External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. Tuhu’s 2H24 earnings were largely in line with our expectation.</li><li>We find that the profitability of Tuhu’s franchised stores has been better than most auto after-market peers’, as more than 90% of Tuhu’s stores operating for over six months made profits in FY24.</li><li>Although it remains challenging for Tuhu to achieve a YoY increase in single-store revenue metrics amid macro uncertainties, we believe store number expansion could continue to drive revenue growth over the next few years. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. Tuhu’s 2H24 earnings were largely in line with our expectation.We find that the profitability of Tuhu’s franchised stores has been better than most auto after-market peers’, as more than 90% of Tuhu’s stores operating for over six months made profits in FY24.Although it remains challenging for Tuhu to achieve a YoY increase in single-store revenue metrics amid macro uncertainties, we believe store number expansion could continue to drive revenue growth over the next few years. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tuhu Car (9690 HK) - Still Better Positioned than Most Rivals

Global Mobility/Transport, Equity Long-Short

Mohshin Aziz

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tuhu-car-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36012:1" rel="noopener">Tuhu Car (9690 HK)</a> is poised to capture the lion share of China's automotive aftersales service industry that is forecasted to grow at 7.3% CAGR from 2023:30. </li>
<li>Tuhu is on an inflection of high earnings growth (+30% CAGR) as it has reached scalability, cost efficiency, and its younger shops are maturing profitably.    </li>
<li>Our fair value of HKD24 implies 25x FY25 PE - average for US peers. A bargain with 3-year CAGR of 30%, net cash, and churns high free cash flow.</li>
</ul>



Tuhu Car (9690 HK) is poised to capture the lion share of China's automotive aftersales service industry that is forecasted to grow at 7.3% CAGR from 2023:30. 
Tuhu is on an inflection of high earnings growth (+30% CAGR) as it has reached scalability, cost efficiency, and its younger shops are maturing profitably.    
Our fair value of HKD24 implies 25x FY25 PE - average for US peers. A bargain with 3-year CAGR of 30%, net cash, and churns high free cash flow.


Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD24): Poised to Capture China's Auto Aftersales Service Market

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Fourteen Chinese NEV makers/brands including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Leapmotor, Xiaomi, HIMA, Galaxy, Zeekr, Aion, Voyah, Deepal and Avatr reported their Jun 2025 sales volumes on 1 Jul 2025.</li><li>Total NEV sales volume combined rose 27% YoY (ranging from -24% to +224%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -20% to +19%) last month.</li><li>Li Auto missed, Xpeng and NIO in line. Li Auto’s Jun deliveries fell 11% MoM to about 36,000 units, driving its 2Q25 sales volume up by 20% QoQ to about 111,000 units, but still missing our previous forecast by about 13,000 units.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Fourteen Chinese NEV makers/brands including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Leapmotor, Xiaomi, HIMA, Galaxy, Zeekr, Aion, Voyah, Deepal and Avatr reported their Jun 2025 sales volumes on 1 Jul 2025.Total NEV sales volume combined rose 27% YoY (ranging from -24% to +224%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -20% to +19%) last month.Li Auto missed, Xpeng and NIO in line. Li Auto’s Jun deliveries fell 11% MoM to about 36,000 units, driving its 2Q25 sales volume up by 20% QoQ to about 111,000 units, but still missing our previous forecast by about 13,000 units.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - New models to drive NEV sales in 3Q after a solid Jun

<ul><li>We summarize the May 2025 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that May discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Apr 2025 retail sales volume for each model, as May 2025 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>The industrywide average discounts rose 0.7ppts MoM to about 15% in May 2025, based on our calculations, mainly driven by German brands (VW, Mercedes-Benz and BMW, etc.). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the May 2025 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that May discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Apr 2025 retail sales volume for each model, as May 2025 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.The industrywide average discounts rose 0.7ppts MoM to about 15% in May 2025, based on our calculations, mainly driven by German brands (VW, Mercedes-Benz and BMW, etc.). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - New Models to Stabilize Chinese OEMs’ Discounts

<ul><li>In this report, we summarize the Mar 2025 price discounts at dealers for major automakers.</li><li>Note that Mar discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2025 retail sales volume for each model, as Mar 2025 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>The industrywide average discounts narrowed by 0.1ppts MoM in Mar 2025, based on our calculations, thanks to the narrowing discounts from some German brands (VW, Audi). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In this report, we summarize the Mar 2025 price discounts at dealers for major automakers.Note that Mar discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2025 retail sales volume for each model, as Mar 2025 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.The industrywide average discounts narrowed by 0.1ppts MoM in Mar 2025, based on our calculations, thanks to the narrowing discounts from some German brands (VW, Audi). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - 1Q25 Sales Volume, Discounts May Lead to Larger Earnings Divergence

China

TUHU Car Inc. offers automotive services. The Company develops leading integrated online and offline platform which provides automotive maintenance, repair, detailing, and more. TUHU Car provides its services throughout Hong Kong.

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Tuhu Car (9690 HK)

Tuhu Car (9690 HK) - Still Better Positioned than Most Rivals

We find that the profitability of Tuhu’s franchised stores has been better than most auto after-market peers’, as more than 90% of Tuhu’s stores...

CMB International

Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD24): Poised to Capture China's Auto Aftersales Service Market

Tuhu Car (9690 HK) set to dominate China's automotive aftersales industry with high earnings growth potential and attractive valuation.

Mohshin Aziz

Auto - New models to drive NEV sales in 3Q after a solid Jun

Total NEV sales volume combined rose 27% YoY (ranging from -24% to +224%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -20% to +19%) last month.

CMB International

Auto - New Models to Stabilize Chinese OEMs’ Discounts

The industrywide average discounts rose 0.7ppts MoM to about 15% in May 2025, based on our calculations, mainly driven by German brands (VW,...

CMB International

Auto - 1Q25 Sales Volume, Discounts May Lead to Larger Earnings Divergence

Note that Mar discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2025 retail sales volume for each model

CMB International

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Tuhu Car (9690 HK) - Still Better Positioned than Most Rivals

We find that the profitability of Tuhu’s franchised stores has been better than most auto after-market peers’, as more than 90% of Tuhu’s stores...

CMB International

Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD24): Poised to Capture China's Auto Aftersales Service Market

​Tuhu Car (9690 HK) set to dominate China's automotive aftersales industry with high earnings growth potential and attractive valuation.

Mohshin Aziz

Auto - New models to drive NEV sales in 3Q after a solid Jun

Total NEV sales volume combined rose 27% YoY (ranging from -24% to +224%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -20% to +19%) last month.

CMB International

Auto - New Models to Stabilize Chinese OEMs’ Discounts

The industrywide average discounts rose 0.7ppts MoM to about 15% in May 2025, based on our calculations, mainly driven by German brands (VW,...

CMB International

Auto - 1Q25 Sales Volume, Discounts May Lead to Larger Earnings Divergence

Note that Mar discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2025 retail sales volume for each model

CMB International

Tuhu Car (9690 HK) set to dominate China's automotive aftersales industry with high earnings growth potential and attractive valuation.