Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Semiconductors (SMH,SOXX,NVDA,AVGO) have been leadership since late-2022, but they're extended and starting to see profit taking as market participants rotate into other laggard areas of the market (especially Energy).</li>
<li>The question is whether this new trend lasts a few days, or if this is the start of longer-term trend.</li>
<li>If there will be any lasting rotation away from Technology/semiconductors, SPX and QQQ would need to break strong short-term supports at 5370-5380 and $468-469, respectively. Until then, Tech/semis remain leadership</li>
</ul>


Semiconductors (SMH,SOXX,NVDA,AVGO) have been leadership since late-2022, but they're extended and starting to see profit taking as market participants rotate into other laggard areas of the market (especially Energy).
The question is whether this new trend lasts a few days, or if this is the start of longer-term trend.
If there will be any lasting rotation away from Technology/semiconductors, SPX and QQQ would need to break strong short-term supports at 5370-5380 and $468-469, respectively. Until then, Tech/semis remain leadership


Rotation Is the Lifeblood of a Bull Market; Still Bullish; Supports at SPX 5370-5380, QQQ $468-469

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>United Therapeutics Corporation has documented robust financial results for the first quarter of 2024, demonstrating strong growth and development across its product lines and research endeavors.</li><li>A comprehensive strategy that balances growth with forward-thinking capital allocation and dedication to product development underpins this performance.</li><li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li></ul>

United Therapeutics Corporation has documented robust financial results for the first quarter of 2024, demonstrating strong growth and development across its product lines and research endeavors.A comprehensive strategy that balances growth with forward-thinking capital allocation and dedication to product development underpins this performance.Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

United Therapeutics Corporation: Xenotransplantation Initiatives; Expansion into Pulmonary Hypertension Treatment & Other Major Drivers

<ul><li>This is our first report on biotech major, United Therapeutics Corporation (UTC).</li><li>The company posted solid financial results for the fourth quarter of 2023, marking the third consecutive quarter of record revenue, and the second consecutive year of record income.</li><li>The company achieved over 20% growth in both quarterly and annual revenue for the fourth quarter and the full year.</li></ul>

This is our first report on biotech major, United Therapeutics Corporation (UTC).The company posted solid financial results for the fourth quarter of 2023, marking the third consecutive quarter of record revenue, and the second consecutive year of record income.The company achieved over 20% growth in both quarterly and annual revenue for the fourth quarter and the full year.

United Therapeutics Corporation: Initiation Of Coverage - 6 Biggest Factors Driving Its Future Growth! - Financial Forecasts

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a> started FY24 on a strong note, with Q1FY24 revenue and net profit growing 29% and 18%, YoY, respectively, driven by North America generics business.</li>
<li>Revenue from North America generics increased 79% y/y and 26% q/q to INR32 billion, driven by new product launches, continued momentum in existing products, and favorable forex rates movement.</li>
<li>During Q1FY24, the company has launched six new products in the U.S. With a rich ANDA pipeline of 85 ANDAs, launch momentum is expected to accelerate in the current fiscal.</li>
</ul>



Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) started FY24 on a strong note, with Q1FY24 revenue and net profit growing 29% and 18%, YoY, respectively, driven by North America generics business.
Revenue from North America generics increased 79% y/y and 26% q/q to INR32 billion, driven by new product launches, continued momentum in existing products, and favorable forex rates movement.
During Q1FY24, the company has launched six new products in the U.S. With a rich ANDA pipeline of 85 ANDAs, launch momentum is expected to accelerate in the current fiscal.


Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Q1FY24 Result- US Business Shines; PAT Jumps 18%

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mannkind-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3629:1" rel="noopener">Mannkind Corp (MNKD US)</a> has multiple revenue stream, with two marketed products. Flagship drug Afrezza, an inhaled insulin recorded 11% YoY revenue growth to $10.8M in Q3.</li>
<li>Due to high R&amp;D and SG&amp;A expenses, Mannkind records operating loss. However, gross profit margin is improving, with Afrezza gross margin improving to 81% in 3Q22 from 61% in 3Q21.</li>
<li>Mannkind’s inhaled clofazimine (MNKD 101) is advancing to Phase 2/3 study for potential treatment of nontuberculous mycobacterial (NTM) lung disease. ~86K people in US are living with NTM lung disease.</li>
</ul>



Mannkind Corp (MNKD US) has multiple revenue stream, with two marketed products. Flagship drug Afrezza, an inhaled insulin recorded 11% YoY revenue growth to $10.8M in Q3.
Due to high R&amp;D and SG&amp;A expenses, Mannkind records operating loss. However, gross profit margin is improving, with Afrezza gross margin improving to 81% in 3Q22 from 61% in 3Q21.
Mannkind’s inhaled clofazimine (MNKD 101) is advancing to Phase 2/3 study for potential treatment of nontuberculous mycobacterial (NTM) lung disease. ~86K people in US are living with NTM lung disease.


Mannkind Corp (MNKD US): Stable Revenue Stream; High Hope for MNKD 101 for Rare Lung Disease

United States

United Therapeutics Corporation develops pharmaceuticals to treat vascular diseases such as pulmonary hypertension and peripheral vascular disease.  The Company's lead products are stable synthetic forms of prostacyclin and are delivered orally or subcutaneously.

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United Therapeutics (UTHR US)

Rotation Is the Lifeblood of a Bull Market; Still Bullish; Supports at SPX 5370-5380, QQQ $468-469

Rotation is the Lifeblood of a Bull Market; Bullish Outlook Intact; Expecting Short-term Support at $SPX 5370-5380 and $QQQ $468-469 (20-day MAs...

Vermilion Research

United Therapeutics Corporation: Xenotransplantation Initiatives; Expansion into Pulmonary Hypertension Treatment & Other Major Drivers

United Therapeutics Corporation has documented robust financial results for the first quarter of 2024, demonstrating strong growth and development...

Baptista Research

United Therapeutics Corporation: Initiation Of Coverage - 6 Biggest Factors Driving Its Future Growth! - Financial Forecasts

This is our first report on biotech major, United Therapeutics Corporation (UTC). The company posted solid financial results for the fourth...

Baptista Research

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Q1FY24 Result- US Business Shines; PAT Jumps 18%

North America sales grew 79% y/y and 26% q/q to INR32 billion, driven by new product launches, continued momentum in existing products, favorable...

Tina Banerjee

Mannkind Corp (MNKD US): Stable Revenue Stream; High Hope for MNKD 101 for Rare Lung Disease

Mannkind’s flagship inhaled insulin Afrezza reports double-digit revenue growth, with expanding gross profit margin. Drug candidate MNKD 101 is...

Tina Banerjee

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