IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monde-nissin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32188:1" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Corp (0191881D PM)</a> is a leading food manufacturer in the Philippines with flagship brands such as Lucky Me! for instant noodles and Quorn for meat alternative products. Monde Nissin ranked first in retail sales value in the Philippines with its instant noodles, biscuits, oyster sauce and yoghurt drinks in 2020, according to Nielsen.</p></div><div><p>Monde Nissin has announced its final IPO price of PHP13.50 to raise gross proceeds of $1 billion. It has previously carried out a price discovery using a maximum IPO price of PHP17.50 as guidance. Bookbuilding will commence on 11 May and the offer period runs from 24 May to 28 May. The shares will begin trading on the PSE on 7 June. </p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-ipo-initiation-instant-karma" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:49745" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin IPO Initiation: Instant Karma</a>, we opined that Monde Nissin’s financial track record shows it has been able to combine modest top-line growth with improving margins and cash generation. We concluded that Monde Nissin’s fundamentals are attractive. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is fair. </p></div></div></div>

Monde Nissin Corp (0191881D PM) is a leading food manufacturer in the Philippines with flagship brands such as Lucky Me! for instant noodles and Quorn for meat alternative products. Monde Nissin ranked first in retail sales value in the Philippines with its instant noodles, biscuits, oyster sauce and yoghurt drinks in 2020, according to Nielsen.Monde Nissin has announced its final IPO price of PHP13.50 to raise gross proceeds of $1 billion. It has previously carried out a price discovery using a maximum IPO price of PHP17.50 as guidance. Bookbuilding will commence on 11 May and the offer period runs from 24 May to 28 May. The shares will begin trading on the PSE on 7 June. In Monde Nissin IPO Initiation: Instant Karma, we opined that Monde Nissin’s financial track record shows it has been able to combine modest top-line growth with improving margins and cash generation. We concluded that Monde Nissin’s fundamentals are attractive. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is fair. 

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<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monde-nissin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32188:1" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Corp (0191881D PM)</a> is a leading food manufacturer in the Philippines with flagship brands such as Lucky Me! for instant noodles and Quorn for meat alternative products. Monde Nissin ranked first in retail sales value in the Philippines with its instant noodles, biscuits, oyster sauce and yoghurt drinks in 2020, according to Nielsen.</p>
<p>Monde Nissin has received PSE listing approval for an IPO to raise up to PHP63 billion ($1.3 billion) at the maximum IPO price of PHP17.50. The IPO price range, which is generally lower than the maximum IPO price, will be set during the book building process. The pricing date is 18 May and the offer period runs from 24 May to 28 May. </p>
</div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-ipo-initiation-instant-karma" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:49745" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin IPO Initiation: Instant Karma</a>, we opined that Monde Nissin’s financial track record shows it has been able to combine modest top-line growth with improving margins and cash generation. We concluded that Monde Nissin’s fundamentals are attractive. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Monde Nissin's potential valuation. </p></div></div></div>


Monde Nissin Corp (0191881D PM) is a leading food manufacturer in the Philippines with flagship brands such as Lucky Me! for instant noodles and Quorn for meat alternative products. Monde Nissin ranked first in retail sales value in the Philippines with its instant noodles, biscuits, oyster sauce and yoghurt drinks in 2020, according to Nielsen.
Monde Nissin has received PSE listing approval for an IPO to raise up to PHP63 billion ($1.3 billion) at the maximum IPO price of PHP17.50. The IPO price range, which is generally lower than the maximum IPO price, will be set during the book building process. The pricing date is 18 May and the offer period runs from 24 May to 28 May. 
In Monde Nissin IPO Initiation: Instant Karma, we opined that Monde Nissin’s financial track record shows it has been able to combine modest top-line growth with improving margins and cash generation. We concluded that Monde Nissin’s fundamentals are attractive. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Monde Nissin's potential valuation. 

Quality-first, Business-perspective, Long-term, Urbem (HK) Limited

Urbem Capital

Quality-first, Business-perspective, Long-term

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Fujian-based Dali Foods operates multiple brands in the categories of food and beverage;</li>
<li>Since its foundation, the company has pursued a simple "copycat" strategy combined with an emphasis on lower-tier regions;</li>
<li>Despite a persistently high return on capital, we do not see a moat that is wide enough and difficult to cross in this rapidly-evolving and fiercely-competitive consumer goods market in China.</li>
</ul>


Fujian-based Dali Foods operates multiple brands in the categories of food and beverage;
Since its foundation, the company has pursued a simple "copycat" strategy combined with an emphasis on lower-tier regions;
Despite a persistently high return on capital, we do not see a moat that is wide enough and difficult to cross in this rapidly-evolving and fiercely-competitive consumer goods market in China.


Dali Foods: Low-Price Copycat With A Persistent High-Return Character But A Too Narrow Moat

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nongfu-spring" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28955:1" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring (9633 HK)</a> is a leader in the packaged drinking water and beverage business in China. Nongfu had the leading market share in the packaged drinking water market in China for eight consecutive years from 2012 to 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Nongfu will commence trading on Tuesday, 8 September. Nongfu priced its IPO at HK$21.50 per share, at the top end of the indicative price range of $19.50-21.50 per H share. Nongfu raised net proceeds of HK$8,149 million ($1.1 billion).</p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nongfu-spring-ipo-initiation-still-or-sparkling" target="_blank" rel="noopener">our initiation note</a>, we stated that Nongfu is a play on the attractive growth of the Chinese soft beverage markets, which is underpinned by the increasing urbanisation rate, the growing health awareness and consumption upgrade. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nongfu-spring-ipo-update-points-to-green-shoots-of-recovery" target="_blank" rel="noopener">our PHIP update note</a>, we opined that the key negative remains the large pre-IPO dividends with RMB7,800 million ($1.1 billion) cash dividend declared on 14 August. Overall, we continue to believe that Nongfu remains attractive at the IPO price due to a reasonable PEG valuation.</p></div></div></div>

Nongfu Spring (9633 HK) is a leader in the packaged drinking water and beverage business in China. Nongfu had the leading market share in the packaged drinking water market in China for eight consecutive years from 2012 to 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Nongfu will commence trading on Tuesday, 8 September. Nongfu priced its IPO at HK$21.50 per share, at the top end of the indicative price range of $19.50-21.50 per H share. Nongfu raised net proceeds of HK$8,149 million ($1.1 billion).In our initiation note, we stated that Nongfu is a play on the attractive growth of the Chinese soft beverage markets, which is underpinned by the increasing urbanisation rate, the growing health awareness and consumption upgrade. In our PHIP update note, we opined that the key negative remains the large pre-IPO dividends with RMB7,800 million ($1.1 billion) cash dividend declared on 14 August. Overall, we continue to believe that Nongfu remains attractive at the IPO price due to a reasonable PEG valuation.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

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<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nongfu-spring" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28955:1" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring (NON HK)</a> raised around US$1bn in its Hong Kong listing. The company is the market leader in packaged drinking water in China.</p>
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<p>In my earlier notes, I spoke about the company, its past performance and undertook a peer comparison and valuation analysis:</p>
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<ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nongfu-spring-pre-ipo-the-positives-leaves-one-thirsty-for-more" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring Pre-IPO - The Positives - Leaves One Thirsty for More</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nongfu-spring-pre-ipo-the-negatives-doesn-t-need-to-list-or-expand-production-facilities" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Doesn’t Need to List or Expand Production Facilities</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nongfu-spring-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-superior-margins-and-growth" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Superior Margins and Growth</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nongfu-spring-pre-ipo-first-stab-at-valuation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring Pre-IPO - First Stab at Valuation</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nongfu-spring-pre-ipo-phip-updates" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nongfu-spring-pre-ipo-updates-to-valuation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring Pre-IPO - Updates to Valuation</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nongfu-spring-ipo-not-cheap-by-any-measure-but-is-a-quality-name" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring IPO - Not Cheap by Any Measure but Is a Quality Name</a></li>
</ul>
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<div>In this note, I'll look at the deal dynamics and provide a table with implied valuation at different share price levels.</div>


Nongfu Spring (NON HK) raised around US$1bn in its Hong Kong listing. The company is the market leader in packaged drinking water in China.


In my earlier notes, I spoke about the company, its past performance and undertook a peer comparison and valuation analysis:



Nongfu Spring Pre-IPO - The Positives - Leaves One Thirsty for More
Nongfu Spring Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Doesn’t Need to List or Expand Production Facilities
Nongfu Spring Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Superior Margins and Growth
Nongfu Spring Pre-IPO - First Stab at Valuation
Nongfu Spring Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates
Nongfu Spring Pre-IPO - Updates to Valuation
Nongfu Spring IPO - Not Cheap by Any Measure but Is a Quality Name


In this note, I'll look at the deal dynamics and provide a table with implied valuation at different share price levels.

Nongfu Spring IPO Trading Update - Strong Subscription Levels, in a League of Its Own

China

Uni-President China Holdings Ltd. is an investment holding company primarily engaged in the manufacturing and sale of food and beverages in the People's Republic of China. Its product portfolio includes instant noodles, tea drinks, juices, milk tea, coffee, and bottled water. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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Uni-President China (220 HK)

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Urbem Capital

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Nongfu Spring (NON HK) is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its Hong Kong listing. The company is the market leader in packaged drinking water in...

Sumeet Singh

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