Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>Private home prices climb 0.9% QoQ in 3Q21; Rising for 6th straight quarter</h3><p>Private home prices rose 0.9% QoQ and 7.3% YoY in 3Q21, marking an increase for the sixth consecutive quarter, according to URA. The price increase in 3Q21 was largely driven by non-landed homes in the Rest of Central Region (RCR), which rose by 2.2% QoQ. In the Core Central Region (CCR), prices fell 0.6%, while prices in the Outside Central Region (OCR) fell by 0.2%. Meanwhile, prices for landed properties rose 2.5% QoQ, compared to a 0.3% decline in the preceding quarter. It is expected that resale homes will continue seeing strong demand. For the full year, CBRE Research expects private home prices to rise by 6–8%, given the current market trajectory.</p>

SingaporePrivate home prices climb 0.9% QoQ in 3Q21; Rising for 6th straight quarterPrivate home prices rose 0.9% QoQ and 7.3% YoY in 3Q21, marking an increase for the sixth consecutive quarter, according to URA. The price increase in 3Q21 was largely driven by non-landed homes in the Rest of Central Region (RCR), which rose by 2.2% QoQ. In the Core Central Region (CCR), prices fell 0.6%, while prices in the Outside Central Region (OCR) fell by 0.2%. Meanwhile, prices for landed properties rose 2.5% QoQ, compared to a 0.3% decline in the preceding quarter. It is expected that resale homes will continue seeing strong demand. For the full year, CBRE Research expects private home prices to rise by 6–8%, given the current market trajectory.

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>New private home sales fell 24% MoM in Aug21; Take-up rate remains above 100% the past 3 months</h3><ul><li>Sales of new private homes fell last month after hitting a six-month high in Jul. Developers sold 1,215 units in Aug, down 24% MoM from 1,591 units in Jul21. On a YoY basis, sales were down 3.5% from 1,258 in Aug20. Including ECs sold, developers moved 1,322 new homes last month, 24.3% lower MoM than in Jul21 and 1% higher YoY from Aug20</li><li>Developers launched 836 units in Aug21, down 24.3% MoM from 1,104 units in Jul21, and plunging 47.2% YoY lower from 1,582 units in Aug20. There were no new ECs launched in Aug21. Aug21 take-up rate stood at 145% (from 144% in Jul21 and 107% in Jun20). The Watergardens at Canberra was the top seller last month, moving 267 units, or nearly 60% of its 487 units</li><li>Sales in Aug21 were driven by The Watergardens at Canberra, which sold 267 units, and Normanton Park, which sold 131 units. Excluding EC, sales volume in Aug21 was highest in OCR followed by RCR and CCR, respectively – 720 units (59.3%), 343 (28.2%) and 152 (12.5%), respectively.</li></ul>

SingaporeNew private home sales fell 24% MoM in Aug21; Take-up rate remains above 100% the past 3 monthsSales of new private homes fell last month after hitting a six-month high in Jul. Developers sold 1,215 units in Aug, down 24% MoM from 1,591 units in Jul21. On a YoY basis, sales were down 3.5% from 1,258 in Aug20. Including ECs sold, developers moved 1,322 new homes last month, 24.3% lower MoM than in Jul21 and 1% higher YoY from Aug20Developers launched 836 units in Aug21, down 24.3% MoM from 1,104 units in Jul21, and plunging 47.2% YoY lower from 1,582 units in Aug20. There were no new ECs launched in Aug21. Aug21 take-up rate stood at 145% (from 144% in Jul21 and 107% in Jun20). The Watergardens at Canberra was the top seller last month, moving 267 units, or nearly 60% of its 487 unitsSales in Aug21 were driven by The Watergardens at Canberra, which sold 267 units, and Normanton Park, which sold 131 units. Excluding EC, sales volume in Aug21 was highest in OCR followed by RCR and CCR, respectively – 720 units (59.3%), 343 (28.2%) and 152 (12.5%), respectively.

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55" rel="noopener">Capitaland (CAPL SP)</a> 1H21 PATMI +846% YoY; Solid divestments and investments YTD, fund management and residential the bright spot</h3><ul><li>1H21 revenue increased by 34.7% YoY to S$2,730m, mainly driven by development projects as more units were handed over in China and higher progressive revenue recognition from One Pearl Bank in Singapore, partially offset by lower handover of units in Vietnam. The increase was also attributed to lower rental rebates granted to tenants in Singapore and China, higher transactional fee from the listed REITs and unlisted funds, as well as contribution from the newly acquired business park properties in China and an office building in Singapore, 79 Robinson Road, which commenced operation 2H20</li><li>1H21 PATMI increased by 845.5% YoY and came in at S$922.2m, while operating PATMI increased by 66% YoY to S$433.6m. CAPL booked portfolio/FV gains of S$489m and no FV losses/impairments in 1H21. As at 30Jun21, net D/E ratio was at 0.64x and total cash and available undrawn facilities amounted to ~S$14.8bn. CAPL made total S$3.6bn investments (&gt;S$3bn in new economy) and S$11.2bn gross divestments (effective value of S$3.3bn) YTD (vs annual recycling target of S$3bn)</li><li>Residential – In SG, CAPL sold 197 units with sales value of S$330m (close to 6x of 1H20). ~92% of launched units have been sold. CanningHill Piers is targeted to be launched in 2H21. In China, CAPL sold 2,625 units in 1H21 (+48.4% YoY), which translated to sales value of RMB8,007m (+43% YoY). In terms of handovers from 3Q21 onwards, CAPL is expected to recognise ~RMB14.1bn from a total of ~6,700 units sold. In Vietnam, CAPL Achieved 80% of 1H21 handover plan of 177 units. Handover pipeline comprising 554 units with a value of S$193m expected to be handed over from 3Q21 onwards. ~87% of launched units have been sold as of 1H21. Two projects are targeted to be launched in 2H21</li><li>Retail and Commercial – CN registered increase in shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales YoY in 2Q21, but SG’s recovery is interrupted by new restrictions  in 2Q21. SG’s shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales recorded low improvement in 2Q21. Retail occupancy in CN, SG, MY stood at 91.9%, 97.1% and 86% in 2Q21 (vs 90.7%, 97.2% and 87.6% in 1Q21 and 89%, 97.8% and 88.2% in 4Q20), respectively. Office occupancy in SG, Japan, South Korea and Germany stood at 90.4%, 93.9%, 96.8% and 95.5%, respectively</li><li>Lodging – &gt;3,000 units turned operational YTD 2021, bringing total operational units to 71,901 for 7M21 and &gt;8,300 new units secured via management contracts YTD 2021. There was an increase in overall 2Q21 RevPAU by 53% YoY and 19% QoQ from S$43 to S$66, led by Europe (+44% QoQ), China (+22%), Gulf Region (+19%), Singapore (+9%), SEA (+6%) and North Asia (+4%). CAPL is on track to meet 2023 target of 160K units under management with currently c.129K units under management</li><li>1H21 fund management fee income came in at S$188.7m, a 29% YoY increase and 18% HoH. 1H21 fund AUM rose 6.9% YoY to S$83bn, on track to meet 2024 AUM target of S$100bn. CAPL set up 3 new private funds totalling US$800m in Korea, India, Hong Kong and China</li><li>CAPL is currently trading at 19.7x FY21E P/E and 0.92x P/B.</li></ul>

SingaporeCapitaland (CAPL SP) 1H21 PATMI +846% YoY; Solid divestments and investments YTD, fund management and residential the bright spot1H21 revenue increased by 34.7% YoY to S$2,730m, mainly driven by development projects as more units were handed over in China and higher progressive revenue recognition from One Pearl Bank in Singapore, partially offset by lower handover of units in Vietnam. The increase was also attributed to lower rental rebates granted to tenants in Singapore and China, higher transactional fee from the listed REITs and unlisted funds, as well as contribution from the newly acquired business park properties in China and an office building in Singapore, 79 Robinson Road, which commenced operation 2H201H21 PATMI increased by 845.5% YoY and came in at S$922.2m, while operating PATMI increased by 66% YoY to S$433.6m. CAPL booked portfolio/FV gains of S$489m and no FV losses/impairments in 1H21. As at 30Jun21, net D/E ratio was at 0.64x and total cash and available undrawn facilities amounted to ~S$14.8bn. CAPL made total S$3.6bn investments (&gt;S$3bn in new economy) and S$11.2bn gross divestments (effective value of S$3.3bn) YTD (vs annual recycling target of S$3bn)Residential – In SG, CAPL sold 197 units with sales value of S$330m (close to 6x of 1H20). ~92% of launched units have been sold. CanningHill Piers is targeted to be launched in 2H21. In China, CAPL sold 2,625 units in 1H21 (+48.4% YoY), which translated to sales value of RMB8,007m (+43% YoY). In terms of handovers from 3Q21 onwards, CAPL is expected to recognise ~RMB14.1bn from a total of ~6,700 units sold. In Vietnam, CAPL Achieved 80% of 1H21 handover plan of 177 units. Handover pipeline comprising 554 units with a value of S$193m expected to be handed over from 3Q21 onwards. ~87% of launched units have been sold as of 1H21. Two projects are targeted to be launched in 2H21Retail and Commercial – CN registered increase in shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales YoY in 2Q21, but SG’s recovery is interrupted by new restrictions  in 2Q21. SG’s shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales recorded low improvement in 2Q21. Retail occupancy in CN, SG, MY stood at 91.9%, 97.1% and 86% in 2Q21 (vs 90.7%, 97.2% and 87.6% in 1Q21 and 89%, 97.8% and 88.2% in 4Q20), respectively. Office occupancy in SG, Japan, South Korea and Germany stood at 90.4%, 93.9%, 96.8% and 95.5%, respectivelyLodging – &gt;3,000 units turned operational YTD 2021, bringing total operational units to 71,901 for 7M21 and &gt;8,300 new units secured via management contracts YTD 2021. There was an increase in overall 2Q21 RevPAU by 53% YoY and 19% QoQ from S$43 to S$66, led by Europe (+44% QoQ), China (+22%), Gulf Region (+19%), Singapore (+9%), SEA (+6%) and North Asia (+4%). CAPL is on track to meet 2023 target of 160K units under management with currently c.129K units under management1H21 fund management fee income came in at S$188.7m, a 29% YoY increase and 18% HoH. 1H21 fund AUM rose 6.9% YoY to S$83bn, on track to meet 2024 AUM target of S$100bn. CAPL set up 3 new private funds totalling US$800m in Korea, India, Hong Kong and ChinaCAPL is currently trading at 19.7x FY21E P/E and 0.92x P/B.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (13Aug21) - CAPL Residential and FM Bright Spots

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>New private home sales dip 2.6% MoM in Jun21; Take-up rate still holding up well above 100%</h3><ul><li>Sales of new private homes eased last month though demand is still holding up well. Developers sold 872 units in Jun, down 2.6% MoM from 895 units in May21. On a YoY basis, sales were down 12.6% from Jun20. Including ECs sold, developers moved 962 new homes last month, 22% lower MoM than in May21, and down 6.7% YoY</li><li>Developers launched 815 units in Jun21, up 58.6% MoM from 514 units in May21, and up 36.5% YoY from 597 units in Jun20. There were no new ECs launched in Jun21. Jun21 take-up rate stood at 107% (from 173% in May21 and 167% in Jun20). Hyll on Holland was the top seller last month, moving 87 units, or 27% of its 319 units, after cutting prices to a median price of S$2,387psf, from its launch price from S$2,800psf in Oct20</li><li>Sales in Jun21 were driven by Hyll on Holland, followed by Treasure at Tampines, which sold 80 units, Normanton Park, which sold 62 units and The Florence Residences, which sold 47 units. Excluding EC, sales volume in Jun21 was highest in OCR followed by RCR and CCR, respectively. The sales volume was 337 (38.7%), 329 (37.7%) and 206 (23.6%), respectively</li><li>The proportion of sale transactions from 15Jun-30Jun21, when viewing restrictions were eased, stands at 59.8%, compared with 40.2 % from 1Jun- 14Jun21. More than 40% of sales last month were priced below S$1.5m, 31% were between S$1.5- 2m, and 27% were above S$2m. The average price paid for a unit last month was S$1.82m. Despite lower sales in May21 and Jun21, the tally for the 1H21 was an estimated 6,528 new private homes sold, about 67% higher YoY.</li></ul><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/218/826/original/image015.png?1626400012" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="218826"></figure><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/218/828/original/image016.png?1626400034" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="218828"></figure></section>

SingaporeNew private home sales dip 2.6% MoM in Jun21; Take-up rate still holding up well above 100%Sales of new private homes eased last month though demand is still holding up well. Developers sold 872 units in Jun, down 2.6% MoM from 895 units in May21. On a YoY basis, sales were down 12.6% from Jun20. Including ECs sold, developers moved 962 new homes last month, 22% lower MoM than in May21, and down 6.7% YoYDevelopers launched 815 units in Jun21, up 58.6% MoM from 514 units in May21, and up 36.5% YoY from 597 units in Jun20. There were no new ECs launched in Jun21. Jun21 take-up rate stood at 107% (from 173% in May21 and 167% in Jun20). Hyll on Holland was the top seller last month, moving 87 units, or 27% of its 319 units, after cutting prices to a median price of S$2,387psf, from its launch price from S$2,800psf in Oct20Sales in Jun21 were driven by Hyll on Holland, followed by Treasure at Tampines, which sold 80 units, Normanton Park, which sold 62 units and The Florence Residences, which sold 47 units. Excluding EC, sales volume in Jun21 was highest in OCR followed by RCR and CCR, respectively. The sales volume was 337 (38.7%), 329 (37.7%) and 206 (23.6%), respectivelyThe proportion of sale transactions from 15Jun-30Jun21, when viewing restrictions were eased, stands at 59.8%, compared with 40.2 % from 1Jun- 14Jun21. More than 40% of sales last month were priced below S$1.5m, 31% were between S$1.5- 2m, and 27% were above S$2m. The average price paid for a unit last month was S$1.82m. Despite lower sales in May21 and Jun21, the tally for the 1H21 was an estimated 6,528 new private homes sold, about 67% higher YoY.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (16Jul21) - SG Jun21 New Home Sales -2.6% MoM

Partner, River Valley Asset Management

River Valley Asset Management

Partner

Singapore-based boutique asset management firm

River Valley Asset Management is a Singapore-based boutique asset management firm. Our team at RVAM strongly believes in being a trusted steward of our clients' wealth across generations.

Each of our fund managers has years of rich portfolio management experience over multiple market cycles at world-class investment houses. We bring our clients the combined strength of our investment team to manage their financial portfolios and to provide bespoke guidance on all aspects of their financial health.

We offer multi-asset class expert investment advice to accredited investors who are family offices, high net worth individuals and institutional investors to preserve and grow our clients' wealth.

The fund management team of the company includes Homiyar Vasania, Anand Ramachandran and Jamshed Desai.

<p><span lang="EN-SG">As a mature economy with stable businesses, Singapore's equity benchmarks are dominated by Banks &amp; Government Linked Companies (GLC's) which have grown large over time. The large listed companies in Singapore (private as well as GLC’s) are now facing headwinds from tight labour markets resulting in rising costs and, in the absence of growth, the need to focus on raising productivity. <br></span><br><span lang="EN-SG"><span lang="EN-SG">It is therefore not surprising that the Singapore markets do not excite the average investor. However, within this space we have been finding many hidden gems which have consistently delivered and increasingly fit the needs of a Singaporean investor looking for stable returns in a low growth environment: the REIT marketplace. Over the last seven years the REIT index has delivered over 10% p.a. annualized return which stands in stark contrast to the meagre 4% returns from benchmark STI index.</span></span></p>

As a mature economy with stable businesses, Singapore's equity benchmarks are dominated by Banks &amp; Government Linked Companies (GLC's) which have grown large over time. The large listed companies in Singapore (private as well as GLC’s) are now facing headwinds from tight labour markets resulting in rising costs and, in the absence of growth, the need to focus on raising productivity.   It is therefore not surprising that the Singapore markets do not excite the average investor. However, within this space we have been finding many hidden gems which have consistently delivered and increasingly fit the needs of a Singaporean investor looking for stable returns in a low growth environment: the REIT marketplace. Over the last seven years the REIT index has delivered over 10% p.a. annualized return which stands in stark contrast to the meagre 4% returns from benchmark STI index.

Singapore

UOL Group is a leading Singapore-listed property and hospitality company with a diversified portfolio of development and investment properties, hotels, and serviced suites. The company develops residential units, commercial offices, shopping malls, and operates hotels under brands like Pan Pacific and PARKROYAL. UOL Group Limited was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Singapore.

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UOL Group (UOL SP)

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