India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Gold leasing rates have surged from 2-3% to 6-7%, squeezing jewellers margins. Higher funding costs and volatile gold prices are forcing industry leaders to reconsider pricing strategies.</li>
<li>Foreign companies in India paid the lowest tax on earnings in over 30 years in FY24, with the tax burden dropping significantly due to corporate tax cuts and GST reforms.</li>
<li>Despite slow growth in India, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unilever-plc-9bad7ce3-0d24-469f-831a-14bf19340303" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28467:1" rel="noopener">Unilever (UL US)</a> remains committed to its local operations, with plans to focus on expanding its beauty &amp; wellbeing segment as part of its 2030 strategy.</li>
</ul>


Gold leasing rates have surged from 2-3% to 6-7%, squeezing jewellers margins. Higher funding costs and volatile gold prices are forcing industry leaders to reconsider pricing strategies.
Foreign companies in India paid the lowest tax on earnings in over 30 years in FY24, with the tax burden dropping significantly due to corporate tax cuts and GST reforms.
Despite slow growth in India, Unilever (UL US) remains committed to its local operations, with plans to focus on expanding its beauty &amp; wellbeing segment as part of its 2030 strategy.


#105 India Insight: Gold Leasing Rates Surge, Tax Cuts Ease Foreign Firms' Burden, Unilever Expands

<ul>
<li>India is adapting to tougher US sanctions on Russian oil by rebuilding supply chains with non-sanctioned merchants, tankers, and insurance providers. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unilever-plc-9bad7ce3-0d24-469f-831a-14bf19340303" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28467:1" rel="noopener">Unilever (UL US)</a>  plans to invest in India’s beauty and wellness sector, expecting improved demand conditions mid-term after fiscal stimulus.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/british-american-tobacco-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21828:1" rel="noopener">British American Tobacco (BATS LN)</a> will divest its 15% stake in ITC Hotels at the "best moment," aiming to maximize shareholder value, following ITC Hotels demerger from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:327:1" rel="noopener">ITC Ltd (ITC IN)</a>  earlier.</li>
</ul>


India is adapting to tougher US sanctions on Russian oil by rebuilding supply chains with non-sanctioned merchants, tankers, and insurance providers. 

Unilever (UL US)  plans to invest in India’s beauty and wellness sector, expecting improved demand conditions mid-term after fiscal stimulus.

British American Tobacco (BATS LN) will divest its 15% stake in ITC Hotels at the "best moment," aiming to maximize shareholder value, following ITC Hotels demerger from ITC Ltd (ITC IN)  earlier.


#103 India Insight: India Adapts to US Sanctions, Unilever Invests in Beauty, BAT to Divest

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Singapore Telecommunications / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The latest recessionary signal we see: WTI and Brent crude oil prices violating 1.5-year supports, only adding to our prior concerns about a weakening labor market (Sahm rule, SRI triggered)</li>
<li>We also discussed last week (August 29) how we were expecting the S&amp;P 500, Japan's TOPIX, and Europe's EURO STOXX 50 to "roll over near current or marginally higher levels."</li>
<li>Ongoing belief (since July 25) is that $ACWI is going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation that could end up being a topping pattern. All have since reacted lower.</li>
</ul>


The latest recessionary signal we see: WTI and Brent crude oil prices violating 1.5-year supports, only adding to our prior concerns about a weakening labor market (Sahm rule, SRI triggered)
We also discussed last week (August 29) how we were expecting the S&amp;P 500, Japan's TOPIX, and Europe's EURO STOXX 50 to "roll over near current or marginally higher levels."
Ongoing belief (since July 25) is that $ACWI is going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation that could end up being a topping pattern. All have since reacted lower.


Crude Oil Breaking 1.5-Year Support, Failed Breakouts on $EFA $ACWX; Still Expecting More Downside

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to believe a 1-4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing. Important supports have been violated, including $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41 on MSCI EM (EEM-US).</li>
<li>We're shifting our outlook to neutral on $ACWI after being bullish since early-November 2023. Major price breakdowns combined with deteriorating market dynamics have increased the odds of a topping pattern.</li>
<li>Also downgrading Japan to market weight. 7/25/24 we said "Japan's TOPIX breaking below 2800-2815 is near-term bearish, suggests it could pull back to its long-term uptrend, or worse."</li>
</ul>


We continue to believe a 1-4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing. Important supports have been violated, including $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41 on MSCI EM (EEM-US).
We're shifting our outlook to neutral on $ACWI after being bullish since early-November 2023. Major price breakdowns combined with deteriorating market dynamics have increased the odds of a topping pattern.
Also downgrading Japan to market weight. 7/25/24 we said "Japan's TOPIX breaking below 2800-2815 is near-term bearish, suggests it could pull back to its long-term uptrend, or worse."


Downgrading Japan; Stay Defensive; Downgrading Outlook on Global Equities $ACWI to Neutral

<ul>
<li>We believe a 1-4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing, and we would look for an important low to be made near the U.S. election.</li>
<li>Supports to watch continue to be $110 on $ACWI and $41-42 on MSCI EM $EEM, and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.</li>
<li>Primary reasons for this bearish expectation include major bullish RS inflections for defensive Sectors, and bearish price action in the U.S. (SPX), Japan (TOPIX/Nikkei 225), and Europe (EURO STOXX 50)</li>
</ul>


We believe a 1-4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing, and we would look for an important low to be made near the U.S. election.
Supports to watch continue to be $110 on $ACWI and $41-42 on MSCI EM $EEM, and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.
Primary reasons for this bearish expectation include major bullish RS inflections for defensive Sectors, and bearish price action in the U.S. (SPX), Japan (TOPIX/Nikkei 225), and Europe (EURO STOXX 50)


Pullback Continues $ACWI; Stick With Defensives; More Countries With Improving Price and RS Trends

United Kingdom

Unilever is a British multinational consumer goods company that manufactures and sells a wide range of products including foods, condiments, home care, and personal care items. Its portfolio includes approximately 400 brands, with key segments in Beauty & Wellbeing, Personal Care, Home Care, and Nutrition. The company is headquartered in London, England, and was founded in 1929 through the merger of Margarine Unie and Lever Brothers.

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Unilever (UL US)

#105 India Insight: Gold Leasing Rates Surge, Tax Cuts Ease Foreign Firms' Burden, Unilever Expands

Gold leasing rates surge, squeezing jewellers' margins; foreign companies in India enjoy lowest tax burden in 30 years; Unilever remains committed...

Sudarshan Bhandari

#103 India Insight: India Adapts to US Sanctions, Unilever Invests in Beauty, BAT to Divest

India adapts to US sanctions on Russian oil by rebuilding supply chains; Unilever eyes investment in India's beauty sector; British American...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Crude Oil Breaking 1.5-Year Support, Failed Breakouts on $EFA $ACWX; Still Expecting More Downside

Crude Oil Breaking Below 1.5-Year Support, Yet Another Recessionary Signal; Bearish Failed Breakouts on $EFA $ACWX; Still Expecting More Downside;...

Vermilion Research

Downgrading Japan; Stay Defensive; Downgrading Outlook on Global Equities $ACWI to Neutral

Downgrading Japan TOPIX, Nikkei; Stay Defensive; Downgrading Outlook on Global Equities $ACWI $EEM to Neutral; Many Risk-Off Signals increase odds...

Vermilion Research

Pullback Continues $ACWI; Stick With Defensives; More Countries With Improving Price and RS Trends

Pullback Continues $ACWI; Stick With Defensives. We continue to believe a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing, and would look for an...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

#105 India Insight: Gold Leasing Rates Surge, Tax Cuts Ease Foreign Firms' Burden, Unilever Expands

​Gold leasing rates surge, squeezing jewellers' margins; foreign companies in India enjoy lowest tax burden in 30 years; Unilever remains committed...

Sudarshan Bhandari

#103 India Insight: India Adapts to US Sanctions, Unilever Invests in Beauty, BAT to Divest

​India adapts to US sanctions on Russian oil by rebuilding supply chains; Unilever eyes investment in India's beauty sector; British American...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Crude Oil Breaking 1.5-Year Support, Failed Breakouts on $EFA $ACWX; Still Expecting More Downside

Crude Oil Breaking Below 1.5-Year Support, Yet Another Recessionary Signal; Bearish Failed Breakouts on $EFA $ACWX; Still Expecting More Downside;...

Vermilion Research

Downgrading Japan; Stay Defensive; Downgrading Outlook on Global Equities $ACWI to Neutral

Downgrading Japan TOPIX, Nikkei; Stay Defensive; Downgrading Outlook on Global Equities $ACWI $EEM to Neutral; Many Risk-Off Signals increase odds...

Vermilion Research

Pullback Continues $ACWI; Stick With Defensives; More Countries With Improving Price and RS Trends

Pullback Continues $ACWI; Stick With Defensives. We continue to believe a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing, and would look for an...

Vermilion Research

Gold leasing rates surge, squeezing jewellers' margins; foreign companies in India enjoy lowest tax burden in 30 years; Unilever remains committed...

India adapts to US sanctions on Russian oil by rebuilding supply chains; Unilever eyes investment in India's beauty sector; British American...