External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>3Q wrapped up with 2 beats, 2 in-lines and 2 misses. We revised our 2022E earnings forecasts by -1 to -23%, and that put us roughly 5-25% below consensus.</li><li>In our view, risks are still skewed to the downside, barring any sporadic lockdowns.</li><li>When policy rhetoric is not turning, we again see grounds on the enforcement of “stay put for the holiday” for the coming CNY holiday.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

3Q wrapped up with 2 beats, 2 in-lines and 2 misses. We revised our 2022E earnings forecasts by -1 to -23%, and that put us roughly 5-25% below consensus.In our view, risks are still skewed to the downside, barring any sporadic lockdowns.When policy rhetoric is not turning, we again see grounds on the enforcement of “stay put for the holiday” for the coming CNY holiday.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Consumer – Lacklustre 4Q22E Outlook Despite Any Short-Lived Rally; Top Buy CRB/ Proya/ CTGDF

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>A non-eventful 3Q. While earnings cuts and de-ratings have taken place and reset market expectation across 1H results, in our view, earnings volatility for 3Q is unlikely to be drastic.</li><li>For items that we monitored, our channel checks suggested that sales momentum was largely on track to us - low-teen growth for CRB, double-digit growth for Nongfu, and particularly sequential double- digit recovery for Mengniu and Feihe.</li><li>Separately, the lockdown of Hainan since August could mean downside revision potential for CTGDF despite a well-maintained GPM.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

A non-eventful 3Q. While earnings cuts and de-ratings have taken place and reset market expectation across 1H results, in our view, earnings volatility for 3Q is unlikely to be drastic.For items that we monitored, our channel checks suggested that sales momentum was largely on track to us - low-teen growth for CRB, double-digit growth for Nongfu, and particularly sequential double- digit recovery for Mengniu and Feihe.Separately, the lockdown of Hainan since August could mean downside revision potential for CTGDF despite a well-maintained GPM.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Consumer – Addressing Recent Investors’ Concerns

Equity Bottom-Up

Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Our channel checks indicated Tsingtao’s 3Q sales likely stand at 10%+, driven not only by hot weather but also festive demand in which its canned products were perceived as ideal gifts during the mid-autumn festival.</li><li>Of note, the product has been seeing strong demand growth thanks to stay- home consumption amid the pandemic over 1H.</li><li>Interestingly, a seemingly weakening spending propensity has nonetheless facilitated consumption rotation from baijiu to beer over dinners and other social gatherings.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Our channel checks indicated Tsingtao’s 3Q sales likely stand at 10%+, driven not only by hot weather but also festive demand in which its canned products were perceived as ideal gifts during the mid-autumn festival.Of note, the product has been seeing strong demand growth thanks to stay- home consumption amid the pandemic over 1H.Interestingly, a seemingly weakening spending propensity has nonetheless facilitated consumption rotation from baijiu to beer over dinners and other social gatherings.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tsingtao Brewery (168 HK) – A Potentially Strong 3Q

<ul><li>1H ended with 3 beats, 3 misses and 5 in-lines. The wrap-up of 1H/ 2Q earnings season has largely reset market expectation with latest earnings forecasts, management guidance and hence a refreshed 2H outlook.</li><li>In the near term, in our view, when the PPI-CPI scissor gap continues to narrow, market likely refocuses on the legitimation of any GPM expansion for staple players.</li><li>Meanwhile, lockdown risks prompt us to reside with plays that enjoy high online sales mix, and more importantly, relevant to the upcoming Double 11 campaign.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

1H ended with 3 beats, 3 misses and 5 in-lines. The wrap-up of 1H/ 2Q earnings season has largely reset market expectation with latest earnings forecasts, management guidance and hence a refreshed 2H outlook.In the near term, in our view, when the PPI-CPI scissor gap continues to narrow, market likely refocuses on the legitimation of any GPM expansion for staple players.Meanwhile, lockdown risks prompt us to reside with plays that enjoy high online sales mix, and more importantly, relevant to the upcoming Double 11 campaign.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Consumer Staples – A diverging 1H; mix upgrade and cost savings were keys to stay relevant

China

Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited produces and distributes beer products.  The Company markets its products throughout China and around the world under the Tsingtao Beer brand name.

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Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd H (168 HK)

China Consumer – Lacklustre 4Q22E Outlook Despite Any Short-Lived Rally; Top Buy CRB/ Proya/ CTGDF

3Q wrapped up with 2 beats, 2 in-lines and 2 misses. We revised our 2022E earnings forecasts by -1 to -23%, and that put us roughly 5-25% below...

CMB International

China Consumer – Addressing Recent Investors’ Concerns

A non-eventful 3Q. While earnings cuts and de-ratings have taken place and reset market expectation across 1H results, in our view, earnings...

CMB International

Tsingtao Brewery (168 HK) – A Potentially Strong 3Q

Our channel checks indicated Tsingtao’s 3Q sales likely stand at 10%+, driven not only by hot weather but also festive demand in which its canned...

CMB International

China Consumer Staples – A diverging 1H; mix upgrade and cost savings were keys to stay relevant

In the near term, in our view, when the PPI-CPI scissor gap continues to narrow, market likely refocuses on the legitimation of any GPM expansion...

CMB International

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