Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since early November 2023 we have been expecting global equities (MSCI ACWI) to stage a year-end rally that would continue into the early part of 2024.</li>
<li>As we progress through the “early part” of 2024, more global indexes and Sectors are breaking out and starting to participate in the upside. This is classic bull market behavior.</li>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Energy/Coal, and Polish Banks</li>
</ul>


Since early November 2023 we have been expecting global equities (MSCI ACWI) to stage a year-end rally that would continue into the early part of 2024.
As we progress through the “early part” of 2024, more global indexes and Sectors are breaking out and starting to participate in the upside. This is classic bull market behavior.
Our outlook remains bullish; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Energy/Coal, and Polish Banks


Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; Buys in Discretionary

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric</a> is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Ola Electric is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.
Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Ola Electric Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Still a Long Road Ahead with Ample Competition

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric</a> is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. </li>
<li>Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Ola Electric is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. 
Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Ola Electric Pre-IPO - The Positives - India’s Answer to Tesla?

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> is optimistic about the future of their exports and expects a recovery in exports as a critical catalyst for the stock over the near term.</li>
<li>The company's EV endeavors in both 2-wheelers and 3-wheelers are expected to surprise on the upside, which can deliver upside than what is currently factored in.</li>
<li>The stock also trades at undemanding valuations (16x FY25 consensus estimates), offering adequate comfort with an optionality of EV and Exports.</li>
</ul>



Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) is optimistic about the future of their exports and expects a recovery in exports as a critical catalyst for the stock over the near term.
The company's EV endeavors in both 2-wheelers and 3-wheelers are expected to surprise on the upside, which can deliver upside than what is currently factored in.
The stock also trades at undemanding valuations (16x FY25 consensus estimates), offering adequate comfort with an optionality of EV and Exports.


Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) | EV & Exports Optionality

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (1700674D IN)</a>, the largest Indian electric two-wheel vehicles (E2W) player, is seeking US$660 million from a primary raise along with a secondary raise at a US$7-8 billion valuation.</li>
<li>In <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ola-electric-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:123749" rel="noopener">Ola Electric IPO: The Bull Case</a></strong></em>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on high R&amp;D capitalization, ongoing losses, high attrition, declining contract liabilities, cash burn and deteriorating balance sheet. </li>
</ul>



Ola Electric (1700674D IN), the largest Indian electric two-wheel vehicles (E2W) player, is seeking US$660 million from a primary raise along with a secondary raise at a US$7-8 billion valuation.
In Ola Electric IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on high R&amp;D capitalization, ongoing losses, high attrition, declining contract liabilities, cash burn and deteriorating balance sheet. 


India

TVS Motor Company Limited manufactures motorcycles, mopeds, and scooters. The Company provides spark ignition operated outboard motors, combustion spark ignition engines, critical engines, and transmission parts. TVS Motor Company serves customers in India.

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TVS Motor (TVSL IN)

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; Buys in Discretionary

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Overall Outlook Intact; $DXY Rolling Over; Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

Ola Electric Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Still a Long Road Ahead with Ample Competition

Ola Electric is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Ola Electric Pre-IPO - The Positives - India’s Answer to Tesla?

Ola Electric is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) | EV & Exports Optionality

BJAUT has approved the proposal for buy-back of up to 4,000,000 Equity Shares representing 1.41% of the total number of Equity Shares of the...

Pranav Bhavsar

Ola Electric IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on high R and D capitalization, ongoing losses, high attrition, declining contract liabilities, cash burn and deteriorating...

Arun George

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