External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Leading full-service brokerage firm in Vietnam. 

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Despite a moderate 15.2% YoY increase in total assets to VND978tr, TCB maintained strong expansion in core profit-generating assets, with credit (including corporate bonds) rising 21.7% YoY to VND683tr (69.8% of total assets) in FY24.</li><li>A steady disbursement pace underscored a prudent approach, balancing risk diversification and yield optimization. Real estate exposure declined to 63.7% (-7.3%p since 2022), while retail banking penetration increased to 41.6% (+2.2%p YoY).</li><li>Asset quality improved, with the NPL ratio down to 1.12% (-4bps YoY, -17bps QoQ), ranking second only to VCB, while LLR surged to 114% (+11.8%p YoY). </li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Despite a moderate 15.2% YoY increase in total assets to VND978tr, TCB maintained strong expansion in core profit-generating assets, with credit (including corporate bonds) rising 21.7% YoY to VND683tr (69.8% of total assets) in FY24.A steady disbursement pace underscored a prudent approach, balancing risk diversification and yield optimization. Real estate exposure declined to 63.7% (-7.3%p since 2022), while retail banking penetration increased to 41.6% (+2.2%p YoY).Asset quality improved, with the NPL ratio down to 1.12% (-4bps YoY, -17bps QoQ), ranking second only to VCB, while LLR surged to 114% (+11.8%p YoY). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Stock recommendations (Vietnam Market)_April 2025

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We discussed last week (Feb. 27 Int'l Compass) how both ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 displayed false breakouts, and to look for near-term pullbacks</li>
<li>We said expect pullbacks to range supports at $116 on ACWI-US and 5770-5850 or 5600-5670 on the S&amp;P 500 in the coming weeks, where we would be buyers.</li>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 is testing the 5770-5850 range now, while ACWI-US is testing its 200-day MA at $117. It is possible ACWI-US finds support here. Upgrading Europe to overweight</li>
</ul>


We discussed last week (Feb. 27 Int'l Compass) how both ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 displayed false breakouts, and to look for near-term pullbacks
We said expect pullbacks to range supports at $116 on ACWI-US and 5770-5850 or 5600-5670 on the S&amp;P 500 in the coming weeks, where we would be buyers.
The S&amp;P 500 is testing the 5770-5850 range now, while ACWI-US is testing its 200-day MA at $117. It is possible ACWI-US finds support here. Upgrading Europe to overweight


Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. (S&P 500) For a Downgrade; Buy Gold Miners and More

<ul>
<li>Despite a moderate 15.2% YoY expansion in total assets to VND978tr, TCB demonstrated robust growth in core profit-generating assets, including loans and bond investments.</li>
<li>Specifically, the loan book and investment portfolio surged 21.8% YoY and 20.7% YoY, respectively.</li>
<li>Credit growth (including loans and corporate bonds) accelerated 21.7% YoY to VND683tr, comprising 69.8% of total assets.</li>
<li>While TCB’s credit growth trailed some sector leaders, its steady expansion across quarters—without excessive disbursement towards year-end—reflected a prudent and well-calibrated approach. </li>
</ul>
<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>


Despite a moderate 15.2% YoY expansion in total assets to VND978tr, TCB demonstrated robust growth in core profit-generating assets, including loans and bond investments.
Specifically, the loan book and investment portfolio surged 21.8% YoY and 20.7% YoY, respectively.
Credit growth (including loans and corporate bonds) accelerated 21.7% YoY to VND683tr, comprising 69.8% of total assets.
While TCB’s credit growth trailed some sector leaders, its steady expansion across quarters—without excessive disbursement towards year-end—reflected a prudent and well-calibrated approach. 

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Stock Recommendations (Vietnam Market)_March 2025

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Vietcap

Vietcap

We specialize in consulting both individual and institutional clients, providing them with effective financial solutions that are tailored to their specific needs.

Equity Bottom-Up

Vietnam Technological & Commer / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li><p style="text-align: justify;">We raise our target price (TP) for TCB by 7.7% to VND28,000/share and upgrade our rating from OUTPERFORM to BUY. </p></li><li><p style="text-align: justify;">Our higher TP is mainly due to (1) the positive impact of rolling our TP horizon forward to end-2025F and (2) a decrease in our assumption for TCB’s cost of equity due to an updated beta. </p></li><li><p style="text-align: justify;">We broadly maintain our aggregate earnings forecast for 2024-2028F (respective changes of </p></li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We raise our target price (TP) for TCB by 7.7% to VND28,000/share and upgrade our rating from OUTPERFORM to BUY. Our higher TP is mainly due to (1) the positive impact of rolling our TP horizon forward to end-2025F and (2) a decrease in our assumption for TCB’s cost of equity due to an updated beta. We broadly maintain our aggregate earnings forecast for 2024-2028F (respective changes of Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

TCB [BUY +21.8%] - Expecting Weak Q4 2024, yet Earnings Outlook on Track - Update

<ul><li>Credit growth in 3Q24 remained steady: According to the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV), credit growth reached approximately 9% YTD as of end-3Q24, showing a quarterly increase of 3%p (QoQ).</li><li>This aligns with the growth rates seen during high-growth years in the past half-decade.</li><li>Recently, the SBV Governor stated that credit growth reached nearly 10.1% YTD (or 16.6% YoY) by end-October and expressed confidence that the 15% target for 2024 will be met. </li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Credit growth in 3Q24 remained steady: According to the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV), credit growth reached approximately 9% YTD as of end-3Q24, showing a quarterly increase of 3%p (QoQ).This aligns with the growth rates seen during high-growth years in the past half-decade.Recently, the SBV Governor stated that credit growth reached nearly 10.1% YTD (or 16.6% YoY) by end-October and expressed confidence that the 15% target for 2024 will be met. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking Sector - 9M24 Update and Outlook - Letting the Recovery Simmer

Vietnam

Vietnam Technological and Commercial Joint-stock Bank, doing business as Techcombank, provides banking services. The Bank offers savings, deposits, loans, credit cards, monetary management, trade finance, international payment, and foreign exchange services. Techcombank serves individuals, corporates, and the government sectors in Vietnam.

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Vietnam Technological & Commer (TCB VN)

Stock recommendations (Vietnam Market)_April 2025

Despite a moderate 15.2% YoY increase in total assets to VND978tr, TCB maintained strong expansion in core profit-generating assets, with credit...

Mirae Asset Securities

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. (S&P 500) For a Downgrade; Buy Gold Miners and More

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. $SPX for a Downgrade to Market Weight. $ACWI and $SPX likely bottoming here at 200-day MAs. Bullish...

Vermilion Research

Stock Recommendations (Vietnam Market)_March 2025

Despite a moderate 15.2% YoY expansion in total assets to VND978tr, TCB demonstrated robust growth in core profit-generating assets, including...

Mirae Asset Securities

TCB [BUY +21.8%] - Expecting Weak Q4 2024, yet Earnings Outlook on Track - Update

Our higher TP is mainly due to (1) the positive impact of rolling our TP horizon forward to end-2025F and (2) a decrease in our assumption for...

Vietcap

Banking Sector - 9M24 Update and Outlook - Letting the Recovery Simmer

Credit growth in 3Q24 remained steady: According to the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV), credit growth reached approximately 9% YTD as of end-3Q24,...

Mirae Asset Securities

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