on Dry bulk and downgrade on Tanker shippingThe main change in our stance from the one shared at the start of this year is...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

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