Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Transocean Ltd. has re-entered the strategic spotlight following its agreement to acquire Valaris in an all-stock transaction valued at approximately $5.8 billion, marking one of the most consequential consolidation moves in offshore drilling in over a decade.</li><li>The deal comes against the backdrop of Transocean’s aggressive balance-sheet repair, fleet rationalization, and improving free cash flow profile, as detailed in recent earnings calls and capital markets actions.</li><li>Management has spent the past year accelerating deleveraging, retiring older rigs, and positioning the company for what it views as a multi-year upcycle in deepwater and harsh-environment offshore activity.</li></ul>

Transocean Ltd. has re-entered the strategic spotlight following its agreement to acquire Valaris in an all-stock transaction valued at approximately $5.8 billion, marking one of the most consequential consolidation moves in offshore drilling in over a decade.The deal comes against the backdrop of Transocean’s aggressive balance-sheet repair, fleet rationalization, and improving free cash flow profile, as detailed in recent earnings calls and capital markets actions.Management has spent the past year accelerating deleveraging, retiring older rigs, and positioning the company for what it views as a multi-year upcycle in deepwater and harsh-environment offshore activity.

Transocean’s $5.8B Valaris Gambit Signals A New Offshore Supercycle!

<ul><li>Transocean's latest financial results and strategic movements depict a company actively refining its operations to align with market conditions and future needs.</li><li>The company reported strong third-quarter numbers, highlighting solid operational performance, cost reductions, and significant progress in deleveraging.</li><li>Positively, Transocean reduced its debt by approximately $1.2 billion for the year with a focus on improving its capital structure.</li></ul>

Transocean's latest financial results and strategic movements depict a company actively refining its operations to align with market conditions and future needs.The company reported strong third-quarter numbers, highlighting solid operational performance, cost reductions, and significant progress in deleveraging.Positively, Transocean reduced its debt by approximately $1.2 billion for the year with a focus on improving its capital structure.

Transocean Eyes Massive Petrobras Deal—Could This Be a Game-Changer?

Equity & Credit Research

Duncan Chan

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Potential de-escalation may compress risk premiums, but Treasury yields around 4.5–5.0% still compete with equities, suggesting broader participation may remain selective near term.</li>
<li>Aluminium increasingly stands out as inventories declined approximately 7–8% and physical conditions tightened, while copper remains broadly consistent with surplus expectations.</li>
<li>Evidence remains more supportive for energy security and infrastructure themes, including uranium, AI infrastructure and offshore rigs, while coal and lithium still require clearer signs of tightening.</li>
</ul>


Potential de-escalation may compress risk premiums, but Treasury yields around 4.5–5.0% still compete with equities, suggesting broader participation may remain selective near term.
Aluminium increasingly stands out as inventories declined approximately 7–8% and physical conditions tightened, while copper remains broadly consistent with surplus expectations.
Evidence remains more supportive for energy security and infrastructure themes, including uranium, AI infrastructure and offshore rigs, while coal and lithium still require clearer signs of tightening.


US-Iran De-Escalation: Looking Beyond Risk Premiums

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Offshore markets softened alongside weaker oil prices and demand expectations, but producers still appear increasingly focused on long-duration supply resilience and spare-capacity stability.</li>
<li>High-Specification offshore rigs remain structurally constrained after years of underinvestment, fleet retirements and limited replacement capacity following the 2014–2020 offshore downturn.</li>
<li>Offshore utilisation and day-rate momentum softened materially after the 2024 tightening phase, although premium offshore assets continue benefiting from constrained replacement capacity, backlog visibility and limited newbuild activity.</li>
</ul>


Offshore markets softened alongside weaker oil prices and demand expectations, but producers still appear increasingly focused on long-duration supply resilience and spare-capacity stability.
High-Specification offshore rigs remain structurally constrained after years of underinvestment, fleet retirements and limited replacement capacity following the 2014–2020 offshore downturn.
Offshore utilisation and day-rate momentum softened materially after the 2024 tightening phase, although premium offshore assets continue benefiting from constrained replacement capacity, backlog visibility and limited newbuild activity.


Oil Rigs: Offshore Supply Security Is Reshaping The Rig Market

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We maintain our near-term bullish outlook on the SPX, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), and will stay that way if 6824 SPX, $610 QQQ, and $245 IWM hold</li>
<li>We see mild deterioration in market dynamics, which may provide a near-term headwind; still, MAG7 earnings and Wednesday's Fed meeting are in the driver's seat, we're seeing a QQQ breakout(buy)</li>
<li>Buy this breakout above $629-$630 on QQQ. But the breakout must hold above 629 or it risks testing the 100-day MA or multi-month uptrend in blue (see chart below)</li>
</ul>


We maintain our near-term bullish outlook on the SPX, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), and will stay that way if 6824 SPX, $610 QQQ, and $245 IWM hold
We see mild deterioration in market dynamics, which may provide a near-term headwind; still, MAG7 earnings and Wednesday's Fed meeting are in the driver's seat, we're seeing a QQQ breakout(buy)
Buy this breakout above $629-$630 on QQQ. But the breakout must hold above 629 or it risks testing the 100-day MA or multi-month uptrend in blue (see chart below)


Chop Continues; Nasdaq 100 Breaking Above Major Resistance; Speculative Leaders Wobbling

Switzerland

Transocean Ltd. is an offshore drilling contractor.  The Company owns or operates mobile offshore drilling units, inland drilling barges, and other assets utilized in the support of offshore drilling activities worldwide. Transocean specializes in technically demanding segments of the offshore drilling business, including deepwater and harsh environment drilling services.

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Transocean Ltd (RIG US)

Transocean’s $5.8B Valaris Gambit Signals A New Offshore Supercycle!

Transocean Ltd. has re-entered the strategic spotlight following its agreement to acquire Valaris in an all-stock transaction valued at...

Baptista Research

Transocean Eyes Massive Petrobras Deal—Could This Be a Game-Changer?

Transocean's latest financial results and strategic movements depict a company actively refining its operations to align with market conditions...

Baptista Research

US-Iran De-Escalation: Looking Beyond Risk Premiums

Re-sharing as recent market developments continue to raise the question of whether fading geopolitical risk premiums alone are enough to support...

Duncan Chan

Oil Rigs: Offshore Supply Security Is Reshaping The Rig Market

Offshore rig markets are softening cyclically, but long-duration supply replacement remains structurally slow after years of underinvestment and...

Duncan Chan

Chop Continues; Nasdaq 100 Breaking Above Major Resistance; Speculative Leaders Wobbling

Chop Continues; Nasdaq 100 $QQQ Major Breakout Above $630 Resistance; Speculative Leaders Wobbling $REMX $TMC $MP $BTQ $IONQ $RGTI $IONQ $QUBT...

Vermilion Research

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