External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Discretionary categories to clock another healthy quarter: Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~14/% YoY (revenue) in Q3FY23 (three-year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs of 17/12% resp)</li><li>Ticket sizes in retail remain elevated, courtesy of higher ASP vis-à-vis pre-pandemic levels. Footfall density is normalising too</li><li>Jewellery, paints, apparel, and footwear are expected to clock 22%, 17%, 12%, and 6% (three-year CAGRs).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Discretionary categories to clock another healthy quarter: Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~14/% YoY (revenue) in Q3FY23 (three-year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs of 17/12% resp)Ticket sizes in retail remain elevated, courtesy of higher ASP vis-à-vis pre-pandemic levels. Footfall density is normalising tooJewellery, paints, apparel, and footwear are expected to clock 22%, 17%, 12%, and 6% (three-year CAGRs).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary (Q3FY23 Results Preview) - Healthy Quarter!

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Near the end of the review period, we see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 from LargeCap to MidCap, 8 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.</li>
<li>One spin-off should be added to the MidCap segment, while a bunch of recent listings will be added to the SmallCap segment.</li>
<li>Stock migrating upwards have outperformed stocks migrating downwards and we expect there could be some mean reversion from the middle of January.</li>
</ul>


Near the end of the review period, we see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 from LargeCap to MidCap, 8 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.
One spin-off should be added to the MidCap segment, while a bunch of recent listings will be added to the SmallCap segment.
Stock migrating upwards have outperformed stocks migrating downwards and we expect there could be some mean reversion from the middle of January.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2022): A Bunch of Migrations

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>An unprecedented pace of expansion is underway at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent Ltd</a> (a TATA group company) with the rapid roll-out of Zudio, a youth-fashion retail store chain across India, beyond big cities.</li>
<li>STAR Bazaar, its 50:50 JV with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesco-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22187:1" rel="noopener">Tesco PLC (TSCO LN)</a>, in grocery retail, has the potential to drive long term growth given the segment's immense size and scope. </li>
<li>Trent could emerge as one of the leading players in India's fast-growing organized retail sector as it rapidly expands its pan-India network in apparel and plans to grow in grocery. </li>
</ul>


An unprecedented pace of expansion is underway at Trent Ltd (a TATA group company) with the rapid roll-out of Zudio, a youth-fashion retail store chain across India, beyond big cities.
STAR Bazaar, its 50:50 JV with Tesco PLC (TSCO LN), in grocery retail, has the potential to drive long term growth given the segment's immense size and scope. 
Trent could emerge as one of the leading players in India's fast-growing organized retail sector as it rapidly expands its pan-India network in apparel and plans to grow in grocery. 


2023 High Conviction: Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) - Transformational Growth in Progress.

<ul>
<li>Despite a strong surge in sales in the Sept. quarter, most Indian consumer companies reported weak profit growth given negative impact of inflation, currency and interest rates.</li>
<li>Inflationary pressures from higher raw material costs, rise in fuel costs and higher wages have affected volume growth as companies attempted to effect price hikes to mitigate margin impact.</li>
<li>Leading FMCG companies have temporarily cut back on marketing spend during the quarter to offset the impact of cost pressures on operating margins.</li>
</ul>


Despite a strong surge in sales in the Sept. quarter, most Indian consumer companies reported weak profit growth given negative impact of inflation, currency and interest rates.
Inflationary pressures from higher raw material costs, rise in fuel costs and higher wages have affected volume growth as companies attempted to effect price hikes to mitigate margin impact.
Leading FMCG companies have temporarily cut back on marketing spend during the quarter to offset the impact of cost pressures on operating margins.


Inflation Bites: India Consumer Sector - Rising Revenues, Dipping Margins in Sept. Quarter

<ul><li>Trent: Trent reported a stellar Q2 top-line print</li><li>Standalone revenue grew 30% CAGR (three-year) to INR18.14bn</li><li>We suspect while Westside’s growth remains handsome (HSIE: 3-yr CAGR 17%), Zudio’s blitz-scaling continues to be a big needle-mover</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Trent: Trent reported a stellar Q2 top-line printStandalone revenue grew 30% CAGR (three-year) to INR18.14bnWe suspect while Westside’s growth remains handsome (HSIE: 3-yr CAGR 17%), Zudio’s blitz-scaling continues to be a big needle-moverContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Trent, NHPC, Astral, Torrent Power, Emami, Fine Organic Industries

India

Trent Limited operates a chain of retail stores that sell fashion apparel, cosmetics, perfumery products and toiletry items. The Company sells apparel for men, women and children. Trent sells its cosmetics products under the "Westside" and "Trent" brand names.

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Trent Ltd (TRENT IN)

Consumer Discretionary (Q3FY23 Results Preview) - Healthy Quarter!

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~14/% YoY (revenue) in Q3FY23 (three-year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs of 17/12% resp)

HDFC Securities

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2022): A Bunch of Migrations

Near the end of the review period, we see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 from LargeCap to MidCap, 8 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice...

Brian Freitas

2023 High Conviction: Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) - Transformational Growth in Progress.

Trent can emerge as one of the leading players in India's fast-growing organized retail segment; Better visibility and conviction of growth from...

Devi Subhakesan

Inflation Bites: India Consumer Sector - Rising Revenues, Dipping Margins in Sept. Quarter

Cost pressures could continue to impact volume and margins for most India consumer stocks. Impact of Inflation, currency and interest rates are key...

Devi Subhakesan

HSIE Results Daily: Trent, NHPC, Astral, Torrent Power, Emami, Fine Organic Industries

Trent: Trent reported a stellar Q2 top-line print. Standalone revenue grew 30% CAGR (three-year) to INR18.14bn. We suspect while Westside’s growth...

HDFC Securities

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