Your Partner for Growth, Hybridan

Hybridan

Your Partner for Growth

Our passion is raising growth capital for exciting, fast growth companies that want to take their business to the next level. We raise capital for companies both listed and unlisted in the most efficient manner possible and pride ourselves as being one of the few consistently profitable broking firms in the City. This has been achieved through a highly disciplined approach when seeking to create both corporate and institutional relationships.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>12th May: Cobalt Holdings, a Company created primarily to purchase and hold physical cobalt, offering public equity investors pure-play direct exposure to the price of cobalt, announced its intention to raise approximately US$230m through its Global Offer and the possible Admission on to the Main Market in June 2025.</li>
<li>Glencore International AG and certain entities and affiliates managed by Anchorage Structured Commodities Advisor, have agreed to participate as cornerstone investors, agreeing to invest, in aggregate, an amount representing approximately 20.5% of the Shares to be offered pursuant to the Global Offer.</li>
<li>9th May: iFOREX Financial Trading, the fintech business with a proprietary online and mobile trading platform for multi-asset contracts for difference, announces that it is considering an IPO onto the Main Market.</li>
</ul>


12th May: Cobalt Holdings, a Company created primarily to purchase and hold physical cobalt, offering public equity investors pure-play direct exposure to the price of cobalt, announced its intention to raise approximately US$230m through its Global Offer and the possible Admission on to the Main Market in June 2025.
Glencore International AG and certain entities and affiliates managed by Anchorage Structured Commodities Advisor, have agreed to participate as cornerstone investors, agreeing to invest, in aggregate, an amount representing approximately 20.5% of the Shares to be offered pursuant to the Global Offer.
9th May: iFOREX Financial Trading, the fintech business with a proprietary online and mobile trading platform for multi-asset contracts for difference, announces that it is considering an IPO onto the Main Market.


Vertu Motors Plc - Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 14/05/2025

Fundamental Analyses, Contrarian Cashflows

Contrarian Cashflows

Fundamental Analyses

The purpose of Contrarian Cashflows is to document my investment research and share it with everyone who is interested in value investing. My long term aspiration for Contrarian Cashflows is to become a platform for professional investors and serious amateurs where they can get inspiration and discuss investing-related topics.
I plan to publish one company deep dive per month that is guided by my investment approach. All information I use for my write-ups is publicly available and most of the time directly sourced from public filings issued by the respective companies. To guarantee maximum transparency, for every post I provide a list of all used sources in the resources section.
Contrarian Cashflows is built around the principles of respect, honesty, open-mindedness and a touch of humour. Please consider these principles in any engagement interaction with me, other readers and the content on this blog. Misbehaviour is not tolerated.
If you want to reach out to me directly, the best way is via LinkedIn, Twitter or email. You can find the details at my homepage contrariancashflows.com

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you kickstart the week ahead with fresh insights.</li><li>Because these ideas are the result of my first-level idea generation process, they require more in depth research. Therefore, the ideas will often be concise, with occasional references to valuable work from other practitioners that I encourage you to explore.</li><li>If you have something fascinating to share that could benefit me and the wider community, don’t hesitate to send it my way—I’d love to hear from you!</li></ul>

Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you kickstart the week ahead with fresh insights.Because these ideas are the result of my first-level idea generation process, they require more in depth research. Therefore, the ideas will often be concise, with occasional references to valuable work from other practitioners that I encourage you to explore.If you have something fascinating to share that could benefit me and the wider community, don’t hesitate to send it my way—I’d love to hear from you!

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Shinko Electric Industries / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>If <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/descente-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8225:1" rel="noopener">Descente Ltd (8114 JP)</a> earnings disappoints, buy the dip. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a> is buying for the long-term.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mgm-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:472:1" rel="noopener">MGM China Holdings (2282 HK)</a> has gained market share in mass table market, VIP, and total revenue. Yet MGM's FY24E EV/EBITDA is ~40% below its two-year forward average EV/EBITDA pre-Covid.</li>
<li>If you had a J-REIT portfolio, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sankei-real-estate-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35239:1" rel="noopener">Sankei Real Estate (2972 JP)</a> would go in and push something else out or smaller. I think one gets beta-plus, which is usually called alpha.</li>
</ul>


If Descente Ltd (8114 JP) earnings disappoints, buy the dip. Itochu Corp (8001 JP) is buying for the long-term.

MGM China Holdings (2282 HK) has gained market share in mass table market, VIP, and total revenue. Yet MGM's FY24E EV/EBITDA is ~40% below its two-year forward average EV/EBITDA pre-Covid.
If you had a J-REIT portfolio, Sankei Real Estate (2972 JP) would go in and push something else out or smaller. I think one gets beta-plus, which is usually called alpha.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Shinko Electric Industries, MGM China, Decente, Sankei Real Estate,

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Pinewood Technologies Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 17 October, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/autonation-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16548:1" rel="noopener">Autonation Inc (AN US)</a> also withdrew its proposal for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendragon-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22080:1" rel="noopener">Pendragon PLC (PDG LN)</a>. Lithia's deal is likely to obtain shareholder's approval, for lack of a better offer.</li>
<li>Holding on would mean receiving 24.5p and staying in a small cap SaaS, whose shares are implicitly valued at 6.5p, instead of the 10.9p that Pendragon claims it is worth.</li>
<li>Readacross: Hedin, AutoNation, or someone else, could take a closer look at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vertu-motors-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23247:1" rel="noopener">Vertu Motors (VTU LN)</a>.</li>
</ul>


On 17 October, Autonation Inc (AN US) also withdrew its proposal for Pendragon PLC (PDG LN). Lithia's deal is likely to obtain shareholder's approval, for lack of a better offer.
Holding on would mean receiving 24.5p and staying in a small cap SaaS, whose shares are implicitly valued at 6.5p, instead of the 10.9p that Pendragon claims it is worth.
Readacross: Hedin, AutoNation, or someone else, could take a closer look at Vertu Motors (VTU LN).


<ul>
<li>The deal looked dead in the water during a week until, on 27 July, Global Auto Holdings raised its offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lookers-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22031:1" rel="noopener">Lookers PLC (LOOK LN)</a> by 8%, to 130p/share (46.6% premium).</li>
<li>The increased offer will now be carried out via takeover, and represents an implied EV of £968 million, 6.1x EV/Fwd NTM EBITDA and 9x Fwd P/E (on latest Consensus figures).</li>
<li>Considering the number of failed deals in the sector, I believe the offer looks very decent and the deal should now close. Spread is 5.2%/23.7% (gross /annualised). Long. </li>
</ul>


The deal looked dead in the water during a week until, on 27 July, Global Auto Holdings raised its offer for Lookers PLC (LOOK LN) by 8%, to 130p/share (46.6% premium).
The increased offer will now be carried out via takeover, and represents an implied EV of £968 million, 6.1x EV/Fwd NTM EBITDA and 9x Fwd P/E (on latest Consensus figures).
Considering the number of failed deals in the sector, I believe the offer looks very decent and the deal should now close. Spread is 5.2%/23.7% (gross /annualised). Long. 


Alpha Auto Group/​​Lookers: Sharp Turn

United Kingdom

Vertu Motor plc operates as an automotive retailer in the United Kingdom. It sells new cars, motorcycles, commercial vehicles, and used vehicles, as well as provides related aftersales services. It operates a chain of franchised motor dealerships offering sales, service, parts, and bodyshop facilities for new and used cars, and commercial vehicles under the Bristol Street Motors and Macklin Motors brand names. Its franchise dealerships include Volvo, Volkswagen, Land Rover, Jaguar, and Honda. It also operates as a pension scheme trustee; and provides vehicle financing and related insurance products, as well as is involved in the property and online parts retailing businesses. As of May 11, 2016, the company operated a network of 127 sales outlets. Vertu Motor plc was founded in 2006 and is based in Gateshead, the United Kingdom.

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Vertu Motors (VTU LN)

Vertu Motors Plc - Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 14/05/2025

Cobalt Holdings, a Company created primarily to purchase and hold physical cobalt, offering public equity investors pure-play direct exposure to...

Hybridan

Monday Delight: 07/07/25

Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help...

Contrarian Cashflows

Last Week In Event SPACE: Shinko Electric Industries, MGM China, Decente, Sankei Real Estate,

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

AutoNation Drops from the Race

On 17 October, Autonation Inc (AN US) also withdrew its proposal for Pendragon PLC (PDG LN). Lithia's deal is likely to obtain shareholder's...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Alpha Auto Group/Lookers: Sharp Turn

After the deal looked dead in the water, the board of Bidco and the board of Lookers announced that they had agreed on an increased recommended...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Vertu Motors Plc - Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 14/05/2025

Cobalt Holdings, a Company created primarily to purchase and hold physical cobalt, offering public equity investors pure-play direct exposure to...

Hybridan

Monday Delight: 07/07/25

Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help...

Contrarian Cashflows

Last Week In Event SPACE: Shinko Electric Industries, MGM China, Decente, Sankei Real Estate,

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

AutoNation Drops from the Race

On 17 October, Autonation Inc (AN US) also withdrew its proposal for Pendragon PLC (PDG LN). Lithia's deal is likely to obtain shareholder's...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Alpha Auto Group/​​Lookers: Sharp Turn

After the deal looked dead in the water, the board of Bidco and the board of Lookers announced that they had agreed on an increased recommended...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Alpha Auto Group/Lookers: Sharp Turn