Investment Management, 8VantEdge

8VantEdge

Investment Management

8VantEdge offers a hybrid fundamental stock picking combined with algorithmic rules based on human psychology.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Singapore's core city belt has evolved into a single continuous live-work-play corridor, functioning as one integrated asset base rather than a set of separately planned districts.</li><li>Three converging forces are driving this transition: (1) constrained Grade A office supply in Marina Bay and the wider CBD; (2) improving transport and pedestrian connections across Marina Bay, Marina Centre, Beach Road and Bugis; and (3) the continued development of Bugis as a mixed-use arts, cultural and educational district.</li><li>Together, these trends support viewing the corridor as a single investment ecosystem, where the value of individual assets is increasingly influenced by the strength of the surrounding precinct.</li></ul>

Singapore's core city belt has evolved into a single continuous live-work-play corridor, functioning as one integrated asset base rather than a set of separately planned districts.Three converging forces are driving this transition: (1) constrained Grade A office supply in Marina Bay and the wider CBD; (2) improving transport and pedestrian connections across Marina Bay, Marina Centre, Beach Road and Bugis; and (3) the continued development of Bugis as a mixed-use arts, cultural and educational district.Together, these trends support viewing the corridor as a single investment ecosystem, where the value of individual assets is increasingly influenced by the strength of the surrounding precinct.

Marina Bay & Bugis Reimagined: Unlocking Value Across Singapore’s Core City Belt

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lendlease-global-commercial-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28292" rel="noopener">Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT SP)</a> 2H22 DPU +4.9% YoY; Rising cost of debt a concern despite solid operating metrics</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chip-eng-seng-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6441" rel="noopener">Chip Eng Seng Corp (CHIP SP)</a> Chip Eng Seng  (CHIP SP) 1H22 net profit rose significantly on higher construction and hospitality performance</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-land-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12891" rel="noopener">Singapore Land Group (SPLG SP)</a> 1H22 adjusted net profit +35% YoY; Boosted by hotel operations</li>
</ul>



Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT SP) 2H22 DPU +4.9% YoY; Rising cost of debt a concern despite solid operating metrics

Chip Eng Seng Corp (CHIP SP) Chip Eng Seng  (CHIP SP) 1H22 net profit rose significantly on higher construction and hospitality performance

Singapore Land Group (SPLG SP) 1H22 adjusted net profit +35% YoY; Boosted by hotel operations


ASEAN Builder's Scoop (8Aug22) - LREIT Rising Cost of Debt

<ul><li>SingHaiyi Group (SHG) places S$1.28bn top bid for Dunman site; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uol-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:142" rel="noopener">UOL Group (UOL SP)</a> - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-land-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12891" rel="noopener">Singapore Land Group (SPLG SP)</a>  won Pine Grove (A) site</li><li>Chinese national buys 20 units at CanningHill Piers for ~S$85m; 92% total units are now snapped</li><li>Warehouses occupancy and rents likely to rise in tandem with oil prices</li></ul>

SingHaiyi Group (SHG) places S$1.28bn top bid for Dunman site; UOL Group (UOL SP) - Singapore Land Group (SPLG SP)  won Pine Grove (A) siteChinese national buys 20 units at CanningHill Piers for ~S$85m; 92% total units are now snappedWarehouses occupancy and rents likely to rise in tandem with oil prices

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (3Jun22) - SHG Won Dunman Site

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/238/244/original/image_50824297521635443513931.png?1635443517" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="238244"></figure><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a> 1H22 DPU +5.3% YoY; Reversions turning positive, VivoCity on track for a recovery play</h3><ul><li>1H22 revenue and NPI increased by 11.5% and 10.7% YoY, respectively, to S$243.7m (47.9% of BB est.) and S$189.9m (51.4% of BB est.), mainly due to lower rental rebates as well as compensation received from a pre-terminated lease at mTower.</li></ul>

SingaporeSREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP) 1H22 DPU +5.3% YoY; Reversions turning positive, VivoCity on track for a recovery play1H22 revenue and NPI increased by 11.5% and 10.7% YoY, respectively, to S$243.7m (47.9% of BB est.) and S$189.9m (51.4% of BB est.), mainly due to lower rental rebates as well as compensation received from a pre-terminated lease at mTower.

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3>
<table class="table table-striped">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
 
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
ECWREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
DASIN
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
LREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
IREIT (€)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 15.3pt;">
Period
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
2Q21
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
2H21
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
1H21
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 15.35pt;">
Gross Revenue (S$m)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.35pt;">
31.2 (10.6% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.35pt;">
51.3 (38.5% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.35pt;">
37 (+8.5%YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.35pt;">
23.6 (+31.6% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
NPI (S$m)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
27.9 (8.1% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
38.2 (26.3% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
26.5 (+10% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
19.3 (+23.4% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
DPU (S$ c)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
1.532 (10.5% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
2.98 (55.2% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
2.34 (+32.8% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
1.43 (+14.4% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
NAV per Unit (S$)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.93
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
1.46
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.79
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.5
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
P/B (x)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.88
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.34
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
1.08
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.81
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Occupancy (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
99.1
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
95.7
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
99.8 (Overall portfolio)
99.2 (313@Somerset)
100 (Sky Complex)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
95.9 (Overall)
99.8 (Germany)
85.2 (Spanish)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 7.4pt;">
Reversion (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 7.4pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 7.4pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 7.4pt;">
NA
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 7.4pt;">
NA
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Gearing (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
37.6
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
36.7
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
32
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
33.3
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Cost of Debt (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
4.2
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.88
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
1.8
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
7.36
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
9.59
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
5.78
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
6.67
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Debt Hedged (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
100% of offshore facilities
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Not Disclosed
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
NA
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Target Price
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
NA
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
NA
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 15.3pt;">
Rating
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
NA
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
NA
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Singapore
SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)




 


ECWREIT


DASIN


LREIT


IREIT (€)




Period


2Q21


1H21


2H21


1H21




Gross Revenue (S$m)


31.2 (10.6% YoY)


51.3 (38.5% YoY)


37 (+8.5%YoY)


23.6 (+31.6% YoY)




NPI (S$m)


27.9 (8.1% YoY)


38.2 (26.3% YoY)


26.5 (+10% YoY)


19.3 (+23.4% YoY)




DPU (S$ c)


1.532 (10.5% YoY)


2.98 (55.2% YoY)


2.34 (+32.8% YoY)


1.43 (+14.4% YoY)




NAV per Unit (S$)


0.93


1.46


0.79


0.5




P/B (x)


0.88


0.34


1.08


0.81




Occupancy (%)


99.1


95.7


99.8 (Overall portfolio)
99.2 (313@Somerset)
100 (Sky Complex)


95.9 (Overall)
99.8 (Germany)
85.2 (Spanish)




Reversion (%)


N/A


N/A


NA


NA




Gearing (%)


37.6


36.7


32


33.3




Cost of Debt (%)


4.2


N/A


0.88


1.8




1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)


7.36


9.59


5.78


6.67




Debt Hedged (%)


100% of offshore facilities


N/A


Not Disclosed


NA




Target Price


Under Review


Under Review


NA


NA




Rating


Under Review


Under Review


NA


NA





ASEAN Builder's Scoop (10Aug21) - ECWREIT Steady as She Goes

Singapore

Singapore Land Group Limited is a premier real estate company with a diversified portfolio encompassing commercial offices, retail properties, residential developments, and hotels. The company engages in property development, investment, hotel operations, and technology services. Headquartered in Singapore, it was incorporated in 1963.

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Singapore Land (SPLG SP)

Marina Bay & Bugis Reimagined: Unlocking Value Across Singapore’s Core City Belt

Singapore's core city belt has evolved into a single continuous live-work-play corridor, functioning as one integrated asset base rather than a set...

8VantEdge

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (8Aug22) - LREIT Rising Cost of Debt

SMPH reopening play buoyed 2Q22 earnings; ALI lowers capex and launches; MREIT to acquire PHP20bn office in FY22E. SPLG SP 1H22 adjusted net profit...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (3Jun22) - SHG Won Dunman Site

UOL-SPLG Won Pine Grove (A) Site; CanningHill Piers 92% sold; Warehouse rents rising in tandem with oil; MICE full recovery by 2025; RLC, VLL bond...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Oct21)

MCT reversions turning positive; AIT declining occupancies; KORE robust double-digit reversions; UOL/SPLG JV won Watten Estate en-bloc; Phils...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (10Aug21) - ECWREIT Steady as She Goes

ECWREIT steady as she goes; DASIN boosted by acquisitions; LREIT robust occupancy levels; IREIT dual-currency trading; FPL well-positioned for...

SCCM Asia Research

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