IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

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Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/caocao-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:42803:1" rel="noopener">CaoCao (2643 HK)</a> has launched its IPO to raise US$236 million at HK$41.94 per share. The shares will be listed on 25 June.</li>
<li>I previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/caocao-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:189909" rel="noopener">CaoCao IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/caocao-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:190152" rel="noopener">CaoCao IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, I present my forecasts and discuss valuation. My analysis suggests that CaoCao is at best fairly valued at the offer price. Therefore, avoid the IPO.</li>
</ul>



CaoCao (2643 HK) has launched its IPO to raise US$236 million at HK$41.94 per share. The shares will be listed on 25 June.
I previously discussed the IPO in CaoCao IPO: The Bull Case and CaoCao IPO: The Bear Case. 
In this note, I present my forecasts and discuss valuation. My analysis suggests that CaoCao is at best fairly valued at the offer price. Therefore, avoid the IPO.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/caocao-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:42803:1" rel="noopener">CaoCao Inc (1646553D CH)</a> is the second-largest ride-hailing player in China. It has filed its PHIP to raise US$200-300 million.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/caocao-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:189909" rel="noopener">CaoCao IPO: The Bull Case</a>, I highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, I outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on low net take rates, unfavourable trends of key cost items, expected losses in the current year and a stretched balance sheet.</li>
</ul>



CaoCao Inc (1646553D CH) is the second-largest ride-hailing player in China. It has filed its PHIP to raise US$200-300 million.
In CaoCao IPO: The Bull Case, I highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, I outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on low net take rates, unfavourable trends of key cost items, expected losses in the current year and a stretched balance sheet.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/caocao-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:42803:1" rel="noopener">CaoCao Inc (1646553D CH)</a> is the second-largest ride-hailing player in China. It has filed its PHIP to raise US$200-300 million.   </li>
<li>CaoCao was incubated by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a>. Geely founder Li Shufu owns 83.9% of CaoCao.</li>
<li>The bull case rests on accelerating GTV growth, the improving fundamentals of the core business, reducing losses and shifting to cash generation. </li>
</ul>



CaoCao Inc (1646553D CH) is the second-largest ride-hailing player in China. It has filed its PHIP to raise US$200-300 million.   
CaoCao was incubated by Geely Auto (175 HK). Geely founder Li Shufu owns 83.9% of CaoCao.
The bull case rests on accelerating GTV growth, the improving fundamentals of the core business, reducing losses and shifting to cash generation. 


Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

<ul>
<li>Didi reported solid top-line growth, improving core margins (and OpCF) in Q125</li>
<li>Drivers of Q125 top-line growth were broad-based, but note F/X impact on International</li>
<li>We believe Didi should move to re-list shares while earnings &amp; conditions are supportive</li>
</ul>


Didi reported solid top-line growth, improving core margins (and OpCF) in Q125
Drivers of Q125 top-line growth were broad-based, but note F/X impact on International
We believe Didi should move to re-list shares while earnings &amp; conditions are supportive


Didi Global Q125 Results | Company Should Move to List Shares While Earnings & Conditions Favorable

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

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United States

Uber Technologies Inc provides ride hailing services. The Company develops applications for road transportation, navigation, ride sharing, and payment processing solutions. Uber Technologies serves customers worldwide.

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Uber Technologies (UBER US)

CaoCao IPO (2643 HK): Valuation Insights

In this note, I present my forecasts and discuss valuation. My analysis suggests that CaoCao is at best fairly valued at the offer price....

Arun George

CaoCao IPO: The Bear Case

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Arun George

CaoCao IPO: The Bull Case

CaoCao is the second-largest ride-hailing player in China and is seeking to raise US$200-300 million. In this note, I discuss the key elements of...

Arun George

Didi Global Q125 Results | Company Should Move to List Shares While Earnings & Conditions Favorable

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Tracking Traffic

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Caixin Global

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