External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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<ul><li>Revenue for our coverage universe is likely to improve by 6.3% QoQ while it could fall by 6.6% YoY in 2Q</li><li>Inventory rationalisation by global agrochemicals and weak demand for products from the US and Europe led to a correction in the prices of finished products</li><li>EBITDA could fall by 7% YoY while EBITDA margin could remain flattish YoY.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Revenue for our coverage universe is likely to improve by 6.3% QoQ while it could fall by 6.6% YoY in 2QInventory rationalisation by global agrochemicals and weak demand for products from the US and Europe led to a correction in the prices of finished productsEBITDA could fall by 7% YoY while EBITDA margin could remain flattish YoY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Chemicals (Q2FY24 Results Preview): Lackluster quarter

<ul><li>JK Cement: We maintain our REDUCE rating on JK Cement (JKCE), with an unchanged TP of INR 2,755 (11x Mar-25E consolidated EBITDA)</li><li>In Q1FY24, JKCE reported strong 29% YoY grey cement volume growth on a healthy ramp of its Panna capacity (75% utilization)</li><li>Fuel cost cooled off by INR 150/MT QoQ in Q1, thus driving grey unit EBITDA recovery by INR 130/MT QoQ in Q1</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JK Cement: We maintain our REDUCE rating on JK Cement (JKCE), with an unchanged TP of INR 2,755 (11x Mar-25E consolidated EBITDA)In Q1FY24, JKCE reported strong 29% YoY grey cement volume growth on a healthy ramp of its Panna capacity (75% utilization)Fuel cost cooled off by INR 150/MT QoQ in Q1, thus driving grey unit EBITDA recovery by INR 130/MT QoQ in Q1Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: JK Cement, Vinati Organics, KNR Constructions, Ahluwalia Contracts

<ul><li>Bharat Petroleum Corporation: Our ADD rating on Bharat Petroleum (BPCL), with a target price of INR 390, is premised on robust refining and marketing margins, offset by elevated debt, owing to a rise in working capital requirement and capex</li><li>Q4FY23 EBITDA stood at INR 112bn, while APAT was at INR 65bn, coming in well above our estimates, supported by a better-than-expected performance from the marketing segment</li><li>Reported GRMs were at USD 20.6/bbl (+USD 5.3/bbl YoY, +USD 4.7/bbl QoQ, HSIE: USD 19.8/bbl). Gail (India): Our BUY recommendation on GAIL with a target price of INR 125 is based on (1) an increase in gas transmission volume to 123mmscmd by FY25 on the back of an increase in domestic gas production, (2) completion of major pipelines in eastern and southern India, and (3) expectation of improvement in earnings from the petchem segment</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bharat Petroleum Corporation: Our ADD rating on Bharat Petroleum (BPCL), with a target price of INR 390, is premised on robust refining and marketing margins, offset by elevated debt, owing to a rise in working capital requirement and capexQ4FY23 EBITDA stood at INR 112bn, while APAT was at INR 65bn, coming in well above our estimates, supported by a better-than-expected performance from the marketing segmentReported GRMs were at USD 20.6/bbl (+USD 5.3/bbl YoY, +USD 4.7/bbl QoQ, HSIE: USD 19.8/bbl). Gail (India): Our BUY recommendation on GAIL with a target price of INR 125 is based on (1) an increase in gas transmission volume to 123mmscmd by FY25 on the back of an increase in domestic gas production, (2) completion of major pipelines in eastern and southern India, and (3) expectation of improvement in earnings from the petchem segmentContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Bharat Petroleum Corporation, Gail (India), Vinati Organics

<ul><li>Our chemical universe is expected to report a muted sequential growth, owing to subdued demand, courtesy the global recessionary headwinds faced by various end-user industries</li><li>Revenue for our coverage universe is likely to improve by ~6/5% YoY/QoQ.</li><li>EBITDA margin could deteriorate by 188bps YoY and remain flattish sequentially at 21%, owing to the elevated raw material cost and lower absorption of fixed cost.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our chemical universe is expected to report a muted sequential growth, owing to subdued demand, courtesy the global recessionary headwinds faced by various end-user industriesRevenue for our coverage universe is likely to improve by ~6/5% YoY/QoQ.EBITDA margin could deteriorate by 188bps YoY and remain flattish sequentially at 21%, owing to the elevated raw material cost and lower absorption of fixed cost.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>LIC Housing Finance: LICHF’s earnings continued to remain sub-par with P&amp;L outcomes significantly below estimates</li><li>Credit costs shot up to ~120bps (annualised), as the company shored up its Stage-III provisions to 51% (Q2FY23: 44%) in order to maintain healthy provisioning levels</li><li>While there were low incremental impairments (no write-offs during Q3), the slow pace of resolutions, particularly in project loans (GS-III at ~46%), remains a concer.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

LIC Housing Finance: LICHF’s earnings continued to remain sub-par with P&amp;L outcomes significantly below estimatesCredit costs shot up to ~120bps (annualised), as the company shored up its Stage-III provisions to 51% (Q2FY23: 44%) in order to maintain healthy provisioning levelsWhile there were low incremental impairments (no write-offs during Q3), the slow pace of resolutions, particularly in project loans (GS-III at ~46%), remains a concer.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: LIC Housing Finance, Vinati Organics, The Ramco Cements

India

Vinati Organics Limited is a prominent Indian manufacturer of specialty chemicals and organic intermediates. The company is a global leader in producing Isobutyl Benzene (IBB) and 2-Acrylamido-2-Methylpropane Sulfonic Acid (ATBS), serving pharmaceutical, agrochemical, personal care, water treatment, and polymer industries. Headquartered in Mumbai, India, the company was founded in 1989.

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Vinati Organics (VO IN)

Chemicals (Q2FY24 Results Preview): Lackluster quarter

Inventory rationalisation by global agrochemicals and weak demand for products from the US and Europe led to a correction in the prices of finished...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: JK Cement, Vinati Organics, KNR Constructions, Ahluwalia Contracts

We maintain our REDUCE rating on JK Cement (JKCE), with an unchanged TP of INR 2,755 (11x Mar-25E consolidated EBITDA). In Q1FY24, JKCE reported...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Bharat Petroleum Corporation, Gail (India), Vinati Organics

Our ADD rating on Bharat Petroleum (BPCL), with a target price of INR 390, is premised on robust refining and marketing margins, offset by elevated...

HDFC Securities

Chemicals: Recovery and stability ahead!

Our chemical universe is expected to report a muted sequential growth, owing to subdued demand, courtesy the global recessionary headwinds faced by...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: LIC Housing Finance, Vinati Organics, The Ramco Cements

Credit costs shot up to ~120bps (annualised), as the company shored up its Stage-III provisions to 51% (Q2FY23: 44%) in order to maintain healthy...

HDFC Securities

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