External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Topline Securities

Topline Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Topline Securities is one of the fastest growing brokerage houses in Pakistan. It has strong equity brokerage, economic / equity research, mutual fund distribution, commodity trading and corporate finance & advisory functions. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>United Bank (UBL) announced its 4Q2024 result today, where the bank recorded highest ever quarterly earnings of Rs21.27 per share, up 93% YoY and 42% QoQ.</li><li>This takes 2024 earnings to record at all time high of Rs61.4 per share, up 36% YoY.</li><li>Earnings were significantly higher than our expectations of Rs13.9/share, owing to lower effective tax rate of 46% in 2024 vs. expected 54% and higher than expected non interest income.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

United Bank (UBL) announced its 4Q2024 result today, where the bank recorded highest ever quarterly earnings of Rs21.27 per share, up 93% YoY and 42% QoQ.This takes 2024 earnings to record at all time high of Rs61.4 per share, up 36% YoY.Earnings were significantly higher than our expectations of Rs13.9/share, owing to lower effective tax rate of 46% in 2024 vs. expected 54% and higher than expected non interest income.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

United Bank (UBL): Recorded highest ever quarterly earnings in 4Q2024

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>KSE-100 index companies posted earnings of Rs458bn in 1QFY26, up 13% YoY from Rs407bn in 1QFY25. In US dollar terms, profitability stood at US$1.6bn.</li><li>Despite a decline in interest rates, the banking sector’s earnings increased by 7% YoY to Rs164bn in 1QFY26.</li><li>The E&P sector posted a 7% YoY and 4% QoQ decline in profitability during 1QFY26 to Rs79.8bn.</li></ul>

KSE-100 index companies posted earnings of Rs458bn in 1QFY26, up 13% YoY from Rs407bn in 1QFY25. In US dollar terms, profitability stood at US$1.6bn.Despite a decline in interest rates, the banking sector’s earnings increased by 7% YoY to Rs164bn in 1QFY26.The E&P sector posted a 7% YoY and 4% QoQ decline in profitability during 1QFY26 to Rs79.8bn.

Pakistan Strategy – Corporate Profitability in 1QFY26; Earnings Rose 13% YoY, With Dividends Up 22%

<ul><li>KSE-100 index companies posted earnings of Rs445bn in 4QFY25, up 21% YoY from Rs366bn in 4QFY24.</li><li>Despite the decline in interest rates, the banking sector's earnings increased by 24% YoY to Rs160bn in 4QFY25.</li><li>The E&P sector posted a 6% YoY decline in profitability during 4QFY25 to Rs83bn.</li></ul>

KSE-100 index companies posted earnings of Rs445bn in 4QFY25, up 21% YoY from Rs366bn in 4QFY24.Despite the decline in interest rates, the banking sector's earnings increased by 24% YoY to Rs160bn in 4QFY25.The E&P sector posted a 6% YoY decline in profitability during 4QFY25 to Rs83bn.

Pakistan Strategy – Corporate Profitability In 4QFY25; Earnings Up 21%, While Dividends Grew By 7% YoY

<ul><li>Topline Banking Universe is likely to post an earnings growth of 7% YoY in 2Q2025, driven by higher Net Interest Income (NII) and Non-Interest Income.</li><li>Despite a decline in the average policy rate, NII of banks is expected to increase by 12% YoY due to volumetric growth in current accounts and higher investment yields.</li><li>United Bank (UBL) is likely to post the highest earnings growth of 148% YoY, supported by strong growth in current accounts and positive spreads.</li></ul>

Topline Banking Universe is likely to post an earnings growth of 7% YoY in 2Q2025, driven by higher Net Interest Income (NII) and Non-Interest Income.Despite a decline in the average policy rate, NII of banks is expected to increase by 12% YoY due to volumetric growth in current accounts and higher investment yields.United Bank (UBL) is likely to post the highest earnings growth of 148% YoY, supported by strong growth in current accounts and positive spreads.

Pakistan Banks - Earnings to increase 7% YoY in 2Q2025; Market Weight Stance Maintained

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>KSE-100 index companies posted earnings of Rs409bn in 3QFY25, up 2% YoY, while excluding Banks, profitability declined by 5% YoY to Rs243bn.</li><li>The banking sector's earnings increased by 14% YoY to Rs166bn, driven by an increase in both Net Interest Income and Non-Interest Income.</li><li>KSE 100 index companies announced cash dividends of Rs119bn, down 6% YoY, translating into a 29% dividend payout in 3QFY25.</li></ul>

KSE-100 index companies posted earnings of Rs409bn in 3QFY25, up 2% YoY, while excluding Banks, profitability declined by 5% YoY to Rs243bn.The banking sector's earnings increased by 14% YoY to Rs166bn, driven by an increase in both Net Interest Income and Non-Interest Income.KSE 100 index companies announced cash dividends of Rs119bn, down 6% YoY, translating into a 29% dividend payout in 3QFY25.

Pakistan Strategy – Corporate Profitability in 3QFY25; Earnings up 2%

Pakistan

United Bank Ltd. provides commercial banking and related services. The Bank offers a wide range of banking and financial services, including brokerage services.

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United Bank Ltd (UBL PA)

United Bank (UBL): Recorded highest ever quarterly earnings in 4Q2024

United Bank (UBL) announced its 4Q2024 result today, where the bank recorded highest ever quarterly earnings of Rs21.27 per share, up 93%...

Topline Securities

Pakistan Strategy – Corporate Profitability in 1QFY26; Earnings Rose 13% YoY, With Dividends Up 22%

KSE-100 index companies posted earnings of Rs458bn in 1QFY26, up 13% YoY from Rs407bn in 1QFY25. In US dollar terms, profitability stood at...

Topline Securities

Pakistan Strategy – Corporate Profitability In 4QFY25; Earnings Up 21%, While Dividends Grew By 7% YoY

KSE-100 index companies posted earnings of Rs445bn in 4QFY25, up 21% YoY from Rs366bn in 4QFY24. Despite the decline in interest rates, the...

Topline Securities

Pakistan Banks - Earnings to increase 7% YoY in 2Q2025; Market Weight Stance Maintained

Topline Banking Universe is likely to post an earnings growth of 7% YoY in 2Q2025, driven by higher Net Interest Income (NII) and Non-Interest...

Topline Securities

Pakistan Strategy – Corporate Profitability in 3QFY25; Earnings up 2%

KSE-100 index companies posted earnings of Rs409bn in 3QFY25, up 2% YoY, while excluding Banks, profitability declined by 5% YoY to Rs243bn. The...

Topline Securities

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