IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Hyundai Engineering   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-engineering-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33008:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd (HEC KS)</a> has launched its IPO to raise US$0.8-1.0 billion at the price range of KRW57,900-75,700 per share.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hyundai-engineering-ipo-initiation-building-on-good-foundations" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:63360" rel="noopener">Hyundai Engineering IPO Initiation: Building on Good Foundations</a>, we stated that HEC has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy book-to-bill, improving 3Q21 revenue growth and improving margins. </li>
<li>In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology and present our valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. </li>
</ul>



Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd (HEC KS) has launched its IPO to raise US$0.8-1.0 billion at the price range of KRW57,900-75,700 per share.
In Hyundai Engineering IPO Initiation: Building on Good Foundations, we stated that HEC has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy book-to-bill, improving 3Q21 revenue growth and improving margins. 
In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology and present our valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. 


Hyundai Engineering IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-engineering-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33008:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd (HEC KS)</a>/HEC is a leading global EPC (Engineering, Procurement and Construction) contractor. It is seeking to raise up to $1 billion.  </li>
<li>HEC is offering 16.0 million shares with a primary/secondary split of 25/75 at an indicative price range of KRW57,900-66,800 per share.</li>
<li>HEG has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy book-to-bill, improving 3Q21 revenue growth and improving margins. </li>
</ul>



Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd (HEC KS)/HEC is a leading global EPC (Engineering, Procurement and Construction) contractor. It is seeking to raise up to $1 billion.  
HEC is offering 16.0 million shares with a primary/secondary split of 25/75 at an indicative price range of KRW57,900-66,800 per share.
HEG has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy book-to-bill, improving 3Q21 revenue growth and improving margins. 


Hyundai Engineering IPO Initiation: Building on Good Foundations

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>The success of this IPO depends on whether Hyundai Engineering can present a growth story that can justify a valuation premium of up to twice that of the local peers.</li>
<li>Of course, Hyundai Engineering is indeed in an advantageous position compared to the local competitors because it can present synergies with Hyundai Motor Group affiliates.</li>
<li>However, it depends on how specific a picture of financial growth is presented, which will be a significant challenge for Hyundai Engineering as well.</li>
</ul>


The success of this IPO depends on whether Hyundai Engineering can present a growth story that can justify a valuation premium of up to twice that of the local peers.
Of course, Hyundai Engineering is indeed in an advantageous position compared to the local competitors because it can present synergies with Hyundai Motor Group affiliates.
However, it depends on how specific a picture of financial growth is presented, which will be a significant challenge for Hyundai Engineering as well.


Hyundai Engineering IPO: Offering Details, Valuation Issues, & Index Fast Entry

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios / Event-Driven

ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios

Florentino Pérez is known for its deal-making prowess (both as head of Real Madrid and chairman of ACS).
<ul>
<li>On 2 October ACS announced negotiations to sell its Industrial Services division to Vinci for €5.2 bn (now undergoing due diligence). </li>
<li>On October 19, ACS announced that CIMIC (subsidiary of Hochtief) had entered a sale agreement with Elliot for 50% of subsidiary Thiess.</li>
</ul>
Both transactions would add cash to the group, and all three companies, ACS, Hochtief and CIMIC could end 2020 debt-free. This is in contrast with ACS traditionally being high leveraged, which would reduce the risk profile of the group.
With the extraordinary income from the sale of Industrial services, ACS could increase the size of its concession area where the flagship is Abertis (shared with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atlantia-spa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21157:1" rel="noopener">Atlantia SpA (ATL IM)</a>, currently a distressed seller), or it could increase its stake in Hochtief, even could do a bit of both.
<div>
ACS has been affected by the global crisis, and its value is well below the potential of its assets: its market cap is just 22% higher that what Vinci is willing to pay for half the business.
I see solid upside in ACS (and higher dividends), thus I recommend LONG ACS, target price €28.5 per share (applying a conservative 15% discount to my SOTP valuation), a 25% upside.
</div>

Florentino Pérez is known for its deal-making prowess (both as head of Real Madrid and chairman of ACS).

On 2 October ACS announced negotiations to sell its Industrial Services division to Vinci for €5.2 bn (now undergoing due diligence). 
On October 19, ACS announced that CIMIC (subsidiary of Hochtief) had entered a sale agreement with Elliot for 50% of subsidiary Thiess.

Both transactions would add cash to the group, and all three companies, ACS, Hochtief and CIMIC could end 2020 debt-free. This is in contrast with ACS traditionally being high leveraged, which would reduce the risk profile of the group.
With the extraordinary income from the sale of Industrial services, ACS could increase the size of its concession area where the flagship is Abertis (shared with Atlantia SpA (ATL IM), currently a distressed seller), or it could increase its stake in Hochtief, even could do a bit of both.

ACS has been affected by the global crisis, and its value is well below the potential of its assets: its market cap is just 22% higher that what Vinci is willing to pay for half the business.
I see solid upside in ACS (and higher dividends), thus I recommend LONG ACS, target price €28.5 per share (applying a conservative 15% discount to my SOTP valuation), a 25% upside.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

In this report we highlight attractive and actionable themes within developed int’l markets: Technology and Industrials continue to be two of the most attractive Sectors globally -- overweight. These two Sectors account for half of today’s individual recommendations Countries that are (1) developing positively in terms of price and RS and (2) have significant representation in this report include: Japan (TOPIX), Switzerland (SMI), and France (CAC 40).Outside of the above themes, a bottoms-up approach is required to uncover attractive and actionable stocks. On page 4 we include a table of all stocks highlighted in this report.

In this report we highlight attractive and actionable themes within developed int’l markets: Technology and Industrials continue to be two of the most attractive Sectors globally -- overweight. These two Sectors account for half of today’s individual recommendations Countries that are (1) developing positively in terms of price and RS and (2) have significant representation in this report include: Japan (TOPIX), Switzerland (SMI), and France (CAC 40).Outside of the above themes, a bottoms-up approach is required to uncover attractive and actionable stocks. On page 4 we include a table of all stocks highlighted in this report. 

Overweight Global Technology & Industrials

France

VINCI SA is a global player in concessions and construction with expertise in building, civil, hydraulic, and electrical engineering. The Company offers construction-related specialities and road materials production, as well as finance, management, operations and maintenance of public infrastructure such as motorways, airports, and road and rail infrastructures.

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Vinci SA (DG FP)

Hyundai Engineering IPO: Valuation Insights

HEC has launched its IPO to raise US$0.8-1.0 bn. Our valuation analysis suggests that HEC is fairly valued at the low end of the IPO price range....

Arun George

Hyundai Engineering IPO Initiation: Building on Good Foundations

HEC is seeking to raise up to $1 billion. HEG has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy book-to-bill, improving 3Q21 revenue...

Arun George

Hyundai Engineering IPO: Offering Details, Valuation Issues, & Index Fast Entry

Hyundai Engineering, another big fish in Korea's local IPO market, put out its listing prospectus. The company offers 16M shares, representing...

Sanghyun Park

ACS: Unlocking Value Via Disposals

I see solid upside in ACS (and higher dividends), thus I recommend LONG ACS. My valuation is €28.5 per share (by applying a conservative 15%...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Overweight Global Technology & Industrials

In this report we highlight attractive and actionable themes within developed int’l markets: Technology and Industrials continue to be two of the...

Vermilion Research

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