Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 20 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June. We had correctly forecast 39 of the 40 changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 68.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 160bn (US$1.9bn). There are 22 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The Financials sector has 9 net inclusions to the index while the Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors have 2 net deletions each.</li>
</ul>


There are 20 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June. We had correctly forecast 39 of the 40 changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 68.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 160bn (US$1.9bn). There are 22 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
The Financials sector has 9 net inclusions to the index while the Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors have 2 net deletions each.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: HUGE Turnover and Trade as Financials Shine

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>EV sales rose 9% MoM in May, showing early signs of recovery post-April dip; YoY growth strong at 29%.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)</a> ’s market share slipped to 19%, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tvs-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16123:1" rel="noopener">TVS Motor (TVSL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> remained steady; market concentration continues.</li>
<li>Affordability challenges remain, as lower subsidies pressure entry-level demand; OEM pricing and rollout strategies in focus.</li>
</ul>


EV sales rose 9% MoM in May, showing early signs of recovery post-April dip; YoY growth strong at 29%.

Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) ’s market share slipped to 19%, while TVS Motor (TVSL IN) and Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) remained steady; market concentration continues.
Affordability challenges remain, as lower subsidies pressure entry-level demand; OEM pricing and rollout strategies in focus.


Bajaj, TVS Overtake Ola as EV 2W Market Consolidates

<ul>
<li>There could be 20 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn).</li>
<li>Financials are expected to gain 9 index spots and Materials are expected to gain 3 spots. Consumer Discretionary could lose 5 spots and Information Technology could lose 4 spots.</li>
</ul>


There could be 20 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn).
Financials are expected to gain 9 index spots and Materials are expected to gain 3 spots. Consumer Discretionary could lose 5 spots and Information Technology could lose 4 spots.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

<ul>
<li>Our selection of Indian Auto companies is based on these characteristics: value, near term growth triggers, margin of safety and management commentary post Q4FY25 Results.</li>
<li>We present our list of stocks in the BUY, SELL(short) and HOLD category in this insight.</li>
<li>We will review our note on these names post their monthly sales volume performance and outlook in medium term.</li>
</ul>


Our selection of Indian Auto companies is based on these characteristics: value, near term growth triggers, margin of safety and management commentary post Q4FY25 Results.
We present our list of stocks in the BUY, SELL(short) and HOLD category in this insight.
We will review our note on these names post their monthly sales volume performance and outlook in medium term.


Shortlist Of High Conviction Long and Short Ideas in Indian Auto:Growth Outlook & Valuation-May 2025

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Bajaj Auto will take majority control of KTM AG by buying out its Austrian partner in Pierer Bajaj AG and injecting €800 million to close KTM’s court-approved restructuring.</li>
<li>The deal rescues a flagship European brand from insolvency, safeguards KTM’s supply chain, and vaults Bajaj into the global premium-sport segment as an OEM rather than a contract partner.</li>
<li>Bajaj’s pivot from passive investor to turnaround owner adds earnings volatility near-term, but long-term it secures technology, brand equity, and a bigger share of high-margin 400-1,000 cc bikes.</li>
</ul>


Bajaj Auto will take majority control of KTM AG by buying out its Austrian partner in Pierer Bajaj AG and injecting €800 million to close KTM’s court-approved restructuring.
The deal rescues a flagship European brand from insolvency, safeguards KTM’s supply chain, and vaults Bajaj into the global premium-sport segment as an OEM rather than a contract partner.
Bajaj’s pivot from passive investor to turnaround owner adds earnings volatility near-term, but long-term it secures technology, brand equity, and a bigger share of high-margin 400-1,000 cc bikes.


Event Driven: Bajaj Auto Acquired Majority Control of Austrian KTM

India

TVS Motor Company Limited manufactures motorcycles, mopeds, and scooters. The Company provides spark ignition operated outboard motors, combustion spark ignition engines, critical engines, and transmission parts. TVS Motor Company serves customers in India.

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TVS Motor (TVSL IN)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: HUGE Turnover and Trade as Financials Shine

The Nifty200 Momentum30 Index rebalances at the close tomorrow. Since announcement, the adds have outperformed the deletes (but only marginally)....

Brian Freitas

Bajaj, TVS Overtake Ola as EV 2W Market Consolidates

Indian EV industry is concerned with China’s ban on the export of high-rare-earth (HRE) magnets to Indian auto makers. Many auto OEMs including...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

We forecast 20 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn). The...

Brian Freitas

Shortlist Of High Conviction Long and Short Ideas in Indian Auto:Growth Outlook & Valuation-May 2025

Highlights Indian Auto companies based on value, growth triggers and management commentary post Q4FY25 results. Stocks categorized as BUY, SELL...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Event Driven: Bajaj Auto Acquired Majority Control of Austrian KTM

Bajaj Auto to take majority control of KTM AG, injecting €800 million to rescue the brand, secure technology, and expand into premium-sport segment.

Nimish Maheshwari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: HUGE Turnover and Trade as Financials Shine

The Nifty200 Momentum30 Index rebalances at the close tomorrow. Since announcement, the adds have outperformed the deletes (but only marginally)....

Brian Freitas

Bajaj, TVS Overtake Ola as EV 2W Market Consolidates

Indian EV industry is concerned with China’s ban on the export of high-rare-earth (HRE) magnets to Indian auto makers. Many auto OEMs including...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

We forecast 20 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn). The...

Brian Freitas

Shortlist Of High Conviction Long and Short Ideas in Indian Auto:Growth Outlook & Valuation-May 2025

​Highlights Indian Auto companies based on value, growth triggers and management commentary post Q4FY25 results. Stocks categorized as BUY, SELL...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Event Driven: Bajaj Auto Acquired Majority Control of Austrian KTM

​Bajaj Auto to take majority control of KTM AG, injecting €800 million to rescue the brand, secure technology, and expand into premium-sport segment.

Nimish Maheshwari

Highlights Indian Auto companies based on value, growth triggers and management commentary post Q4FY25 results. Stocks categorized as BUY, SELL...

Bajaj Auto to take majority control of KTM AG, injecting €800 million to rescue the brand, secure technology, and expand into premium-sport segment.