Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shriram-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:253:1" rel="noopener">Shriram Finance (SHFL IN)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/upl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20776:1" rel="noopener">UPL Ltd (UPLL IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> at the close of trading on 27 March. This was a high probability change.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent Ltd (TRENT IN)</a> missed out on inclusion and that results in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-petroleum-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10222:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN)</a> staying in the index.</li>
<li>There is over 11 days of delivery volume to trade in the add and delete and there appears to be significant positioning in one of the stocks.</li>
</ul>



Shriram Finance (SHFL IN) will replace UPL Ltd (UPLL IN) in the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) at the close of trading on 27 March. This was a high probability change.

Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) missed out on inclusion and that results in Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN) staying in the index.
There is over 11 days of delivery volume to trade in the add and delete and there appears to be significant positioning in one of the stocks.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Shriram Finance to Replace UPL

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Consumer demand remain tepid: Discretionary demand, particularly in the value segment, continues to be subdued, especially in smaller towns (Tier 2/3/4), which are facing significant pressure.</li><li>Premium vs. Value: While the premium segment continues to exhibit strength, the value segment, particularly in apparel, remains under pressure.</li><li>However, Relaxo, within our coverage, has displayed sustained signs of recovery in rural areas.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer demand remain tepid: Discretionary demand, particularly in the value segment, continues to be subdued, especially in smaller towns (Tier 2/3/4), which are facing significant pressure.Premium vs. Value: While the premium segment continues to exhibit strength, the value segment, particularly in apparel, remains under pressure.However, Relaxo, within our coverage, has displayed sustained signs of recovery in rural areas.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul>
<li>There will be a bunch of rebalance announcements towards the start and at the end of the coming week. This includes the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a>, HSCI, HSIII and global indices.</li>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> and related indices ends on 16 February. The announcement of the changes will come couple of weeks later.</li>
<li>There were HUGE inflows to mainland China ETFs for yet another week as Central Huijin indicated that they would continue to buy/create ETFs units.</li>
</ul>


There will be a bunch of rebalance announcements towards the start and at the end of the coming week. This includes the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, HSIII and global indices.
The review period for the March rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and related indices ends on 16 February. The announcement of the changes will come couple of weeks later.
There were HUGE inflows to mainland China ETFs for yet another week as Central Huijin indicated that they would continue to buy/create ETFs units.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR100, NEXT50, LowVol30, KOSPI200, TW50, NWD, ITC, India Float

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Nestle India: Nestle posted a resilient operating performance with EBITDA growing by 14% (HSIE: +10%) due to a 370bps GM expansion to 58.6% (the highest in the last 20 quarters)</li><li>Domestic revenue grew by 9% YoY (HSIE 12%) on the back of pricing and mix growth (around low to mid-single-digit volume growth)</li><li>Coffee prices remain volatile while healthy milk flush in winter is expected to keep milk prices stable</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nestle India: Nestle posted a resilient operating performance with EBITDA growing by 14% (HSIE: +10%) due to a 370bps GM expansion to 58.6% (the highest in the last 20 quarters)Domestic revenue grew by 9% YoY (HSIE 12%) on the back of pricing and mix growth (around low to mid-single-digit volume growth)Coffee prices remain volatile while healthy milk flush in winter is expected to keep milk prices stableContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Nestle India, Trent, Britannia Industries, Endurance Technologies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The company’s revenue grew 53% YoY (40% on a 4-year CAGR basis) to Rs 3,312 Cr led by increased footfalls, strong growth across categories and channels, and continued store expansion.</li><li>Its fashion concept registered encouraging LFL growth of 10% YoY. The company’s EBITDA grew by 86% YoY.</li><li>Its EBITDA margins expanded by 336bps YoY to 18.8% on account of strong operating leverage. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The company’s revenue grew 53% YoY (40% on a 4-year CAGR basis) to Rs 3,312 Cr led by increased footfalls, strong growth across categories and channels, and continued store expansion.Its fashion concept registered encouraging LFL growth of 10% YoY. The company’s EBITDA grew by 86% YoY.Its EBITDA margins expanded by 336bps YoY to 18.8% on account of strong operating leverage. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Trent Ltd - Juggernaut on a Roll; Strong Performance Continue – Maintain BUY

India

Trent Limited operates a chain of retail stores that sell fashion apparel, cosmetics, perfumery products and toiletry items. The Company sells apparel for men, women and children. Trent sells its cosmetics products under the "Westside" and "Trent" brand names.

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Trent Ltd (TRENT IN)

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Shriram Finance to Replace UPL

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Brian Freitas

Top Sector Ideas - Retail Q3FY24

Discretionary demand, particularly in the value segment, continues to be subdued, especially in smaller towns (Tier 2/3/4), which are facing...

Axis Direct

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR100, NEXT50, LowVol30, KOSPI200, TW50, NWD, ITC, India Float

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Nestle India, Trent, Britannia Industries, Endurance Technologies

Nestle India: Nestle posted a resilient operating performance with EBITDA growing by 14% (HSIE: +10%) due to a 370bps GM expansion to 58.6% (the...

HDFC Securities

Trent Ltd - Juggernaut on a Roll; Strong Performance Continue – Maintain BUY

The company’s revenue grew 53% YoY (40% on a 4-year CAGR basis) to Rs 3,312 Cr led by increased footfalls, strong growth across categories and...

Axis Direct

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