External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The systemic credit growth (as of 13th December, 2024) has tapered to ~11.5% vs 15-16% in the recent past.</li><li>This is primarily driven by a significant slowdown in the unsecured loans alongside banks, mainly private banks intending to bring down their LDRs to a balanced level.</li><li>Amidst concerns around asset quality in certain segments (majorly unsecured lending), weaker-than-expected macro data and constraints around LDR (for certain banks), banks have been cautious towards chasing aggressive growth. .</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The systemic credit growth (as of 13th December, 2024) has tapered to ~11.5% vs 15-16% in the recent past.This is primarily driven by a significant slowdown in the unsecured loans alongside banks, mainly private banks intending to bring down their LDRs to a balanced level.Amidst concerns around asset quality in certain segments (majorly unsecured lending), weaker-than-expected macro data and constraints around LDR (for certain banks), banks have been cautious towards chasing aggressive growth. .Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q3FY25 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The INR4.2trn microfinance industry (MFI) has witnessed a strong 20% CAGR over FY21-24, driven by a simultaneous increase in borrower count (13% CAGR) and average exposure (6% CAGR)</li><li>We argue that the bureau-reported industry-wide borrower count for FY24 is fraught with data integrity risk and blindsides stakeholders into under-estimating customer leverage</li><li>Our analysis suggests that the pan-India micro-credit penetration stands at &gt;40% (FY12: &lt;12%), with top states such as Bihar (&gt;80%) and Tamil Nadu (&gt;50%) appearing significantly elevated</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The INR4.2trn microfinance industry (MFI) has witnessed a strong 20% CAGR over FY21-24, driven by a simultaneous increase in borrower count (13% CAGR) and average exposure (6% CAGR)We argue that the bureau-reported industry-wide borrower count for FY24 is fraught with data integrity risk and blindsides stakeholders into under-estimating customer leverageOur analysis suggests that the pan-India micro-credit penetration stands at &gt;40% (FY12: &lt;12%), with top states such as Bihar (&gt;80%) and Tamil Nadu (&gt;50%) appearing significantly elevatedContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials | Microfinance: Positioning for the Down Cycle

Leveraged Financials - Microfinance: Positioning for the Down Cycle

<ul><li>Given the rising competitive intensity for low-cost and granular deposits facing the banking system, loan-deposit ratios at historical highs, and expected rate cuts towards the back-end of FY25, we believe banks are faced with the challenge of quality deposit mobilisation, elevated funding costs (lagged deposit re-pricing) and softer incremental spreads</li><li>As banks and NBFCs navigate the growth-margin trade-off, we argue that the combination of lower growth and lower spreads is likely to keep valuations under check, especially of mid-sized, high-growth franchises</li><li>While we expect system-wide growth to decelerate by 90-100 bps from FY24 levels, we are conservative on incremental spreads across our coverage universe, pencilling in 50bps of rate cuts starting Q4FY25 (blended FY25 NIMs at 12-15bps below FY24)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Given the rising competitive intensity for low-cost and granular deposits facing the banking system, loan-deposit ratios at historical highs, and expected rate cuts towards the back-end of FY25, we believe banks are faced with the challenge of quality deposit mobilisation, elevated funding costs (lagged deposit re-pricing) and softer incremental spreadsAs banks and NBFCs navigate the growth-margin trade-off, we argue that the combination of lower growth and lower spreads is likely to keep valuations under check, especially of mid-sized, high-growth franchisesWhile we expect system-wide growth to decelerate by 90-100 bps from FY24 levels, we are conservative on incremental spreads across our coverage universe, pencilling in 50bps of rate cuts starting Q4FY25 (blended FY25 NIMs at 12-15bps below FY24)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials: The Liquidity Conundrum

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Muthoot Microfin / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muthoot-microfin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39950:1" rel="noopener">Muthoot Microfin (MUTHOOTM IN)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muthoot-microfin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39950:1" rel="noopener"> </a>raised around US$115m in its Indian IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of its IPO range at INR291/share.</li>
<li>Muthoot Microfin is a microfinance institution providing micro-loans to women customers with a focus on the rural regions of India.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Muthoot Microfin (MUTHOOTM IN) raised around US$115m in its Indian IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of its IPO range at INR291/share.
Muthoot Microfin is a microfinance institution providing micro-loans to women customers with a focus on the rural regions of India.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Muthoot Microfin Lockup Expiry - Pre-IPO Investors Well in the Money Despite the Stock’s Performance

India

Ujjivan Financial Services Ltd. provides financial services. The Company offers business, family, education, emergency, housing, and livestock loans. Ujjivan Financial Services serves customers throughout India.

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Ujjivan Financial Services (UJJIVAN IN)

Q3FY25 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)

We expect banks under our coverage to deliver ~12% YoY credit growth in Q3FY25, in-line with industry growth. We would expect the systemic growth...

Axis Direct

Leveraged Financials | Microfinance: Positioning for the Down Cycle

The INR4.2trn microfinance industry (MFI) has witnessed a strong 20% CAGR over FY21-24, driven by a simultaneous increase in borrower count (13%...

HDFC Securities

Leveraged Financials - Microfinance: Positioning for the Down Cycle

The INR4.2trn microfinance industry (MFI) has witnessed a strong 20% CAGR over FY21-24, driven by a simultaneous increase in borrower count (13%...

HDFC Securities

Leveraged Financials: The Liquidity Conundrum

Our hypothesis remains anchored around strong retail deposit franchises and declining spreads over the next 12 months, coupled with the...

HDFC Securities

Muthoot Microfin Lockup Expiry - Pre-IPO Investors Well in the Money Despite the Stock’s Performance

Muthoot Microfin (MUTHOOTM IN) raised around US$115m in its Indian IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of its IPO range at INR291/share.

Ethan Aw

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