Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tvs-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16123:1" rel="noopener">TVS Motor (TVSL IN)</a> posted its highest-ever revenue and EBITDA in Q1FY26, with 20% topline growth. Strong export recovery (+39%) and robust EV sales (+35%) helped offset modest domestic growth.</li>
<li>Strong Festive Outlook: Management expects festive demand, rural recovery, and new launches—including EVs and Norton bikes—to drive strong H2 FY26 performance.</li>
<li>But the Valuation At 57x P/E TTM EPS, TVS commands a steep premium over peers.Despite the sustained outperformance in EV adoption,export monetization, and upcoming premium product launches, we retain HOLD.</li>
</ul>



TVS Motor (TVSL IN) posted its highest-ever revenue and EBITDA in Q1FY26, with 20% topline growth. Strong export recovery (+39%) and robust EV sales (+35%) helped offset modest domestic growth.
Strong Festive Outlook: Management expects festive demand, rural recovery, and new launches—including EVs and Norton bikes—to drive strong H2 FY26 performance.
But the Valuation At 57x P/E TTM EPS, TVS commands a steep premium over peers.Despite the sustained outperformance in EV adoption,export monetization, and upcoming premium product launches, we retain HOLD.


TVS Motor (TVSL) – The Juggernaut; Solid Outlook

<ul>
<li>
Robust Operating Performance:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tvs-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16123:1" rel="noopener">TVS Motor (TVSL IN)</a> reported 17% YoY revenue growth in Q4FY25 with EBITDA margins at 12.5% (ex-PLI) — stable despite input cost pressures. </li>
<li>
EV Momentum &amp; Premium Product Strength: EV sales rose 54% YoY, and TVS continued to gain traction in the premium segment through its Apache and Ntorq models.</li>
<li>
Valuation Demands Flawless Execution:At 58x P/E TTM EPS,TVS commands a steep premium over peers.Justifying this requires sustained outperformance in EV adoption, export monetization, and premium product cycles without margin erosion.</li>
</ul>



Robust Operating Performance:TVS Motor (TVSL IN) reported 17% YoY revenue growth in Q4FY25 with EBITDA margins at 12.5% (ex-PLI) — stable despite input cost pressures. 

EV Momentum &amp; Premium Product Strength: EV sales rose 54% YoY, and TVS continued to gain traction in the premium segment through its Apache and Ntorq models.

Valuation Demands Flawless Execution:At 58x P/E TTM EPS,TVS commands a steep premium over peers.Justifying this requires sustained outperformance in EV adoption, export monetization, and premium product cycles without margin erosion.


TVS Motor Q4FY25 Review: Premium Valuation Backed by Strategic Execution or Investor Over-Optimism?

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The global auto industry faces significant tariff exposure. Option implied volatility offers a forward-looking assessment of risk.</li>
<li>Chinese car makers started to increase in implied volatility more than the other markets at the beginning of February. They now show the highest risk.</li>
<li>Recent implied volatility trends, asymmetric pricing (skew), and the term structure all seem to indicate that the Indian auto sector is the least exposed to international trade relations.</li>
</ul>


The global auto industry faces significant tariff exposure. Option implied volatility offers a forward-looking assessment of risk.
Chinese car makers started to increase in implied volatility more than the other markets at the beginning of February. They now show the highest risk.
Recent implied volatility trends, asymmetric pricing (skew), and the term structure all seem to indicate that the Indian auto sector is the least exposed to international trade relations.


EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>India is intensifying its electric mobility push to achieve 30% EV sales by 2030, focusing on mandates, financing, and targeted city-level saturation to accelerate adoption.</li>
<li>The EV transition will reduce oil imports, cut emissions, enhance renewable energy integration, and position India as a global clean mobility leader amid slow early progress.</li>
<li>A decisive shift from incentives to mandates, coupled with focused financing, R&amp;D, and urban pilot programs, can fast-track India’s electric mobility transformation over the next five years.</li>
</ul>


India is intensifying its electric mobility push to achieve 30% EV sales by 2030, focusing on mandates, financing, and targeted city-level saturation to accelerate adoption.
The EV transition will reduce oil imports, cut emissions, enhance renewable energy integration, and position India as a global clean mobility leader amid slow early progress.
A decisive shift from incentives to mandates, coupled with focused financing, R&amp;D, and urban pilot programs, can fast-track India’s electric mobility transformation over the next five years.


Thematic Report: India’s EV Curve Is Accelerating into Untapped Segments

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ather-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43903:1" rel="noopener">Ather Energy</a> raised around US$350m in its India IPO in May 2025. The lockup for its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Ather is a pure play electric vehicle company in India designing and developing E2Ws, battery packs, charging infrastructure, associated software and accessories, also manufacturing battery packs and assembling E2Ws in-house.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Ather Energy raised around US$350m in its India IPO in May 2025. The lockup for its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
Ather is a pure play electric vehicle company in India designing and developing E2Ws, battery packs, charging infrastructure, associated software and accessories, also manufacturing battery packs and assembling E2Ws in-house.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Ather Energy IPO Lockup - US$1.3bn+ Lockup Release

India

TVS Motor Company Limited manufactures motorcycles, mopeds, and scooters. The Company provides spark ignition operated outboard motors, combustion spark ignition engines, critical engines, and transmission parts. TVS Motor Company serves customers in India.

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TVS Motor (TVSL IN)

TVS Motor (TVSL) – The Juggernaut; Solid Outlook

TVS Motor continues with its Juggernaut performance, but valuation at 57x P/E TTM EPS is a concern. Expects strong H2FY26 performance driven by...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

TVS Motor Q4FY25 Review: Premium Valuation Backed by Strategic Execution or Investor Over-Optimism?

TVS Motor reported strong revenue growth and stable margins in Q4FY25, driven by EV sales and premium product strength. Valuation demands flawless...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...

Gaudenz Schneider

Thematic Report: India’s EV Curve Is Accelerating into Untapped Segments

India aims for 30% EV sales by 2030 to reduce oil imports, cut emissions, and position as a global clean mobility leader through mandates,...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Ather Energy IPO Lockup - US$1.3bn+ Lockup Release

Ather Energy raised around US$350m in its India IPO in May 2025. The lockup for its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TVS Motor (TVSL) – The Juggernaut; Solid Outlook

​TVS Motor continues with its Juggernaut performance, but valuation at 57x P/E TTM EPS is a concern. Expects strong H2FY26 performance driven by...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

TVS Motor Q4FY25 Review: Premium Valuation Backed by Strategic Execution or Investor Over-Optimism?

​TVS Motor reported strong revenue growth and stable margins in Q4FY25, driven by EV sales and premium product strength. Valuation demands flawless...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

​Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...

Gaudenz Schneider

Thematic Report: India’s EV Curve Is Accelerating into Untapped Segments

​India aims for 30% EV sales by 2030 to reduce oil imports, cut emissions, and position as a global clean mobility leader through mandates,...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Ather Energy IPO Lockup - US$1.3bn+ Lockup Release

Ather Energy raised around US$350m in its India IPO in May 2025. The lockup for its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

TVS Motor continues with its Juggernaut performance, but valuation at 57x P/E TTM EPS is a concern. Expects strong H2FY26 performance driven by...

TVS Motor reported strong revenue growth and stable margins in Q4FY25, driven by EV sales and premium product strength. Valuation demands flawless...

Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...

India aims for 30% EV sales by 2030 to reduce oil imports, cut emissions, and position as a global clean mobility leader through mandates,...