Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

Riedel provides equity research and analysis to leading financial organizations. By becoming members of a region (Asia, Latin America, Emerging Europe or Global), organizations have access to an integrated set of services including:

Regular company coverage reports
Up-to-date investment decision advice (buy, hold, sell)
Monthly regional and global conference calls
Customized company reports and unlimited on-line access to the program's services.

Riedel provides research coverage of companies across the full range of market capitalization. Experienced research professionals in each market develop company reports and analysis as well as earnings models and projections. Ratings are Buy, Hold and Sell with a focus on compelling investment ideas - both long and short. Downloadable, dynamic earnings models are built to facilitate sensitivity analysis.

Please feel free to contact us for complimentary access to our written research.  We want to show you that our unique research flow can add value and help develop a long-term, high value-add relationship.

Riedel's model focuses on providing clients with unique insights and consulting in addition to unlimited access to all produced research This model allows members to receive exponential benefits for their retainer fees.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Growth remains the main topic of conversation in the financial markets and among economists. But inflation is slowly surely becoming an equally important issue. Since we are seeing some degree of growth there is now also talk about the resurgence of inflation. That scourge remains quite limited as governments are still trying to get a good handle on economic expansion. Inflationary pressures are subdued everywhere.Inflation is not yet an issue, but if things develop according to expectations, it will be an issue by late this year. As inflation rises so will interest rates. Expectations are that we will see rates climb to 3% by the fourth quarter this year. Country Specific Developments:Russia: GDP begins to stabilize in April helped by oil and better global growthTurkey: Tourism drops sharply on tensions with RussiaChina:  Manufacturing sector continues to stagnate in May

Growth remains the main topic of conversation in the financial markets and among economists. But inflation is slowly surely becoming an equally important issue. Since we are seeing some degree of growth there is now also talk about the resurgence of inflation. That scourge remains quite limited as governments are still trying to get a good handle on economic expansion. Inflationary pressures are subdued everywhere.Inflation is not yet an issue, but if things develop according to expectations, it will be an issue by late this year. As inflation rises so will interest rates. Expectations are that we will see rates climb to 3% by the fourth quarter this year. Country Specific Developments:Russia: GDP begins to stabilize in April helped by oil and better global growthTurkey: Tourism drops sharply on tensions with RussiaChina:  Manufacturing sector continues to stagnate in May

EM Macro Insights: As Policy Makers Focus on Growth Inflationary Pressures Build

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets / Technical Analysis

Chartonics webcast Tuesday 24 May 2016Brent color and Asia short additions<div>To view <a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/lhQqXX2PEX" target="_blank">click on this link</a>.</div><ul>
<li>
Brent - Hourly triangulation outlined. Trailing stop brought lower to 48.94 (short from 49.30) as we don't want to see a bull breakout of this triangle. Bias remains for a downside break and need to take out 47.75 to induce selling momentum with immediate targets at 46 and 44.</li>
<li>Russia appears to be leading oil lower and was our favored weak oil play. RTS 860 is our immediate downside target. We are…</li>
</ul>

Chartonics webcast Tuesday 24 May 2016Brent color and Asia short additionsTo view click on this link.

Brent - Hourly triangulation outlined. Trailing stop brought lower to 48.94 (short from 49.30) as we don't want to see a bull breakout of this triangle. Bias remains for a downside break and need to take out 47.75 to induce selling momentum with immediate targets at 46 and 44.
Russia appears to be leading oil lower and was our favored weak oil play. RTS 860 is our immediate downside target. We are…


EM PM, Ecstrat

Emad Mostaque

EM PM

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
​
More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

This weekend saw the retirement of long-serving Saudi oil minister Ali al-Naimi and his replacement by the Chairman of Aramco, Khalid al-Falih.At 80 years of age, the retirement of al-Naimi had been on the cards for a number of years, with some indications that it had been scheduled to occur five years ago, but was postponed given the need for stability as the Arab Spring erupted in the region.Now that he has moved on to a position as advisor to the Royal Court, whether Saudi oil policy will…

This weekend saw the retirement of long-serving Saudi oil minister Ali al-Naimi and his replacement by the Chairman of Aramco, Khalid al-Falih.At 80 years of age, the retirement of al-Naimi had been on the cards for a number of years, with some indications that it had been scheduled to occur five years ago, but was postponed given the need for stability as the Arab Spring erupted in the region.Now that he has moved on to a position as advisor to the Royal Court, whether Saudi oil policy will…

New Saudi Oil Minister, Old Saudi Oil Policy

It has been an interesting few weeks for observers of Saudi Arabia as Doha oil freeze talks failed, concerns re-emerged over the stability of the Saudi-US relationship and months of press coverage culminated in the announcement of Saudi Vision 2030 today.This note analyses some of the drivers of the changes we have seen in Saudi policy and the likely impact of these going forward on local markets and the oil price.The upshot is that I am, just as was the case in 2015, once more bearish on oil and oil-related equities into summer, although I retain my bullish view longer term.This should also prevent significant appreciation in Middle East markets short-term, although it is likely to be an interesting few years ahead as reforms, many of which necessitate increased economic and market liberalization and sharp increases in FDI, start to come in force.

It has been an interesting few weeks for observers of Saudi Arabia as Doha oil freeze talks failed, concerns re-emerged over the stability of the Saudi-US relationship and months of press coverage culminated in the announcement of Saudi Vision 2030 today.This note analyses some of the drivers of the changes we have seen in Saudi policy and the likely impact of these going forward on local markets and the oil price.The upshot is that I am, just as was the case in 2015, once more bearish on oil and oil-related equities into summer, although I retain my bullish view longer term.This should also prevent significant appreciation in Middle East markets short-term, although it is likely to be an interesting few years ahead as reforms, many of which necessitate increased economic and market liberalization and sharp increases in FDI, start to come in force. 

This note looks at the background of the recent Ankara bombing, the political situation in Turkey and its position in the region.The note starts with an analysis of who benefits from the political violence we have seen reintroduced to Turkish politics and how it is sharpening the differences between various groups inside Turkey (the final conclusion is al Qaeda benefits most, ignored by most).We then consider the political and religious background of the AKP and how it impacts its current actions and the efficacy of the security forces is then considered, finishing with some thoughts on the Battle of the Five Armies that we are now seeing in Syria and why Russia has now entered the fray.The conclusions are somewhat somber, but it feels like we may be close to a bottom in some key areas with a path to ruin unlikely and some level of political stability to return to Turkey with my core view still being an AKP majority for November 1st, with a CHP-coalition next most likely, both of which would cause the market and currency to rally in the next few weeks.

This note looks at the background of the recent Ankara bombing, the political situation in Turkey and its position in the region.The note starts with an analysis of who benefits from the political violence we have seen reintroduced to Turkish politics and how it is sharpening the differences between various groups inside Turkey (the final conclusion is al Qaeda benefits most, ignored by most).We then consider the political and religious background of the AKP and how it impacts its current actions and the efficacy of the security forces is then considered, finishing with some thoughts on the Battle of the Five Armies that we are now seeing in Syria and why Russia has now entered the fray.The conclusions are somewhat somber, but it feels like we may be close to a bottom in some key areas with a path to ruin unlikely and some level of political stability to return to Turkey with my core view still being an AKP majority for November 1st, with a CHP-coalition next most likely, both of which would cause the market and currency to rally in the next few weeks.

Russia

VanEck Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The Fund seeks investment results that correspond to the price and yield of the MVIS Russia TR Index, which tracks publicly traded companies that are domiciled in Russia.

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VanEck Vectors Russia ETF (RSX US)

EM Macro Insights: As Policy Makers Focus on Growth Inflationary Pressures Build

Growth remains the main topic of conversation in the financial markets and among economists. But inflation is slowly surely becoming an equally...

David Riedel

Brent Color and Asia Short Additions

Chartonics webcast Tuesday 24 May 2016Brent color and Asia short additionsTo view click on this link. Brent - Hourly triangulation outlined....

Thomas Schroeder

New Saudi Oil Minister, Old Saudi Oil Policy

This weekend saw the retirement of long-serving Saudi oil minister Ali al-Naimi and his replacement by the Chairman of Aramco, Khalid al-Falih.At...

Emad Mostaque

Saudi: A New Hope?

It has been an interesting few weeks for observers of Saudi Arabia as Doha oil freeze talks failed, concerns re-emerged over the stability of the...

Emad Mostaque

Ankara: Cui Bono?

This note looks at the background of the recent Ankara bombing, the political situation in Turkey and its position in the region.The note starts...

Emad Mostaque

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