Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Feb 6th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Zto Express, HSBC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Techtronic.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Feb 6th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Zto Express, HSBC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Techtronic.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Zto Express, HSBC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Techtronic

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As expected, there are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in March. However, there are float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.6% leading to a round-trip trade of HK$18.15bn (US$2.3bn). Most stocks will have same-way flows from passive trackers of other indices in the Hang Seng family.</li>
<li>Short interest is elevated in some of the stocks with large flows and shorts could be active in the stocks over the next couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


As expected, there are no constituent changes for the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in March. However, there are float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.6% leading to a round-trip trade of HK$18.15bn (US$2.3bn). Most stocks will have same-way flows from passive trackers of other indices in the Hang Seng family.
Short interest is elevated in some of the stocks with large flows and shorts could be active in the stocks over the next couple of weeks.


HSTECH Index Rebalance: No Constituent Changes; Float/Capping Changes Lead to US$2.3bn Trade

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 30th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Alibaba (9988 HK), AIA (2318 HK), Sinopec (386 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 30th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Alibaba (9988 HK), AIA (2318 HK), Sinopec (386 HK).


HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, AIA, Sinopec, CATL

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Basic materials, industrials, technology, consumer and distribution services, retail, healthcare drove China in 2025. China's policy focus and consumer preferences should drive some of them and few others in 2026.</li>
<li>Juxtaposing future earnings growth forecasts, forecast ROE and reasonable valuations, we identify six sectors: Communication Services, Basic Materials, Industrials, Consumer Durables, Retail Trade and Consumer Services in our focus list.</li>
<li>Eight stocks from these sectors are in our Asian Model Portfolio: Xiaomi, China Hongqiao, Zijin Mining, Alibaba, Lonking Holdings, Midea Group, Trip.com and Galaxy Entertainment.</li>
</ul>


Basic materials, industrials, technology, consumer and distribution services, retail, healthcare drove China in 2025. China's policy focus and consumer preferences should drive some of them and few others in 2026.
Juxtaposing future earnings growth forecasts, forecast ROE and reasonable valuations, we identify six sectors: Communication Services, Basic Materials, Industrials, Consumer Durables, Retail Trade and Consumer Services in our focus list.
Eight stocks from these sectors are in our Asian Model Portfolio: Xiaomi, China Hongqiao, Zijin Mining, Alibaba, Lonking Holdings, Midea Group, Trip.com and Galaxy Entertainment.


China up Close: What Worked in 2025 and What's Likely to Work Now

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on ALIBABA, JD.COM, LI AUTO, MEITUAN, XPENG.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on ALIBABA, JD.COM, LI AUTO, MEITUAN, XPENG.


HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Jan): ALIBABA, JD.COM, LI AUTO, MEITUAN, XPENG

Singapore

Trip.com Group is a leading global one-stop travel platform offering accommodation reservations, transportation ticketing, packaged tours, and corporate travel management services. It operates a portfolio of brands including Trip.com, Ctrip, Skyscanner, and Qunar. The company was founded in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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Trip.com Group (9961 HK)

HK Short Interest Weekly: Zto Express, HSBC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Techtronic

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Feb 6th and highlight short interest changes in Zto Express, HSBC, Hua Hong...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSTECH Index Rebalance: No Constituent Changes; Float/Capping Changes Lead to US$2.3bn Trade

There are no constituent changes but float and capping changes result in one-way turnover of 2.6% and a round-trip trade of US$2.3bn. Shorts are...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, AIA, Sinopec, CATL

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 30th and highlight short interest changes in Alibaba, AIA, Sinopec, CATL.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China up Close: What Worked in 2025 and What's Likely to Work Now

China's RatingDog Services PMI, 52.3 for Jan, surprised positively - in lie with our observation of services growth. Tech stocks are declining due...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Jan): ALIBABA, JD.COM, LI AUTO, MEITUAN, XPENG

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for Jan 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in ALIBABA, JD.COM, LI AUTO, MEITUAN, XPENG.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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