Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Seven years after the start of the global financial crisis in 2008, the supply-demand balance of the container shipping industry remains precarious. We expect this to continue in 2016 where imbalances at the trade route level and insufficient measures to reduce ship capacity will further accelerate freight rate reductions and industry losses. We expect 2016 to be dominated by continued weak global trade growth, sustained erosion in freight rates and weakened balance sheets – each unfavourable to a major recovery in share prices, in our view”

Seven years after the start of the global financial crisis in 2008, the supply-demand balance of the container shipping industry remains precarious. We expect this to continue in 2016 where imbalances at the trade route level and insufficient measures to reduce ship capacity will further accelerate freight rate reductions and industry losses. We expect 2016 to be dominated by continued weak global trade growth, sustained erosion in freight rates and weakened balance sheets – each unfavourable to a major recovery in share prices, in our view”

Container Shipping 2016 – Operators Facing Prisoner's Dilemma; Industry Could Lose USD 5bn in 2016

Stocks down on gloomy industry outlook<figure class="editor-figure"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/005/164/original/Leasing%20Perf.JPG?1453688159" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="5164"></figure> Source: Bloomberg, DMER<ul>
<li>Investors suffered massive wealth erosion in 2015, as share prices of container leasing companies tumbled through the year with stocks extending declines until the beginning of the new year. While the stocks of the three companies under our coverage – Textainer, TAL and CAI – more than halved, the two indices of S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Transportation contracted by just 1% and 18%, respectively.</li>
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Container shipping and leasing companies…</li>
</ul>

 Stocks down on gloomy industry outlook Source: Bloomberg, DMER
Investors suffered massive wealth erosion in 2015, as share prices of container leasing companies tumbled through the year with stocks extending declines until the beginning of the new year. While the stocks of the three companies under our coverage – Textainer, TAL and CAI – more than halved, the two indices of S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Transportation contracted by just 1% and 18%, respectively.

Container shipping and leasing companies…


Container Leasing 2016 - Outlook Remains Placid

Expect bigger players with financial flexibility to grow inorganically<figure class="editor-figure"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/005/101/original/Gas%20Consol.JPG?1453260844" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="5101"></figure>  Source: Bloomberg, DMER• The VLGC market is highly fragmented as 54% vessel capacity is owned by small market players. We believe bigger players with financial flexibility will prefer to grow inorganically and establish their leadership in the sector. In our view, a wave of consolidation will be good for the sector as a whole because it will rationalise the vessel supply and bring efficiency in the pricing mechanism. • Lower…

Expect bigger players with financial flexibility to grow inorganically  Source: Bloomberg, DMER• The VLGC market is highly fragmented as 54% vessel capacity is owned by small market players. We believe bigger players with financial flexibility will prefer to grow inorganically and establish their leadership in the sector. In our view, a wave of consolidation will be good for the sector as a whole because it will rationalise the vessel supply and bring efficiency in the pricing mechanism. • Lower…

LPG Shipping - Consolidation Wave Set to Begin in the VLGC Sector?

2015: LNG/LPG shipping stocks fall prey to low oil prices<img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/005/094/original/Gas%20Perf.JPG?1453257539" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="5094"> Source: Bloomberg, DMER• The downward trend in share prices that started in 4Q14 intensified in 2015 as the rout in oil prices marred investor sentiment. The broad-based selloff in gas shipping stocks wiped out USD 5.7bn of cumulative market capitalisation of our coverage universe, translating into a 49% loss in 2015. • Underwhelmed by the downward spiralling stock prices, some market participants resorted to buying back shares to underpin…

2015: LNG/LPG shipping stocks fall prey to low oil prices Source: Bloomberg, DMER• The downward trend in share prices that started in 4Q14 intensified in 2015 as the rout in oil prices marred investor sentiment. The broad-based selloff in gas shipping stocks wiped out USD 5.7bn of cumulative market capitalisation of our coverage universe, translating into a 49% loss in 2015. • Underwhelmed by the downward spiralling stock prices, some market participants resorted to buying back shares to underpin…

Gas Shipping 2016 - Is Capitulation over for Gas Shipping Stocks?

<figure class="editor-figure">Moderation likely but it ain't over yet<img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/005/034/original/Tank%20Price%20Performance.JPG?1453075386" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="5034"></figure> Source: Bloomberg, DMER<ul>
<li>The uptrend in share prices that started in the tail end of FY14 continued in 2015 mainly on prospects of improved profitability of companies in a demand-driven market. The market capitalisation of DMER’s tanker shipping index moved up by ~USD 1.8bn because of the upsurge in stock prices and generated a return of ~27% during the year.</li>
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Nordic American Tanker enjoyed the benefits of full exposure to the spot market as day rates remained…</li>
</ul>

Moderation likely but it ain't over yet Source: Bloomberg, DMER
The uptrend in share prices that started in the tail end of FY14 continued in 2015 mainly on prospects of improved profitability of companies in a demand-driven market. The market capitalisation of DMER’s tanker shipping index moved up by ~USD 1.8bn because of the upsurge in stock prices and generated a return of ~27% during the year.

Nordic American Tanker enjoyed the benefits of full exposure to the spot market as day rates remained…


Tanker Shipping-2016 - Moderation Likely but It Ain't over Yet, The Preferred Investment In Shipping

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Verisk Analytics, Inc. conducts risk assessment services and decision analytics. The Company offers data, statistical, and actuarial services, as well as standardized insurance policy programs, underwriting information, and rating-integrity tools. Verisk Analytics provides data and software information services to the property, casualty, and mortgage fields in the United States.

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Verisk Analytics (VRSK US)

Container Shipping 2016 – Operators Facing Prisoner's Dilemma; Industry Could Lose USD 5bn in 2016

Seven years after the start of the global financial crisis in 2008, the supply-demand balance of the container shipping industry remains...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Container Leasing 2016 - Outlook Remains Placid

Stocks down on gloomy industry outlook Source: Bloomberg, DMER Investors suffered massive wealth erosion in 2015, as share prices of container...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

LPG Shipping - Consolidation Wave Set to Begin in the VLGC Sector?

Expect bigger players with financial flexibility to grow inorganically Source: Bloomberg, DMER• The VLGC market is highly fragmented as 54% vessel...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Gas Shipping 2016 - Is Capitulation over for Gas Shipping Stocks?

2015: LNG/LPG shipping stocks fall prey to low oil prices Source: Bloomberg, DMER• The downward trend in share prices that started in 4Q14...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Tanker Shipping-2016 - Moderation Likely but It Ain't over Yet, The Preferred Investment In Shipping

Moderation likely but it ain't over yet Source: Bloomberg, DMER The uptrend in share prices that started in the tail end of FY14 continued in 2015...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

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