Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Technically, the index is expected to move weakly, with the support at 1,317/1,311 points and the resistance at 1,325/1,332 points.</li><li>The European Central Bank is expected to maintain the policy interest rate at 4.25%.</li><li>Conclusions from the Central Committee of the Communist Party meeting are anticipated to be positive for the Chinese and broader Asian stock markets, particularly if there are indications of large-scale economic stimulus.</li></ul>

Technically, the index is expected to move weakly, with the support at 1,317/1,311 points and the resistance at 1,325/1,332 points.The European Central Bank is expected to maintain the policy interest rate at 4.25%.Conclusions from the Central Committee of the Communist Party meeting are anticipated to be positive for the Chinese and broader Asian stock markets, particularly if there are indications of large-scale economic stimulus.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The global foundry sales reached US$117bn in 2023, according to Counterpoint.</li><li>The sector showed signs of stabilization in 2H23, helped by surging demand for AI chips and inventory restocking.</li><li>The market growth turned positive to 6.5% and 9.8% QoQ in 3Q/4Q23, per Counterpoint. We hold a positive outlook for semi foundry sector. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The global foundry sales reached US$117bn in 2023, according to Counterpoint.The sector showed signs of stabilization in 2H23, helped by surging demand for AI chips and inventory restocking.The market growth turned positive to 6.5% and 9.8% QoQ in 3Q/4Q23, per Counterpoint. We hold a positive outlook for semi foundry sector. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semi - Global Foundry Sector Stabilizing in 2024, Modest Recovery Expected in 2025

<ul><li>Nvidia announced (22 May) FY1Q25 results. Quarterly revenue was US$26.0bn, up 262% YoY and 17.8% QoQ (22.0% QoQ in FY4Q24).</li><li>FY1Q25 revenue beat Bloomberg consensus of US$24.7bn by 5.5%.</li><li>Data center revenue continued to soar and topped US$22.6bn, up 426.7% YoY and 22.6% QoQ (26.8% QoQ in FY4Q24).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nvidia announced (22 May) FY1Q25 results. Quarterly revenue was US$26.0bn, up 262% YoY and 17.8% QoQ (22.0% QoQ in FY4Q24).FY1Q25 revenue beat Bloomberg consensus of US$24.7bn by 5.5%.Data center revenue continued to soar and topped US$22.6bn, up 426.7% YoY and 22.6% QoQ (26.8% QoQ in FY4Q24).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semi - Nvidia: To keep growing for longer

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways down, with the support at 1,370/1,366 points and the resistance at 1,388/1,392 points, as it is still moving in a downward direction in accordance with the rounding-top pattern.</li><li>The Thai stock market has undergone a correction, prompting a 9 bps increase in the MRP to 4.4% due to external pressures.</li><li>As a result, the 12M SET Index movement is now anticipated in a lower range of 1,353-1,484 points (compared to the previous range of 1,378-1,504 points).</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways down, with the support at 1,370/1,366 points and the resistance at 1,388/1,392 points, as it is still moving in a downward direction in accordance with the rounding-top pattern.The Thai stock market has undergone a correction, prompting a 9 bps increase in the MRP to 4.4% due to external pressures.As a result, the 12M SET Index movement is now anticipated in a lower range of 1,353-1,484 points (compared to the previous range of 1,378-1,504 points).

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. January 22, 2024

<ul><li>Major global semi foundries (TSMC/UMC/VIS/GF/SMIC/HH) reported in-line 3Q23 results but mixed 4Q23 outlook with shipment/ASP pressure and lower GPM given weak broad-based recovery, low UTR, depreciation and higher utility costs.</li><li>Looking into 2024, most fabs expected 2024 to be a year of growth driven by consumer/smartphone/PC recovery despite automotive inventory correction.</li><li>Overall, we expect global foundry industry to return to positive growth in 1H24. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Major global semi foundries (TSMC/UMC/VIS/GF/SMIC/HH) reported in-line 3Q23 results but mixed 4Q23 outlook with shipment/ASP pressure and lower GPM given weak broad-based recovery, low UTR, depreciation and higher utility costs.Looking into 2024, most fabs expected 2024 to be a year of growth driven by consumer/smartphone/PC recovery despite automotive inventory correction.Overall, we expect global foundry industry to return to positive growth in 1H24. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

Keep a Close Watch on the ECB Meeting

Technically, the index is expected to move weakly, with the support at 1,317/1,311 points and the resistance at 1,325/1,332 points. The European...

Krungthai XSpring

Semi - Global Foundry Sector Stabilizing in 2024, Modest Recovery Expected in 2025

The market growth turned positive to 6.5% and 9.8% QoQ in 3Q/4Q23, per Counterpoint. We hold a positive outlook for semi foundry sector.

CMB International

Semi - Nvidia: To keep growing for longer

Nvidia announced (22 May) FY1Q25 results. Quarterly revenue was US$26.0bn, up 262% YoY and 17.8% QoQ (22.0% QoQ in FY4Q24). FY1Q25 revenue beat. ...

CMB International

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. January 22, 2024

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways down, with the support at 1,370/1,366 points and the resistance at 1,388/1,392 points, as...

Krungthai XSpring

Technology – Global Foundry 3Q23 Wrap

Looking into 2024, most fabs expected 2024 to be a year of growth driven by consumer/smartphone/PC recovery despite automotive inventory correction

CMB International

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