External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>ONGC: We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 286, given: (1) limited upside potential for ONGC’s crude price realisation in the current environment with a levy of windfall tax, (2) gas price realisation too unlikely to change significantly, as APM gas price is frozen until March 2025 and 95% of ONGC’s gas sales fall under APM and (3) slower ramp-up in oil &amp; gas production</li><li>In Q1FY25, reported EBITDA stood at INR 186bn (-4% YoY, +7% QoQ), coming in above our estimate owing to lower-than-expected statutory levies</li><li>PAT at INR 89bn (-11% YoY, -9% QoQ) was below our estimate, mainly driven by higher-than-expected depreciation and depletion costs</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ONGC: We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 286, given: (1) limited upside potential for ONGC’s crude price realisation in the current environment with a levy of windfall tax, (2) gas price realisation too unlikely to change significantly, as APM gas price is frozen until March 2025 and 95% of ONGC’s gas sales fall under APM and (3) slower ramp-up in oil &amp; gas productionIn Q1FY25, reported EBITDA stood at INR 186bn (-4% YoY, +7% QoQ), coming in above our estimate owing to lower-than-expected statutory leviesPAT at INR 89bn (-11% YoY, -9% QoQ) was below our estimate, mainly driven by higher-than-expected depreciation and depletion costsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, TVS Motor, NCC, Bajaj Electricals, Symphony

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Strong Performance: Revenue grew by 16% YoY, driven by strong same-store sales growth (SSSG) of 11% YoY and a 36% YoY increase in footfall.</li><li>EBITDA margins stood at 9.5%, up 486 bps, attributed to a 60% YoY reduction in Lime Road losses, lower discounts, cost efficiency measures, and a decrease in marketing expenses.</li><li>Management remains optimistic about demand revival as it continues to witness increased footfalls.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Strong Performance: Revenue grew by 16% YoY, driven by strong same-store sales growth (SSSG) of 11% YoY and a 36% YoY increase in footfall.EBITDA margins stood at 9.5%, up 486 bps, attributed to a 60% YoY reduction in Lime Road losses, lower discounts, cost efficiency measures, and a decrease in marketing expenses.Management remains optimistic about demand revival as it continues to witness increased footfalls.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

V-Mart Retail Ltd - Strong Operating Performance; Maintain BUY

<ul><li>Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~11% YoY in Q1FY25</li><li>However, a few exceptional names drive up the average</li><li>In retail, ex-F&amp;G and value fashion, growth pencilled in is an anaemic 6% as footfalls/demand gets impacted due to (1) the heatwave and (2) fewer wedding days</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~11% YoY in Q1FY25However, a few exceptional names drive up the averageIn retail, ex-F&amp;G and value fashion, growth pencilled in is an anaemic 6% as footfalls/demand gets impacted due to (1) the heatwave and (2) fewer wedding daysContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary: Muted Demand, Value Plays Remain Outliers

<ul><li>The Finance Minister of India will present the full-year Union Budget for FY24-25 on 23rd July’24.</li><li>The impact of the Union Budget on the equity market has reduced notably over the past few years with the government undertaking most of the reforms outside the purview of the Budget.</li><li>As it is the first full-year budget after the formation of the NDA 3.0 government, market participants continue to view it as a critical catalyst stimulating the Indian economy’s growth and thereby the Indian market.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Finance Minister of India will present the full-year Union Budget for FY24-25 on 23rd July’24.The impact of the Union Budget on the equity market has reduced notably over the past few years with the government undertaking most of the reforms outside the purview of the Budget.As it is the first full-year budget after the formation of the NDA 3.0 government, market participants continue to view it as a critical catalyst stimulating the Indian economy’s growth and thereby the Indian market.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pre Union Budget Expectations 2024-25: Budget Likely to Strengthen the Narrative of “Viksit Bharat”

<ul><li>Shree Cement: We maintain our ADD rating on Shree Cement, with an unchanged SOTP target price of INR 28,700/share</li><li>Cement volume growth slowed to 8% YoY as it lost four days of sales due to software migration to SAP</li><li>Reported unit EBITDA (cement) remained flattish QoQ at INR 1346/MT as lower input costs and lower advertising expenses offset the impact of a 6% QoQ NSR decline (ex-power)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Shree Cement: We maintain our ADD rating on Shree Cement, with an unchanged SOTP target price of INR 28,700/shareCement volume growth slowed to 8% YoY as it lost four days of sales due to software migration to SAPReported unit EBITDA (cement) remained flattish QoQ at INR 1346/MT as lower input costs and lower advertising expenses offset the impact of a 6% QoQ NSR decline (ex-power)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Shree Cement, Oberoi Realty, Apollo Tyres, Radico Khaitan, NCC

India

V-Mart Retail Limited owns, operates, and franchises a chain of family lifestyle stores in India. The Company operates medium sized hypermarket format retail stores that sell clothes, accessories, and footwear for men, women, and kids; cosmetics, luggage, toys, and games; and food, non-food, and staple items.

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V-Mart Retail (VMART IN)

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, TVS Motor, NCC, Bajaj Electricals, Symphony

We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 286, given: (1) limited upside potential for ONGC’s crude price realisation in...

HDFC Securities

V-Mart Retail Ltd - Strong Operating Performance; Maintain BUY

Strong Performance: Revenue grew by 16% YoY, driven by strong same-store sales growth (SSSG) of 11% YoY and a 36% YoY increase in footfall.

Axis Direct

Consumer Discretionary: Muted Demand, Value Plays Remain Outliers

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~11% YoY in Q1FY25. However, a few exceptional names drive up the average

HDFC Securities

Pre Union Budget Expectations 2024-25: Budget Likely to Strengthen the Narrative of “Viksit Bharat”

The impact of the Union Budget on the equity market has reduced notably over the past few years with the government undertaking most of the reforms...

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: Shree Cement, Oberoi Realty, Apollo Tyres, Radico Khaitan, NCC

Reported unit EBITDA (cement) remained flattish QoQ at INR 1346/MT as lower input costs and lower advertising expenses offset the impact of a 6%...

HDFC Securities

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